There’s a sizable edge when picking college football player props. With so many NCAAF teams to cover, sportsbooks are more likely to offer exploitable numbers compared to popular markets like NFL player props.

Making matters even better, the demand for college football player props is growing. More sportsbooks carry these wagers, and you can also make your NCAAF picks at DFS sites like Underdog, which is legal in 40+ states.

Below, we’ll dive into our favorite college football player props for the week and let you know where these projections are available.

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College Football Player Props: Conference Championship Week

Where should we be looking with our college football props? Let’s tackle the upcoming slate!

Conference Championship Week 

Jake Retzlaff > 36.5 rushing yards

He’s gone below this number in 3 straight with -4, 8, and 1 rushing yards in those games. Now we get a line in the high 30s? Vegas obviously believes in him here to get back to that rushing ability he showed earlier this season. Prior to the last 3 games, Retzlaff was over in 7/9 games. 

The matchup is fantastic, as North Texas ranks 118th in the country, allowing 5.1 yards per attempt. In North Texas’ one loss this season, USF ran the ball 57 times for 306 yards. Clearly the recipe to success is to keep this EXPLOSIVE North Texas offense on the sideline, and I think Tulane can do that. 

With a Vegas total near 70, this game could turn into a shootout, meaning Tulane could turn to the pass game. There is always an opportunity for him to scramble on a dropback. This one has many paths to success. I think Tulane’s gameplan will be to establish the run and try to control the clock in this one. With that said, I expect Retzlaff to have 10+ attempts in this one. 

High-stakes game and college football playoff spot probably on the line. I expect Retzlaff to be a bit more aggressive on the ground. I’m siding with Vegas in this one, fully thinking he bounces back in the run game Friday night. 

Chase Roberts > 48.5 receiving yards

Roberts returns from injury for the Cougars in a great spot to clear this number. He is over this line in 7/10 games this season (excluding the game he left with injury). Prior to the injury he was producing some of his best games, target-share wise. In the 3 games prior to him getting hurt, he had 9, 10, and 12 targets, and he’s clearly the #1 option in this BYU offense. 

With BYU as 13-point underdogs in the rematch, I think they will be trailing again throughout this one. Only difference is, this time the season is on the line… I would like to think BYU’s aggressiveness begins a bit earlier in the game, before they are down 3 scores. In the first matchup, they tried establishing the run for the entire first half and when Texas Tech jumped out to a 20-point lead… they went full dropback mode, which is not the recipe for success against Texas Tech. Texas Tech has the #1 run defense in the country, I can’t expect BYU to have a gameplan around the run.

In this rematch, expect BYU to take some shots earlier in the game here. I think they will be hungry and I trust Sitake to have a gameplan ready. If BYU has a chance to pull off the upset, they will need their senior to step up and play huge. Considering the combination of game script with a more aggressive game plan, I like Roberts to clear this line for us.

Zachariah Branch > 57.5 receiving yards

Branch is under in three straight, so Vegas hanging 57.5 tells you they’re expecting a bounce-back, and I’m rolling with them here. Branch is Georgia’s true #1 option, the guy they trust when they need separation, quick-hit plays, and explosive yards after the catch.

Georgia’s pass game looked abysmal last week against Georgia Tech, Stockton with 70 yards passing. I’m buying the bounceback spot not only for Branch, but this entire passing attack. Alabama’s run defense isn’t great, but there’s no chance Georgia will be able to win with 70 passing yards again. 

This is a massive game for Georgia, with that first-round bye on the line in the SEC Championship. When the moment gets big, stars usually get fed, and Branch is the featured piece who should see high-volume opportunities. He is over in 4/6 games this season where Georgia has lost or won by 10 or less, showing that he is the guy in crunch time for the Bulldogs.

Add in the fact that Kirby Smart has been phenomenal in in-season rematches. When Smart gets a second look at a team, the adjustments are sharp, and the game plan is usually spotless. In a matchup where Georgia needs to counter Alabama’s pressure and keep the offense on schedule, Branch becomes even more important, quick reads, designed touches, and schemed space.

If this game tilts into a back-and-forth script, Branch should be heavily involved and have multiple chances to break a chunk play.

Jeremiah Smith > 72.5 receiving yards

Similar spot here for Jeremiah Smith, he is coming off his two worst games of the season, back-to-back, and that’s exactly why this is the perfect bounce-back spot. He’s still the Buckeyes’ most dangerous weapon, and in the biggest game of Ohio State’s season, I’m expecting them to lean on their superstar when it matters.

Indiana brings a top-15 run defense, so this isn’t the matchup where OSU can just turn around and hand it off 25+ times. They’re going to have to throw, and they might even find themselves behind the sticks or playing from behind, something this team really hasn’t had to deal with much this year. That’s where the adversity angle comes in, and when the moment tightens, when the game script isn’t clean, elite quarterbacks go back to their best playmaker.

And for Julian Sayin, that’s Jeremiah Smith, the All-American wideout who can be the safety blanket. Volume, talent, situation usually equals production, and this number feels extremely beatable if Ohio State is forced to open things up. Buying the bounce-back and trusting the superstar.

Where Can I Place College Football Player Props?

As mentioned earlier, college football player props are growing in popularity. However, NCAAF props are still limited to only a few operators.

Here are the best places to find college football prop bets and DFS projections:

Top CFB DFS Pick’Em Apps

We love the CFB DFS pick’em projections available at top-flight daily fantasy sites like Underdog, PrizePicks, DraftKings Pick6 and Sleeper. They offer a very similar experience to player props.

You’ll often find a lot of value and strong payouts available at legal DFS sites. These apps are also available in many states that don’t yet have legal online sports betting.

• Underdog
• Sleeper
• Betr Picks
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• ParlayPlay
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• Boom Fantasy
• DraftKings Pick6
• FanDuel Picks

Top Sportsbooks For MLB Props & Bets

The sportsbooks and daily fantasy sites featured in this article offer more than enough options to satisfy your CFB player props needs.

You can’t go wrong with BetMGM, Caesars, and FanDuel Sportsbook when it comes to any kind of sports bet. Take a look at the following guides to see if these sportsbooks are legal in your state:

• FanDuel
• BetMGM
• Caesars Sportsbook

Types Of College Football Props

Let’s take a closer look at the different NCAAF prop bets that you can make. You might find some additional options at different sportsbooks, but these are pretty common.

