NCAAB Archives - Props

College Basketball Props Today: Friday’s Predictions, Odds & Picks (11/21)

Justin Carlucci — Fri, 21 Nov 2025 12:25:00 +0000

We’ve got you covered for the best college basketball props today, Friday, November 21st. Friday has a few games, but there is some star power taking the hardwood. Check out our college basketball player props, college basketball predictions, and expert analysis for tonight’s biggest matchups.

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College Basketball Props Today: Top 25 Games – Friday, November 21st

Here are the biggest matchups from tonight’s college basketball slate:

Time	Matchup	TV	Spread	Notes
4:00 PM	#23 Wisconsin @ #9 BYU	Peacock	BYU -5.5	Dybantsa vs Boyd
6:30 PM	Detroit Mercy @ #17 Michigan State	BTN	MSU -30.5	Big Ten home favorite
6:30 PM	Cincinnati @ #6 Louisville	ESPN2	LOU -8.5	Both teams undefeated (4-0)
7:00 PM	Niagara @ #5 Duke	ACCN	DUKE -39.5	Duke massive favorite
7:00 PM	Loyola (MD) @ #12 Kentucky	SECN+	UK -34.5	Kentucky rolling
7:00 PM	Merrimack @ #10 Florida	SECN+	UF -35.5	Florida defense on display
8:00 PM	Jackson State @ #21 Arkansas	SECN+	ARK -29.5	Arkansas at home
8:00 PM	San José State @ San Diego State	MW Network	SDSU -12.5	Boyd leads Aztecs
10:30 PM	Presbyterian @ #19 UCLA	BTN	UCLA -25.5	Late night hammer spot

Top College Basketball Player Props Today – Friday, Nov. 21

Let’s check out some of the best player props for college basketball today.

AJ Dybantsa Higher Than 22.5 Points

AJ Dybantsa isn’t just another freshman—he’s the projected #1 pick in the 2026 NBA Draft and he’s already putting up 20.3 PPG and 6.8 RPG through his first four college games. The books have him at 22.5 points tonight, and it just seems low.

Dybantsa dropped 25 points vs UConn (the #3 team in the country) on November 15
He scored 21 points in his debut vs Villanova on November 3
Against Holy Cross on November 8, he went for 17 points in limited minutes
The kid is shooting 57.4% from the field and getting to the line 8+ times per game

Wisconsin’s defense is solid—they only allow 65 PPG—but they’ve shown vulnerability against elite individual talent. Dybantsa is matchup-proof. He scores in ball screens (1.4 PPP), in transition, and off isolation. Wisconsin can’t double him because BYU has shooters all around.

Nick Boyd Higher Than 24.5 PRA

I like Boyd to hit higher than 24.5 PRA tonight in this game.

Boyd is playing 34.2 minutes per game (team high)
He’s taken 10+ shots in every game this season
Played against quality opponents
26 points, 6 rebounds vs Duke
22 points, 5 assists vs Michigan State

Wisconsin is going to need Boyd to be Superman to stay in this game. The Badgers will funnel everything through him, and the volume alone gets you to 25+ PRA. Boyd is shooting 41.1% from three and 90.5% from the free throw line—he’s efficient AND high-usage.

Remember: When Betting CBB Props

Whether you’re in a state with full college player prop access (Kansas, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina) or you’re using pick’em platforms like PrizePicks and Underdog Fantasy, tonight’s slate offers sharp edges and tournament-winning upside.

Remember:

Verify your state allows college basketball props before betting
Use pick’em platforms if traditional sportsbooks aren’t available
Target high-usage players in favorable matchups
Manage your bankroll and don’t chase parlays

Good luck tonight. Let’s cash some college basketball player props.

College Basketball Props Strategy

Target These Player Prop Types:

Points Over/Under: Focus on high-usage players (30%+ usage rate)
Rebounds Over/Under: Target big men in uptempo games
Assists Over/Under: Primary ball-handlers in blowout wins
Combined Props (Pts + Reb + Ast): High-floor, high-ceiling players

The key to winning college basketball props today is understanding:

Pace of play (faster pace = more possessions = more stats)
Usage rates (who gets the ball in crunch time)
Matchup advantages (interior vs perimeter scoring)
Injury replacements (who steps up when stars are out)
Blowout potential (starters sit early in lopsided games)

Bankroll Management:

Start with 2-3 pick entries on PrizePicks/Underdog
Don’t chase 6-pick parlays (variance is too high)
Diversify across multiple players/games
Track your results and adjust

Where Is College Basketball Prop Betting Legal?