College Football Player Prop Bet

A player prop bet is one of the most common college football betting options that you will see for each game throughout the season. The bigger games will have more markets available, while some of the smaller games might not have any at all.

NCAAF player prop bets focus on one specific player in a college football game and also on one statistical category. College football bettors will usually be betting on whether a certain player will reach a statistical milestone, or by how much.

Here are some examples:

• Will Player X record at least 100 receiving yards in the game?
• First player to score a touchdown: (List of all players)
• Will Player X throw more than 2 passing touchdowns?

NCAA Football Team Prop Bet

A team college football prop bet is another option that you will commonly see offered in most college football games. This is a bet that is similar to a player prop bet, but it will involve looking at one specific team in a game.

There are times with a team prop bet that sportsbooks will put each team up against one another. Again, the bigger the game, the more team prop betting options you will see listed.

Here are some examples:

• Will any team score at least 35 points in this college football game?
• Team with more rushing yards: Alabama or LSU?
• Will Ohio State record at least five sacks in the game at Michigan?

Season Long Prop Bets

A season-long prop bet is not like the first two options at all, as you won’t be focusing on just one individual college football game. Instead, you will be making a wager at the beginning of the season, and that result won’t be known until the year wraps up.

If you are a bettor that is familiar with making a “futures” bet, then this is a good NCAA football prop bet to focus on.

Some examples of a season-long prop bet might include:

• Will any team from the “Group of Five” make it to the College Football Playoff?
• Will two teams from the same conference reach the College Football Playoff?
• Will a running back win the Heisman Trophy Award?

NCAA Football Prop Betting Tips

Even though betting on NCAA football props isn’t extremely difficult to do, it still isn’t one of the easiest betting types to cash in. There are some NCAA football prop betting tips that can help you be more successful, and three of those are outlined and discussed below.

Check For Injuries

One of the first things you will want to look at is the injury report. You want to look for players that might be sidelined by an injury, as that could affect how the prop bet plays out. Betting sites will be looking for this information as well, and this is where you could see some movement in the NCAA football prop betting odds.

Find The Value

As discussed above, sportsbooks continue to find and offer new college football prop betting markets. Betting sites want your action, and they will entice you to make a play by adding new props to the site.

While you should always be looking for prop bets that you can win, you also need to be looking for NCAA football prop bets that have some value. This means that you should be trying to identify a prop bet that has a good chance to cash, not necessarily just browsing for the “big games” or your favorite team.

You might have to dig deep and look really hard to find the most valuable NCAA football prop bet to make, but there will be some that are available to you. If you don’t think that a bet is valuable enough to make, then you simply need to wait for the next weekend and make a wager at that time.

Featured Image Credit: Imagn

The post Best College Football Player Props Today – Top NCAAF Plays appeared first on Props.

It’s once again time to go through our best college football picks for the quarterfinal round of the CFB Playoff. We sifted through tons of daily fantasy sports picks and came up with our top CFB player props for this slate.

Make sure to check back every week for a new article with all of our best college football player prop picks for the CFB Playoffs.

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CFB Player Props – CFB Playoff Quarterfinal Picks

Here are our top college football player picks for the CFB playoff quarterfinals:

Gunnar Stockton More Than 12.5 Rushing Yards 

My favorite play of the CFP Quarterfinals is Gunnar Stockton’s rushing yards. This is his first start of his career, and it’s coming after having three and a half weeks off, meaning Georgia and Kirby Smart have been able to create a game plan centered around Stockton (vs. him coming in for Beck). 

Stockton is a very good athlete, and he has used his legs fairly often in his small sample size of appearances. He played a half vs. Florida State in last year’s bowl game and ran seven times, and in the 2H vs. Texas he ran six times. There will definitely be a lot more designed calls on the play sheet for him.

Stockton is a guy who ran for over 4,300 yards and 77 rushing TDs in his high school career. Obviously, sacks are negative yards in college, but I think Georgia will incorporate a lot of screens and quick throws, which should help eliminate that risk. 

Georgia’s game plan will be to run the ball and result to the quick pass game. I cannot see them dropping back with Stockton and letting it fly down the field. Assuming he doesn’t get sacked 3+ times, I think he will end with 10-12 rushes, which should be plenty to get home here. 

Where to play: Gunnar Stockton More Than 12.5 Rushing Yards | PrizePicks

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Xavier Guillory Higher Than 35.5 Receiving Yards 

My next play is Xavier Guillory’s receiving yards. When Jordyn Tyson went down with a season-ending injury, ASU needed someone to step up. The problem is, in the Big 12 championship, Skattebo took over and they didn’t really ever have to throw in that game. This matchup should be a bit different. 

The Texas defense has one focus, stopping Skattebo and forcing ASU to throw the ball. I think they have the personnel to really cause trouble in the run game for Arizona State. I also believe Texas will be able to score at ease on this ASU defense, which will also help them get away from the run game. 

Guillory only had four targets in the team’s first game without Jordyn Tyson, but I think they’ll need a lot more from him in this game. Both Guillory and Stovall are good options without Tyson, but I like Guillory more. He has a similar build to Tyson and can hopefully be Leavitt’s guy in this one. 

I think Texas will be up double digits throughout in this one, forcing ASU to throw a lot more than they had to in the Big 12 championship. He should finish with 6-8 targets putting him over 50 yards.

Where to play: Xavier Guillory Higher Than 35.5 Receiving Yards | Underdog

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The post CFB Player Props – CFB Playoff Quarterfinal Picks appeared first on Props.

It’s once again time to go through our best college football picks for Round 1 of the CFB Playoff. We sifted through tons of daily fantasy sports picks and came up with our top CFB player props for Saturday.

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CFB Player Props – CFB Playoff Round 1 Picks

Here are our top college football player picks for Saturday:

Antonio Williams More Than 50.5 Receiving Yards

Williams has surpassed this number in three of the last four games with his lone miss ending at 50 yards. He has seen 7+ targets in seven of the last eight games. This is plenty of volume to get home here. 

Clemson heads to Texas to take on the Longhorns in Round 1 of the playoffs. This is an interesting matchup as Cade Klubnik heads back home to Austin for this one. Texas has been interesting this year, as they have two losses (both to Georgia), but haven’t had the greatest of schedules. 

This Clemson passing attack is probably one of the better ones they’ve seen. Klubnik has been good this year and he will have a bit of a chip on his shoulder in this one. I’m expecting Clemson to score here, and I don’t think it’s coming on the ground. Clemson should be playing from behind throughout this game, which should give a very favoring passing script. 

If Williams and this Clemson offense can get behind and abandon the run game, I think he cashes easily here. Regardless, he is Cade’s favorite target and will get his normal 7-10 targets in this one, which I think is enough to get over 50 yards. 

Where to play: Antonio Williams More Than 50.5 Receiving Yards | PrizePicks

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Quinshon Judkins More Than 54.5 Rushing Yards 

Judkins is over this line in just one of his last four games and now faces the #8 ranked defense against the run.

Tennessee has yet to see an o-line and run game like the Buckeyes have. Judkins also has 12+ carries in four of the last five games and should be in line for at least that in this matchup. I think Ohio State fully leans on the run here, which should provide plenty of opportunities for Judkins.

The Vols are allowing just about 102 rushing yards per game and have allowed an opposing rusher to eclipse this number in 7 of 12 games this season. 

With the Buckeyes favored by a touchdown in this one, I’m expecting them to be playing from ahead. We aren’t asking for much here with 55 yards.

Where to play: Quinshon Judkins More Than 54.5 Rushing Yards | Underdog

The post CFB Player Props – CFB Playoff Round 1 Picks appeared first on Props.

It’s once again time to go through our best college football picks for this Week 14 Saturday slate. We sifted through tons of daily fantasy sports picks and came up with our top CFB player props for Saturday.

Make sure to check back every week for a new article with all of our best college football player prop picks.

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CFB Player Props – Week 14 Saturday Picks

Here are our top college football player picks for Saturday:

Isaac Brown > 72.5 rushing yards (PrizePicks)

Brown comes into this game clearing this line in 7/11 games this season. Kentucky has allowed an opposing RB to clear this line in 5 of the last 6 games. The Wildcats have been caved in the run game recently and I can’t see how Brown doesn’t find success, as well.

Louisville is a short favorite and the game should be close, so Brown should get his full workload. He has shown the ability to tote the rock as well, as he has 3 games with 18+ carries and was on his way to his fourth last week before the game got out of hand.

This Kentucky defense allows over 150 rushing yards per game and has been brutal recently. I don’t think that changes here. Brown will have a big day on the ground.

Cam Coleman > 50.5 receiving yards (Sleeper)

Coleman has been reborn late in the season. The highly touted true freshman is coming off his two best games of the season.

He has back-to-back 9-target, 100+ receiving yard games. He has been Thorne’s best target over the past 2 weeks. This Alabama defense is good, but they’ve allowed yards in the air to some teams this season.

In the Iron Bowl, I expect Auburn to have EVERYTHING on the table. They will take their downfield shots and Coleman might only need one of those to get home here. I think he continues with his recent surge and turns in another solid performance.

Jackson Arnold > 64.5 rushing yards (Sleeper)

The new-look Sooner offense has been strictly RUN game. In the team’s win over Alabama last week, Arnold threw for 68 yards, and he added 25 carries for 131 rushing yards.

Oklahoma heads to Death Valley to take on LSU on Saturday night. I have no doubt that the game plan isn’t changing much from last week: run run run. Arnold should have another 20+ carries in this one, and if they can get the lead or be playing within striking distance, I don’t see them dropping back too much.

With sacks being negative rushing yards, I think Oklahoma keeping it close will be huge. LSU has been absolutely ABYSMAL against the QB run. They’ve allowed every dual-threat QB to find success against them. Pavia averaged 7.2 yards per carry, Milroe averaged 15.4 yards per carry, and Marcel Reed 6.9 yards per carry. They’ve struggled defending the QB-run and Oklahoma has been doing that perfectly.

Arnold should have another 20 carries, and as long as he doesn’t take too many sacks, that should be enough to cash.

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Bryson Daily > 122.5 rushing yards (PrizePicks)

No number is too high for Daily after last week against ND. He’s had 3 straight games with 30+ carries and at least 139 yards rushing, and nothing changes tomorrow. He’s over this line in 6/9 games this season and in 4 straight games.

UTSA has scored 38+ points in 5 straight games. I think they will be able to answer Army with touchdowns in this one, which will allow Daily to continue to run the ball.

This is simple: if he gets 20+ carries, which he has in 5/9 games this season, he’ll get home. UTSA will be able to stay in this game enough to give Daily a full workload and he should be able to have another 130+ on the ground.

Montrell Johnson Jr. > 74.5 rushing yards (Underdog)

Last play of the week as Florida heads to take on Florida State in the big rivalry game. Montrell Johnson returned to his full workload a week ago against Ole Miss, where he had 18 carries for over 100 yards.

Florida State is ranked 110^th stopping the run, allowing almost 200 rushing yards per game. Florida should be able to find their run game.

In a series recently dominated by Florida State, I think Florida is ready to return a blowout. As big favorites, I expect them to get ahead and just pound the rock all night. I think Montrell gets another 17-20 carries, and if that’s the case, he should be able to get to this number easily.

[newsletter]

The post CFB Player Props – Week 14: Saturday Picks appeared first on Props.

It’s once again time to go through our best college football picks for this Week 13 Saturday slate. We sifted through tons of daily fantasy sports picks and came up with our top CFB player props for Saturday.

Make sure to check back every week for a new article with all of our best college football player prop picks.

Top CFB Prop Sites in All States

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CFB Player Props – Week 13 Saturday Picks

Below, Props.com analyst Kyle Krogstad breaks down his top CFB player props for Week 13.

MORE PROPS: NFL | NBA | NHL | PGA | CFB

Trebor Pena Higher Than 61.5 Receiving Yards 

My first play of the week is between the Syracuse Orange and UConn Huskies. Pena has cleared this number in 7 of his 10 games this season. He is Kyle McCord’s favorite target as he has 8+ targets 7 of the last 8 games. 

We all know Syracuse wants to throw the ball. They rank 3rd in the country in passing percentage as they are dropping back almost 63% of plays this season. McCord has attempted 40 passes in all but two games this season (35 and 39 in the two losses). The volume will be there no matter the script of this game. 

UConn ranks 46th in the country in pass defense, allowing 206 passing yards per game. Although, this number is definitely skewed a bit from their weak schedule. The few “passing” offenses they’ve played all found success. Billy Edwards from Maryland had over 311 passing yards. Both Duke and Wake Forest racked up close to 300 yards as well. 