Understanding where college basketball props are legal is crucial before placing any bets. College player prop betting laws vary significantly by state due to NCAA lobbying efforts to protect amateur athletes.

Best Sites For College Basketball

Can I Bet On March Madness In My State?

Find out where and how to bet on March Madness in your state with the following Props.com guide:

Can I Bet On Sports In My State?

More College Basketball Betting Resources

Be sure to check out our College Basketball Betting Guide and step-by-step instructions on How To Fill Out A March Madness Bracket when the time comes.

You can find the best online sports betting and daily fantasy bonuses available in your state with the following guides:

The post College Basketball Props Today: Friday’s Predictions, Odds & Picks (11/21) appeared first on Props.

College Basketball Props Today: Predictions, Odds and Picks (11/20)

Justin Carlucci — Thu, 20 Nov 2025 13:07:00 +0000

We’ve got you covered for the best college basketball props today, Thursday, Nov. 20. Thursday has a few games, but there is some star power taking the hardwood. Check out our college basketball player props, college basketball predictions, and expert analysis for tonight’s biggest matchups.

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College Basketball Props Today: Top 25 Games – Thursday, Nov. 20

Here are the biggest matchups from tonight’s college basketball slate:

6:00 PM ET – #1 Purdue vs Memphis (FS1) | Baha Mar Championship, Nassau, Bahamas

Spread: Purdue -6.5

8:30 PM ET – #15 Texas Tech vs Wake Forest (FS1) | Baha Mar Championship

Spread: Texas Tech -4.5

9:30 PM ET – Mississippi State vs Kansas State (ESPNU) | Hall of Fame Classic, Kansas City

Spread: Kansas State -7.5

7:00 PM ET – #20 Tennessee vs Tennessee State (SECN+)

Spread: Tennessee -28.5

7:00 PM ET – #14 St. John’s vs Bucknell (FS2)

Spread: St. John’s -19.5

9:00 PM ET – Houston vs Rider (TNT)

Spread: Houston -40.5

Top College Basketball Player Props Tonight – Expert Picks (Nov. 20)

Let’s check out some of the best player props for college basketball today.

Bryce Hopkins Higher Than 20.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists

Bryce Hopkins transferred to St. John’s from Providence and is averaging 14.0 PPG, 4.0 RPG, 2.7 APG this season (20.7 PRA total). The line is set at 20.5, which is right at his season average—but here’s the edge: Hopkins is a rhythm player who’s still adjusting to a new system. He cleared this line in just 20 minutes of a blowout against William & Mary.

At Providence last season, Hopkins averaged 15.8 PPG and 8.5 RPG before injuries derailed him. He’s healthy now, and St. John’s needs him to be their primary creator. The over 20.5 PRA is a solid value play if you believe Hopkins is trending up as the season progresses.

Braden Smith Higher Than 18.5 Points

Braden Smith is the Bob Cousy Award winner (nation’s top point guard) and is averaging 17.8 PPG, 8.5 APG, 4.8 RPG this season for #1 Purdue. The line is set at 18.5 points, and Smith has already hit 20+ points twice this season (20 pts vs Oakland on Nov 7, 29 pts vs Alabama).

Memphis plays aggressive perimeter defense, but Smith is an elite scorer who can get his buckets in transition and off ball screens. He’s shooting 40% from three on 5.0 attempts per game and 76% from the free throw line. Purdue’s going to lean on Smith in a neutral-site tournament game against a quality opponent.

Remember: When Betting CBB Props

Remember:

Verify your state allows college basketball props before betting
Use pick’em platforms if traditional sportsbooks aren’t available
Target high-usage players in favorable matchups
Manage your bankroll and don’t chase parlays

Good luck tonight. Let’s cash some college basketball player props.