I think this ‘Cuse offense will find success through the air like they have all season long. Pena is McCord’s number one target, and I expect him to have another high-volume game Saturday. 

Where to play: Trebor Pena Higher Than 61.5 Receiving Yards | Underdog

Marcel Reed More Than 42.5 Rushing Yards 

In the games Reed has started this season, he has surpassed this number in three of those five games, not counting LSU where he came in and ran all over them in the second half. 

Similar to Syracuse, we all know what Texas A&M wants to do, and that is run the ball. They rank in the top 15 in the country in rushing play percentage and rushing attempts per game. 

Auburn has been very good against the run this year as they rank 19th in the country, allowing just over 112 rushing yards per game. One thing they haven’t been great at is sacks, as they average only two sacks per game. Since sacks are negative rushing yards in college, this is key. If Reed can drop-back and not go down on Saturday, this should be an easy winner. 

In every game but last week’s blowout vs New Mexico St., he has double-digit carries. Those will come from designed QB runs, zone reads, and even dropping back and finding lanes to scramble. 

If Reed can stay upright in the pocket and not take any huge sacks Saturday night, he should have no issue cashing this number. I have him around 10-12 carries for 50+ yards. 

Where to play: Marcel Reed More Than 42.5 Rushing Yards | PrizePicks

Kevin Coleman Jr. More Than 61.5 Receiving Yards 

We’re back to the well here as Kevin Coleman has been great to us this season. He’s surpassed this number in 7 of his 10 games this season and is in a good spot to do it again. 

He has been an absolute volume machine this year. Coleman is averaging over 10 targets per game in his past six outings. He has been Mississippi State’s best receiver by far, and he’s been putting up numbers against one of the SEC’s toughest schedules. 

MSU gets Mizzou this weekend. Missouri ranks 33rd in the country, allowing about 200 passing yards per game. They’ve played a lot of run-first offenses, as well as some very bad teams to boost this number a bit. Last week, they allowed South Carolina and LaNorris Sellers to throw for 350 passing yards and 5 TDs. I think this Mizzou defense is a bit of a sigh of relief for Miss. State as they’ve had to play Georgia, Texas, Tennessee, Texas A&M already this season. 

Coleman has pretty much proven he is matchup-proof, and he will get his targets, catches, and yards no matter what. 

Where to play: Kevin Coleman Jr. More Than 61.5 Receiving Yards | Sleeper

Bryson Daily More Than 85.5 Rushing Yards 

Undefeated Army will take on #6 Notre Dame under the lights in South Bend Saturday night. Daily has surpassed this number in 7 of his 8 games this season, but this is the best run defense Army has played all season.

Notre Dame ranks 38th in the country in rush defense, allowing just over 126 rushing yards per game. Although, they’ve had a cupcake schedule and still have shown some vulnerability against the run. 

Army, with their triple-option offense, runs the ball about 54 times per game. They rank first, by far, in the country in rushing yards per game with an unbelievable 330 rushing yards per game (2nd is 258 yards). They’re led by star-QB Bryson Daily. He’s averaging 22 carries per game for 133 yards. In Army’s only close game this season, he carried the ball 36 times. 

We saw Notre Dame struggle to stop the QB run against Navy a few weeks ago. Blake Horvath averaged 9.2 yards per carry in that game, and had 129 rushing yards. Now, Notre Dame can use that game as a tune-up because Army has a very similar style, but is just a lot better across the board.

On the other hand, I think Jeff Monken can use that film and find success here. I believe he will find a way to have success against this ND defense. Army should keep this game close, giving Daily 25+ carries, which should give him another 100+ rushing yard performance. 

Where to play: Bryson Daily More Than 85.5 Rushing Yards | Sleeper

Quinshon Judkins Higher Than 62.5 Rushing Yards 

Last play of the week is in the Big-10 showdown between #2 Ohio State and #5 Indiana. Judkins comes into this one surpassing this number in 5 of his 10 games this season. He has slightly more carries than TreVeyon Henderson in what is shaping out to be a split backfield. 

Indiana has been fantastic against the run, as they are ranked 2nd this year. However, they’ve played absolutely nobody so far. Ohio State is far superior in the trenches and that’s what this comes down to. 

Ohio State ranks right around middle of the pack in run offense, running the ball just over 54% of the time. Against Penn State, they leaned completely on this rushing attack, as their two RBs ran for 150 rushing yards, averaging 6.21 yards per carry. 

Indiana hasn’t played any o-line like the Buckeyes have. I think they will lean on these guys all game Saturday, and if Indiana can’t stop it, this pick should cash easily. Judkins will get his normal 15 or so carries, which should definitely be enough.

Where to play: Quinshon Judkins Higher Than 62.5 Rushing Yards | Underdog 

The post CFB Player Props – Week 13: Saturday Picks appeared first on Props.

It’s once again time to go through our best college football picks for this Week 12 Saturday slate. We sifted through tons of daily fantasy sports picks and came up with our top CFB player props for Saturday.

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CFB Player Props – Week 12 Saturday Picks

Below, Props.com analyst Kyle Krogstad breaks down his top CFB player props for Week 12.

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Jalon Daniels More Than 31.5 Rushing Yards 

Jalon Daniels has surpassed this number in 5 of his 9 games this season. 

BYU has also allowed opposing QBs to hit this mark in 7 of their 9 games this year. They have not defended the QB run well, and also do not generate much pressure.

BYU ranks 108th in sacks, averaging just over one per game. With sacks being negative rush yards in college, this is a key factor. 

The Kansas O-line has been great keeping Daniels on his feet. They rank 13th in the country, allowing just one sack per game. Daniels has also been carrying the ball more as of late, with 27 carries in the past two games. 

Where to play: Jalon Daniels More Than 31.5 Rushing Yards | PrizePicks

Devin Neal Higher Than 20.5 Yards Longest Rush 

My second play is back to the same game with a similar angle…the Kansas rushing attack. Neal has surpassed this number in six of his nine games this season.

BYU has given up some big plays to opposing RBs. They’ve allowed similar backs to have some huge runs. I think Neal will follow the trend.

BYU is ranked 67th in the country defending the run, averaging 150 rushing yards allowed per game. For Kansas to pull off a road-upset, the run game will have to play a big factor. I think they will lean on both Neal and Daniels.