College Basketball Props Strategy

Target These Player Prop Types:

Points Over/Under: Focus on high-usage players (30%+ usage rate)
Rebounds Over/Under: Target big men in uptempo games
Assists Over/Under: Primary ball-handlers in blowout wins
Combined Props (Pts + Reb + Ast): High-floor, high-ceiling players

The key to winning college basketball props today is understanding:

Pace of play (faster pace = more possessions = more stats)
Usage rates (who gets the ball in crunch time)
Matchup advantages (interior vs perimeter scoring)
Injury replacements (who steps up when stars are out)
Blowout potential (starters sit early in lopsided games)

Bankroll Management:

Start with 2-3 pick entries on PrizePicks/Underdog
Don’t chase 6-pick parlays (variance is too high)
Diversify across multiple players/games
Track your results and adjust

Where Is College Basketball Prop Betting Legal?

Best Sites For College Basketball

Can I Bet On March Madness In My State?

Find out where and how to bet on March Madness in your state with the following Props.com guide:

Can I Bet On Sports In My State?

More College Basketball Betting Resources

Be sure to check out our College Basketball Betting Guide and step-by-step instructions on How To Fill Out A March Madness Bracket when the time comes.

You can find the best online sports betting and daily fantasy bonuses available in your state with the following guides:

The post College Basketball Props Today: Predictions, Odds and Picks (11/20) appeared first on Props.

College Basketball Props Today: Predictions, Odds and Picks (11/19)

Justin Carlucci — Wed, 19 Nov 2025 09:43:00 +0000

Looking for the best college basketball props today? What Wednesday’s slate lacks in quantity, it makes up for in quality. We’ve got you covered with college basketball player props, college basketball predictions, and expert analysis for tonight’s biggest matchups.

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College Basketball Props Today: Top 25 Games – Wednesday, Nov. 19

Here are the biggest matchups from tonight’s college basketball slate:

7:00 PM ET – No. 3 UConn vs No. 4 Arizona (FS1) | Gampel Pavilion, Connecticut

Spread: UConn -6.5
Total: 157.5
Key Players: Alex Karaban (UConn), Tarris Reed Jr. (UConn), Koa Peat (Arizona), Jaden Bradley (Arizona)

9:00 PM ET – No. 8 Illinois vs No. 11 Alabama (FS1) | United Center, Chicago

Spread: Illinois -3.5
Total: 182.5
Key Players: David Mirkovic (Illinois), Kasparas Jakucionis (Illinois), Mark Sears (Alabama), Grant Nelson (Alabama)

OTHER TOP 25 GAMES:

6:30 PM ET – Middle Tennessee vs No. 7 Michigan (BTN)

Spread: Michigan -24.5
Total: 159.5

8:00 PM ET – North Dakota vs Creighton
9:00 PM ET – Campbell vs Weber State
10:00 PM ET – Marquette vs Dayton

Top College Basketball Player Props Tonight (Nov. 19)

Let’s check out some of the best player props for college basketball today.

Koa Peat Higher Than 16.5 Points

Game: No. 4 Arizona @ No. 3 UConn | 7:00 PM ET

Koa Peat is the freshman phenom Arizona brought in, and he’s been absolutely dominant through the first four games. He’s averaging 16.3 PPG on 55% shooting and is Arizona’s primary scorer and creation engine. Against UConn’s defense (top-10 nationally), Peat will still get his looks.

Pick: Koa Peat Higher Than 16.5 Points

Alex Karaban Higher Than 1.5 Made 3-Pointers

Game: No. 3 UConn vs No. 4 Arizona | 7:00 PM ET

Alex Karaban is shooting 63% from three (top-20 nationally) and is UConn’s elite perimeter scorer. Sure, regression is likely coming. But against Arizona’s perimeter defense (not their strength), Karaban’s going to get clean looks. He’s attempting nearly 5 threes per game.

Pick: Alex Karaban Higher Than 1.5 Made 3-Pointers

Remember: When Betting CBB Props

Remember:

Verify your state allows college basketball props before betting
Use pick’em platforms if traditional sportsbooks aren’t available
Target high-usage players in favorable matchups
Manage your bankroll and don’t chase parlays

Good luck tonight. Let’s cash some college basketball player props.