Where to play: Devin Neal Higher Than 20.5 Yards Longest Rush | Underdog

Tawee Walker More Than 73.5 Rushing Yards 

As 14-point underdogs, Wisconsin only really has one path to staying in this game… running the football and controlling the clock. 

Oregon has been good, but not great against the run. They rank 35th in the country, allowing just over 125 rushing yards per game. Ashton Jeanty and TreVeyon Henderson both had a huge game against them, so it’s not like they’re completely shut down in the run game. 

The main reason I’m backing this is the game situation. Wisconsin is coming off a bye week and is hosting the #1 team in the country. They’ve got to have some sort of game plan, which should revolve around the ground game. 

Walker has shown the ability to carry a big workload. He has three games with 20+ carries, and should have another solid outing in this matchup with lots of volume. 

Where to play: Tawee Walker More Than 73.5 Rushing Yards | PrizePicks

Kyren Lacy More Than 78.5 Receiving Yards 

Lacy has surpassed this number in 5 of his 9 games this season.

He has separated himself as Garrett Nussmeier’s favorite target. He’s averaging 10 targets per game and has recently pushed the needle even more, averaging 11 targets per game in the last four games. He gets a great matchup in this one, as Florida has been awful against the pass. They rank 91st in the country, allowing 245 passing yards per game. 

Florida also just got torched by Texas. Quinn Ewers had 333 passing yards against them, and Carson Beck had 300 passing yards two weeks ago. LSU is in that same category of elite passing offenses. 

After being embarrassed last week and another close matchup this week, I’m expecting the foot to be on the gas all game for LSU. 

Where to play: Kyren Lacy More Than 78.5 Receiving Yards | Sleeper

DJ Giddens Higher Than 87.5 Rushing Yards 

My last play of the week is definitely my favorite. Giddens has cleared number this in 6 of his 9 games this season, with one of the misses ending with 86 yards. More importantly, Arizona State has allowed five straight opposing RBs to run for 100+ rushing yards. 

Although ASU has been solid against the run, they’ve allowed every BIG 12 opposing RB to go for 100+ on them.

K-State is a run first team, running the ball at a 55% rate. They’re still playing for a postseason spot, as they are right behind Colorado for a shot in the Big 12 title game. In order for them to continue winning, Giddens will continue to get the ball. 

In a pretty uncontested backfield, besides Avery Johnson (QB), Giddens has averaged 18 carries for 111 rushing yards this season. He’s averaging a crazy 6.2 yards per game and has proven to be just an insanely efficient runner.

In a game that K-State should be playing from ahead in, I think Giddens will get his normal workload of 18-20 carries, which should be plenty with how efficient he’s been on the ground this season.

Where to play: DJ Giddens Higher Than 87.5 Rushing Yards | Underdog

The post CFB Player Props – Week 12: Saturday Picks appeared first on Props.

It’s once again time to go through our best college football picks for this Week 11 Saturday slate. We sifted through tons of daily fantasy sports picks and came up with our top CFB player props for Saturday.

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CFB Player Props – Week 11 Saturday Picks

Below, Props.com analyst Kyle Krogstad breaks down his top CFB player props for Week 11.

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Quintrevion Wisner Less Than 80.5 Rushing Yards 

The first play of the week is a rare player falling short of a number.

First, Wisner has fallen short of this number in 5 of 7 games this season. He was the backup at the beginning of the year, and since taking over the starting role, he has surpassed this number in 2 of those 4 games. The “starting” role is not super clear for this Texas offense as Jaydon Blue has seen carries as well.  

Florida ranks 96th against the run, allowing 176 rushing yards per game. Now, it seems like they’re awful up front, but they have played some pretty run-heavy teams: Texas A&M ran it 55 times, UCF ran it 40 times, and Tennessee ran it 43 times. These were all heavy, run-first offenses. Texas also ranks 90th in the country at “run-play” percentage. They only run the ball about 49% of the time.

Now, to the pass-= game. Texas ranks in the top 50 in passing plays per game at over 50%. They want to throw the ball and that is where they find success. Florida, ranks 73rd in the country in pass defense, allowing just over 230 passing yards per game. Like I said before, they’ve played some really run-heavy teams that didn’t really throw much on them. 

Where to play: Quintrevion Wisner Less Than 80.5 Rushing Yards | PrizePicks

[newsletter]

Phil Mafah Higher Than 98.5 Rushing Yards

Mafah should not have a projection under 100 yards anymore. He is in an absolute workhorse role for an offense that has been fantastic throughout this season.

Mafah has surpassed this number in 5 of 8 games with a few misses coming from blowouts. Over the past four weeks, he is averaging 23 carries for 128 yards. He has shown more and more each week that he can carry the load for this offense. A great example is the 30 carries last week against Louisville in a game they were trailing in most of the time. 

Virginia Tech ranks 76th in the country in run defense, allowing 158 rush yards per game. No one is contending for carries with Mafah anymore except the QB, but every run play should be his. 

In a game that should be close, I expect Clemson to feed Mafah with at least 20+ carries.

Where to play: Phil Mafah Higher Than 98.5 Rushing Yards | Underdog

Jalen Milroe Higher Than 16.5 Yards Longest Rush 

This is probably my favorite play of the week.

Alabama heads to LSU to take on the Tigers in a night game. The last time we saw LSU was at Texas A&M, where Marcel Reed came into the game and went full Lamar Jackson mode. He gashed them play after play on zone reads / QB runs. Out of the few dual-threat QBs LSU has played, they’ve allowed quite a few big plays. Sellers (SC) had a 75-yard TD on a zone-read, Dart (Ole Miss) had a 17-yard QB draw, and like I mentioned above, Reed had multiple runs of 17+ yards against them. 

Alabama knows this has been a weakness for the Tigers, and LSU knows they haven’t been great stopping the QB run. It will be a matchup to watch all night and I think Milroe eventually burns them… at least once. 

In a game expecting some rain, possibly a lot, this could turn into a run-fest from both teams. If this is the case, Milroe should have 15-20 carries.

Where to play: Jalen Milroe Higher Than 16.5 Yards Longest Rush | Underdog

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Jayden Higgins Higher Than 80.5 Receiving Yards 

Higgins has surpassed this number in 3 of 8 games this season, but I like him to have another big game on Saturday against the Jayhawks. 

Higgins leads this Iowa State offense in targets, averaging 12 targets a game over the past 5 games. Kansas ranks 68th in the country in pass defense, allowing 227 passing yards per game. They’ve allowed tons of QBs/WRs to have big games against them. He’s also coming off 16 targets and 10 receptions for 140 yards in his last game. 

This performance came in Iowa State’s lone loss of the season. I think this is important because Iowa State is only a 2.5-point favorite against Kansas. The Jayhawks have the offensive ability to score a bunch of points, which may mean we are in for a shootout. 

With Iowa State’s season on the line, they cannot afford another loss. I think Higgins will have another 10+ target game like he’s been doing almost every week this season. That should be plenty of volume for him to eclipse the 80-yard mark. 

Where to play: Jayden Higgins Higher Than 80.5 Receiving Yards | Underdog

Eric Singleton Jr. More Than 60.5 Receiving Yards 

We’re going back to the big play WR as Georgia Tech hosts #4 Miami on Saturday. 

Singleton has surpassed this number in just 4 of 9 games this season, but this is a great spot for him. Miami’s pass defense has been awful,  ranking 65th in the country, allowing 225 passing yards per game. If you’ve watched this team, you know they’re probably worse than that. Week-in and week-out we see this Miami team in a shootout, and we could be in store for another one Saturday. 

Haynes King is returning for Georgia Tech, which is huge. He should be able to get the ball down the field much more efficiently than either of his backups. Even without King the past two weeks, Singleton saw 11 and 12 targets.  

In a game Georgia Tech will be playing catch-up in, they should be throwing the ball all over the field in this one. The script and matchup line up perfectly.

Where to play: Eric Singleton Jr. More Than 60.5 Receiving Yards | Sleeper

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The post CFB Player Props – Week 11: Saturday Picks appeared first on Props.

It’s once again time to go through our best college football picks for this Week 10 Saturday slate. We sifted through tons of daily fantasy sports picks and came up with our top CFB player props for Saturday.

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CFB Player Props – Week 10 Saturday Picks

Below, Props.com analyst Kyle Krogstad breaks down his top CFB player props for Week 10.

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Amari Daniels More Than 39.5 Rushing Yards

He’s surpassed this number in 4 of 8 games this season, and all four of the games have come when he has 10+ carries. He has been digging more and more into LeVeon Moss’s starting role, as last game he had 12 carries to Moss’s 14. He also ran for 91 yards to LeVeon’s 83. I think they will continue to try and get him the ball in this one as he’s coming off his best game averaging 7.6 yards per carry. 

They get South Carolina this week, a team with a very good pass rush. A&M will try to stay away from the drop back pass game as much as possible, which might work even more in their favor if Marcel Reed starts this week (running QB). If they turn to him, I think we will see a TON of running from A&M, who ranks 13th in the country in rush attempts (42.3 per game), and 16th in the country in rush yards (running for about 206 per game). 

South Carolina’s defense is good all around, but to find success it probably comes via the ground. They’re 15th in the country in run defense, allowing only 102 rushing yards per game. However, they have not played a team that can run the ball like A&M. 

One thing I know Mike Elko won’t do is drop back all game and throw the ball. First, that isn’t their identity, especially if Marcel Reed gets the start here. Second, South Carolina’s pass rush ranks 3rd in the country, averaging 4 sacks per game. 

As good as their defense is, I think the weakness is the run game and that plays perfectly into Texas A&M’s game plan, which will be to run the ball 40ish times per game. 

I’ll ride with Daniels in a close game where he should see 10+ carries.

Where to play: Amari Daniels More Than 39.5 Rushing Yards | PrizePicks

Dylan Sampson Higher Than 101.5 Rushing Yards 

This is a number I was extremely quick to lock in with not much thought behind it. Sampson has gone over this number in 6 of 7 games this season. He averages 25 carries per game for 121 rushing yards in conference play. This is an absolute workhorse-type role for Sampson. 

Kentucky ranks 42nd in the country in rush defense, allowing 133 yards per game. However, I think they are a lot worse than that number suggests. Jarquez Hunter from Auburn just had 278 rushing yards last week against them. Two weeks ago, Jaden Baugh had 106 rushing yards. Both backs had 20+ carries, so there is no reason to think Sampson shouldn’t have that volume or better in this matchup.

Tennessee should be playing from ahead in this one and I expect them to lean on Sampson. He should end with 20+ carries and 100+ yards as he has consistently done all season long.

Where to play: Dylan Sampson Higher Than 101.5 Rushing Yards | Underdog

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Andrew Armstrong More Than 76.5 Receiving Yards 

Armstrong is over this line in 4 of 7 games, with misses coming at 72 and 76.

Arkansas gets Ole Miss in this matchup and against this defense, there’s only one way to find success, through the air. Ole Miss ranks 3rd in the country in rush defense, allowing only 84 rushing yards per game. They rank 70th in the country in pass defense, allowing 228 passing yards per game. 

In a game Arkansas just dropped 58 points (I know it was against Mississippi State), I think they might’ve found some momentum in the pass game. QB Taylen Green looked great last week. He’s going to have to play big if they want to upset Ole Miss. Armstrong correlates with Green’s success as he is by far his favorite weapon, averaging around 10 targets per game. 

I’m expecting a close game in this one and not a game where Arkansas finds much success on the ground. I think they’ll be throwing all game either to catch up with Ole Miss or to keep the foot on the gas. Give me Arkansas’ best WR to have a big game Saturday. 

Where to play: Andrew Armstrong More Than 76.5 Receiving Yards | Sleeper

Emeka Egbuka More Than 55.5 Receiving Yards 

Fourth play of the week is going to the game of the week, as the #4 Buckeyes head to Happy Valley to take on the #3 Nittany Lions. 

Penn State has a fantastic defense, but what good offense have they played? USC, who hung 30 on them. Other than that, they really haven’t faced any real competition. They rank 6th in the country in rush defense, allowing only 93 rushing yards per game. They rank 12th in the country in pass defense, allowing about 175 passing yards per game. Ohio State’s ground game has also not been as great as everyone expected with the Judkins / Henderson combo. I think Penn State will load the box and take that away and try and let Will Howard beat them. 

I chose to back Egbuka in this one, who is 25 yards lower than Jeremiah Smith. Not sure I agree with that big of a difference in this one. Egbuka is has gone over this number in 5 of 7 games, and averages just over 8 targets per game. He was non-existent in last week’s close win vs Nebraska, with only 3 catches for 20 yards. 