College Basketball Props Strategy

Target These Player Prop Types:

Points Over/Under: Focus on high-usage players (30%+ usage rate)
Rebounds Over/Under: Target big men in uptempo games
Assists Over/Under: Primary ball-handlers in blowout wins
Combined Props (Pts + Reb + Ast): High-floor, high-ceiling players

The key to winning college basketball props today is understanding:

Pace of play (faster pace = more possessions = more stats)
Usage rates (who gets the ball in crunch time)
Matchup advantages (interior vs perimeter scoring)
Injury replacements (who steps up when stars are out)
Blowout potential (starters sit early in lopsided games)

Bankroll Management:

Start with 2-3 pick entries on PrizePicks/Underdog
Don’t chase 6-pick parlays (variance is too high)
Diversify across multiple players/games
Track your results and adjust

Where Is College Basketball Prop Betting Legal?

Best Sites For College Basketball

Can I Bet On March Madness In My State?

Find out where and how to bet on March Madness in your state with the following Props.com guide:

Can I Bet On Sports In My State?

More College Basketball Betting Resources

Be sure to check out our College Basketball Betting Guide and step-by-step instructions on How To Fill Out A March Madness Bracket when the time comes.

You can find the best online sports betting and daily fantasy bonuses available in your state with the following guides:

The post College Basketball Props Today: Predictions, Odds and Picks (11/19) appeared first on Props.

College Basketball Props Today: Player Predictions, Odds and Matchups (11/18)

Justin Carlucci — Tue, 18 Nov 2025 08:48:00 +0000

Looking for the best college basketball props today? Tuesday features a massive slate of NCAA basketball games, headlined by the State Farm Champions Classic at Madison Square Garden. Whether you’re building DFS lineups, playing pick-em games, or betting props traditionally, we’ve got you covered with college basketball player props, college basketball predictions, and expert analysis for tonight’s biggest matchups.

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College Basketball Props Today: Top 25 Games – Tuesday, November 18

Here are the biggest matchups from tonight’s massive college basketball slate:

6:30 PM ET – ESPN

#17 Michigan State Spartans vs. #12 Kentucky Wildcats

Spread: Kentucky -5.5
Total: 150.5
Location: Madison Square Garden, New York, NY

9:00 PM ET – ESPN

#24 Kansas Jayhawks vs. #5uke Blue Devils

Spread: Duke -10.5
Total: 150.5
Location: Madison Square Garden, New York, NY
Key Player Prop Target: Cameron Boozer (Duke) – 22.5 PPG, 9.5 RPG

OTHER TOP 25 GAMES

7:00 PM ET – ACC Network

Navy Midshipmen @ #18 North Carolina Tar Heels

Spread: UNC -24.5
Total: 158.5
Key Player Prop Target: Caleb Wilson (UNC) – 20.0 PPG, 9.5 RPG

8:00 PM ET – SEC Network+

Winthrop Eagles @ #21 Arkansas Razorbacks

Spread: Arkansas -19.5
Total: TBD

10:30 PM ET – BTN

Sacramento State Hornets @ #19 UCLA Bruins

Spread: UCLA -28.5
Total: TBD

BIG EAST CONFERENCE GAMES (7:00 PM ET)

New Haven @ Seton Hall (Spread: Seton Hall -25.5)
New Hampshire @ Providence (Spread: Providence -27.5)
Old Dominion @ Xavier (Spread: Xavier -10.5)
Gardner-Webb @ DePaul (Spread: DePaul -22.5)

OTHER NOTABLE GAMES

Tennessee-Martin @ Florida State (7:00 PM ET)
Eastern Kentucky @ Kent State (7:00 PM ET)
Jacksonville @ George Mason (7:00 PM ET, ESPN+)
Saint Francis @ Lehigh (7:00 PM ET, ESPN+)
North Carolina A&T @ Morgan State (7:00 PM ET)
Boston College @ Davidson (Charleston Classic, 7:00 PM ET)

Top College Basketball Player Props Tonight (Nov. 18)

Let’s check out some of the best player props for college basketball today.

Cameron Boozer (Duke) vs Kansas – 9:00 PM ET

DFS Platform: PrizePicks, Underdog, DraftKings
Why: Kansas missing Darryn Peterson, Duke plays fast, Boozer averaging 22.5 PPG
Don’t miss: Our FULL Cameron Boozer props breakdown!