I’m all for going back to him in this one in what I believe is a discounted pick based on last week. The only other close game Ohio State played in was Oregon, where he had 10 catches for 93 yards. I think he’ll be somewhere around 8-10 targets, which should be plenty to get home here. 

Where to play: Emeka Egbuka More Than 55.5 Receiving Yards | Sleeper

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Omarion Hampton Higher Than 103.5 Rushing Yards 

Hampton is another workhorse running back. He’s averaging 24 carries for 113 rushing yards in ACC play. He has surpassed this number in 6 of 8 games this season, with one miss at 103 and the other he left with an injury (11 carries for 77 yards). He could very easily be 8/8 on this number and I don’t see how FSU is going to slow him down. 

Florida State has been awful vs. the run, ranked 100th in the country, allowing 179 rushing yards per game. They’ve allowed 3 out of the last 4 opposing starting RBs to rush for over 100 yards. Their season is over, with nothing much left to play for. UNC should come into this game and run the ball all day.

Hampton, similar to Sampson, just needs to keep doing what he’s been doing all year. In what should be a close game, I think there’s no reason he can’t get to this number. I have him around the 23-26 carry mark for well over 100 rushing yards.

Where to play: Omarion Hampton Higher Than 103.5 Rushing Yards | Underdog

[newsletter]

The post CFB Player Props – Week 10: Saturday Picks appeared first on Props.

It’s once again time to go through our best college football picks for this Week 9 Saturday slate. We sifted through tons of daily fantasy sports picks and came up with our top CFB player props for Saturday.

Make sure to check back every week for a new article with all of our best college football player prop picks.

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CFB Player Props – Week 9 Saturday Picks

Below, Props.com analyst Kyle Krogstad breaks down his top CFB player props for Week 9.

Jacurri Brown More Than 71.5 Rushing Yards 

Jacurri Brown is an excellent running QB, and he’s cleared this number in both games that he’s started now that UCF has turned strictly into a run team. In the two games he’s been the UCF starter, they have run the ball 39 and 40 times. He’s had 13 and 16 attempts in those games, and should get plenty of volume. 

They get #11 ranked BYU at home. In a game UCF is actually favored, I expect them to pull off an upset. The game script will be there for him to get his normal 15ish carries. BYU is an average run defense, ranked 60th in the country, allowing 145 rushing yards per game.

However, they’ve been pretty bad at defending the QB run: Oklahoma State QB’s combined for 8 carries for 96 yards, Noah Fifita from Arizona had 7 carries for 24 yards, Avery Johnson had 11 carries for 74 yards, Southern Illinois’ QBs had 15 carries for 121 yards.

Not all of those guys are dual-threat guys though. Avery Johnson and probably DJ Williams (from SIU) are the only dual-threat QBs, and they averaged 7.5 yards per carry between the two of them.

BYU also ranks 82nd in the country in sacks per game at only 1.7. That definitely helps with the negative rushing yards. In what should be a very close game, UCF should be able to keep the playbook open. Brown will get his 14+ carries and shouldn’t have any issues getting to this number. 

Where to play: Jacurri Brown More Than 71.5 Rushing Yards | Sleeper Fantasy

Micah Bernard More Than 98.5 Rushing Yards 

Micah Bernard comes into this game clearing this number in 4 of 7 games. Utah is a slight favorite against Houston on the road. Houston ranks 62nd against the run, allowing 146 rushing yards per game. 

Bernard is averaging about 17 carries per game, for an average of 104 yards. With Utah needing a win here, they really have nowhere else to go other than the run game. I find it really hard to believe that Houston pulls away in this one and forces Utah away from the ground game, so I think 15-20 carries should be no problem. 

Houston has allowed some better Big 12 RBs to gash them. Devin Neal had 108 yards, averaging over 6 yards per carry. Iowa State’s two RBs both finished right around the 100 rushing yard mark, averaging 6.9 and 9.2 yards per carry between the two of them. Corey Kiner from Cincinnati also averaged 5 yards per carry. 

In a game that Utah should be playing from ahead, I think Bernard has a big game and should get around 20 carries in this one.

Where to play: Micah Bernard More Than 98.5 Rushing Yards | PrizePicks

Marcus Carroll More Than 59.5 Rushing Yards 

Marcus Carroll is in a split backfield with Nate Noel. Noel is doubtful in this one, so it should be Carroll’s backfield. In the one other game Noel missed, Carroll had 15 carries for 91 yards. He can take on more than that in this one as he averaged about 23 carries per game last year at Georgia State.

Brady Cook, Mizzou’s starting QB is also doubtful, meaning Mizzou might have to turn to the run game. If Cook plays, I think he gives them a better chance to stay in the game, which also allows the run game to become more of a factor. Regardless, without Noel, Carroll should get all the carries.

Alabama has not been great against the run. They’ve given up an average of 141 rushing yards per game. Dylan Sampson just had 140 last week, Raheim Sanders had 78 two weeks ago, and Trevor Etienne had 55 (4.6 ypc) in a game Georgia trailed 28-0. USF even had success running against Bama, going for over 200 yards as a team. This is not your typical Alabama defense that allows nothing between the tackles. 

Where to play: Marcus Carroll More Than 59.5 Rushing Yards | Sleeper Fantasy

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Kevin Coleman More Than 69.5 Receiving Yards 

Mississippi State has been a sneaky good offense the past few weeks. Michael Van Buren has given them a great boost. They’ve faced a crazy stretch of defenses in Texas, Georgia, Texas A&M, but they get a bit of relief this week with Arkansas. Arkansas has allowed 233 passing yards per game, putting them at 79th in the country. In a game with a total nearing 60, I expect them to put up points Saturday. 

Kevin Coleman has been Van Buren’s favorite target. He’s also cleared this number in 5 of 7 games this season. Coleman leads the team in targets and since Van Buren has taken over, he has 10, 13, and 9 targets. I’m expecting around that 10+ volume again in this one. 

Miss. State has a chance to pull off an upset in this one and I think they can. They’ve put up a good fight against some solid SEC teams and now they get a bit of a break with Arkansas at home. They haven’t won a game since Week 1, and should be ready to go in this one.

Where to play: Kevin Coleman More Than 69.5 Receiving Yards | PrizePicks

Andrew Armstrong More Than 74.5 Receiving Yards 

This number is 83.5 on two other two sites, so this is a great number from Sleeper here. I’m going to run the other side of the game I mentioned above for almost all of the same reasons. 

Arkansas was also just run through the SEC gauntlet. They faced Texas A&M, Tennessee, and LSU. Now they get Miss. State, who has struggled on the defensive side of the ball. They rank toward the bottom of the country in passing defense, allowing 272 passing yards per game, which is the worst in the SEC. Armstrong has also surpassed this number in four of six games this season, and is averaging over 11 targets per game.  

I expect Miss. State to put up points in this one, mainly because they’ll be chasing Arkansas. I think Arkansas scores 30+ in this one, going against one of the worst passing defenses in the country.

Where to play: Andrew Armstrong More Than 74.5 Receiving Yards | Sleeper Fantasy

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The post CFB Player Props – Week 9: Saturday Picks appeared first on Props.

Here we go with our best college football picks for this Week 8 Saturday slate. We sifted through tons of daily fantasy sports picks and came up with our top CFB player props for Saturday.

Make sure to check back every week for a new article with all of our best college football player prop picks.

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CFB Player Props – Week 8 Saturday Picks

Below, Props.com analyst Kyle Krogstad breaks down his top CFB player props for Week 8.

Luther Burden More Than 71.5 Receiving Yards  

Burden has surpassed this number in just 3 of 6 games this season, with all the misses coming in blowout wins. In the three close games, he has an average of 8.3 targets and 92 yards. He is the guy who steps up in close games for Mizzou. 

Auburn ranks 59th in the country in pass defense, allowing just over 215 passing yards per game. However, they have a fairly solid run defense, and I think that will cause Mizzou to turn to the passing game early and often.

Missouri likes to throw the ball and is 71st in the country in pass play percentage. I think that’s their path to success on Saturday. In a game with Mizzou as 4-point favorites, I expect them to have to air it out a bit more. 

Mizzou has also yet to have a signature win. They’ve blown out bad teams and got embarrassed by Texas A&M two weeks ago. Auburn is better than their record suggests, and I think they will hang in this game from start to finish with Mizzou, which should give us plenty of passing opportunity.

This is the perfect chance to put themselves back on the nation’s map. I expect Burden to be a huge focal point for Mizzou’s success on Saturday.

Where to play: Luther Burden More Than 71.5 Receiving Yards | Underdog

Carson Beck More Than 270.5 Passing Yards 

This is a huge SEC showdown between Georgia and Texas. This is a lot of yards against a very good defense, but I really think this is a great pick. Beck has surpassed this number in just 3 of 6 games, but that is due to Georgia being up big on some of their weaker opponents.

Number one ranked Texas comes into this game 6-0. They’ve taken care of easy business week-in and week-out. If you look at some of those QBs they’ve played, the best passer and probably best offense they’ve played is maybe Michael Van Buren and Miss. State, which is not saying much at all. Georgia is light years ahead of any offense Texas has seen.

The Bulldogs turned into a bit of a shootout team, which should make this game script perfect. I’m expecting Texas to hang a big number on the board, with Georgia airing it out with Beck as their only response. 

The only game Georgia has been trailing in is against Alabama, where he had almost 500 yards passing. I can see a similar kind of game going down Saturday night.

Where to play: Carson Beck More than 270.5 Passing Yards | PrizePicks

Ryan Williams More Than 60.5 Receiving Yards (43.5 promo at Sleeper Fantasy)

I like this at the regular line, and obviously love the discounted 43.5 promo. Ryan Williams comes into this game with his only miss last week against South Carolina. He continues to lead Alabama in the receiving department, and this is a perfect matchup for him. 

Tennessee is 6th in the country in run defense, allowing just under 81 rushing yards per game. Now, they do rank 19th in pass defense, allowing only 174 passing yards per game, but they also are getting their biggest test of the season… by far. Alabama’s offense is extremely explosive with Jalen Milroe at the helm.

Tennessee’s pass defense is strictly based on getting to the passer with their fantastic pass rush. However, if Bama’s offensive line can hold up, it should be bombs away for Milroe. Tennessee blitzes the QB a lot, leaving their corners on islands. We know the big play ability of Ryan Williams in man coverage, and I’ll take that matchup any day.  

Where to play: Ryan Williams More Than 43.5 Receiving Yards | Promo at Sleeper Fantasy

Isaiah Horton More Than 40.5 Receiving Yards 

Horton comes into this Week 8 matchup cashing in 4 of 6 games (both misses were at 34 yards). He plays second option to Xavier Restrepo, but seems to have cleared out Jacolby George for that clear #2 role. 

Horton is coming off an 11-target game where he had 9 catches for 83 yards and a TD. He’s averaging 6.5 targets per game this year, which is perfect volume for a number like this. Miami also loves throwing the football, as they rank 16th in pass attempts at just over 40 per outing. 

They’ll face a bottom-tier secondary in Louisville, who rank 90th in the country, allowing around 250 passing yards per game. Those numbers are extremely skewed by a weak non-conference schedule (Austin Peay & Jax State). They allowed Haynes King to throw for 312 yards, Kevin Jennings to throw for 281 yards, and Anthony Colandrea last week had 279 passing yards. They will be facing a massive step up in competition going against this Miami offense. 

With Miami on the road as only 5-point favorites, this game might be close. They’ve been letting opponents stay in the fight the past few weeks, so I can see Louisville hanging in this one, which will keep Cam Ward’s foot on the gas all day. 

Where to play: Isaiah Horton More Than 40.5 Receiving Yards | Sleeper Fantasy

LaNorris Sellers Less Than 27.5 Rushing Yards 

Although Sellers has big play ability, I like this pick for a few reasons. 

First, Oklahoma’s run defense has been great (33rd in the country). They allowed Texas to gash them a bit, but this is South Carolina here. They also get after the QB constantly, as they rank 10th-best in the country with 3.2 sacks per game.

On the other side, South Carolina ranks 4th-worst in the country, allowing 4.3 sacks per game. That’s a recipe for success with a top-10 pass rush and a bottom-5 pass blocking team. This Oklahoma pass rush should be all over Sellers as a result. 

Now, Brent Venables is in a must-win game here. Losing might give the Sooners a potential under .500 season. The game plan will definitely be to let Sellers try to beat them with his arm. 

Where to play: LaNorris Sellers Less Than 27.5 Rushing Yards | Underdog

The post CFB Player Props – Week 8: Saturday Picks appeared first on Props.