Caleb Wilson (UNC) vs Navy – 7:00 PM ET

DFS Platform: PrizePicks, Underdog, DraftKings
Why: Navy allows 80+ PPG, Wilson averaging 20.0 PPG and 9.5 RPG
Don’t miss: Our FULL Caleb Wilson props breakdown.

Otega Oweh (Kentucky) vs Michigan State – 6:30 PM ET

Projection: 16 pts, 3 ast, 5 reb
DFS Platform: PrizePicks, Underdog, DraftKings
Why: Oweh is a force inside.

Remember: When Betting CBB Props

Remember:

Verify your state allows college basketball props before betting
Use pick’em platforms if traditional sportsbooks aren’t available
Target high-usage players in favorable matchups
Manage your bankroll and don’t chase parlays

Good luck tonight. Let’s cash some college basketball player props.

College Basketball Props Strategy

Target These Player Prop Types:

Points Over/Under: Focus on high-usage players (30%+ usage rate)
Rebounds Over/Under: Target big men in uptempo games
Assists Over/Under: Primary ball-handlers in blowout wins
Combined Props (Pts + Reb + Ast): High-floor, high-ceiling players

The key to winning college basketball props today is understanding:

Pace of play (faster pace = more possessions = more stats)
Usage rates (who gets the ball in crunch time)
Matchup advantages (interior vs perimeter scoring)
Injury replacements (who steps up when stars are out)
Blowout potential (starters sit early in lopsided games)

Bankroll Management:

Start with 2-3 pick entries on PrizePicks/Underdog
Don’t chase 6-pick parlays (variance is too high)
Diversify across multiple players/games
Track your results and adjust

Where Is College Basketball Prop Betting Legal?

Best Sites For College Basketball

Can I Bet On March Madness In My State?

Find out where and how to bet on March Madness in your state with the following Props.com guide:

Can I Bet On Sports In My State?

More College Basketball Betting Resources

Be sure to check out our College Basketball Betting Guide and step-by-step instructions on How To Fill Out A March Madness Bracket when the time comes.

You can find the best online sports betting and daily fantasy bonuses available in your state with the following guides:

The post College Basketball Props Today: Player Predictions, Odds and Matchups (11/18) appeared first on Props.

College Basketball Player Props – Best CBB Picks Today

Justin Bales — Mon, 07 Apr 2025 10:25:06 +0000

There’s a sizable edge when it comes to betting on college basketball player props. With so many NCAA basketball teams to cover, operators are more likely to offer exploitable numbers compared to popular markets like NBA player props.

In this article, we’ll attempt to uncover those hidden gems by listing our best college basketball player props today — for nearly every slate of the college hoops season. You better believe we’ll go hard in the paint with college basketball picks for conference tournaments and March Madness as well!

With that, let’s dive into our best college basketball player props today while letting you know where these numbers are available.

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College Basketball Player Props Today: Monday, April 7 (National Championship)

Justin Bales runs through his favorite NCAAB player props throughout the college basketball regular season and March Madness.

J’Wan Roberts Higher Than 19.5 PRA

Roberts has enjoyed a solid season for the Houston Cougars. He’s averaging 10.7 points on 8.9 FGA and 2.8 FTA in 30.2 minutes per game. He’s also averaging 6.5 rebounds and 1.8 assists per game this season.

Roberts has looked outstanding when playing 30+ minutes in the NCAA Tournament. He saw limited minutes in a blowout against SIUE and played only 16 minutes against Tennessee because of foul issues. In his three games with 30+ minutes, he’s averaging 11.3 points, 10.7 rebounds, and 4.3 assists per game.

Roberts gets an interesting matchup against the Florida Gators in the Championship. They feature an elite defense, but they also love to push the pace in their games. Florida also forces their opponents to beat them at the rim. Once there, they’re willing to foul as well.

Big men have found varying degrees of success against them in recent games. Here are how some bigs have performed against them in the tournament:

Johni Broome – 24 PRA in 34 minutes
Dylan Cardwell – 17 in 23
JT Toppin – 32 in 32
Derik Queen – 33 in 34
Julian Reese – 23 in 33
Samson Johnson – 21 in 24
Tarris Reed – 14 in 16

Roberts isn’t going to be the focal point of the Florida defense in this game. He should have some open shots at the rim, and he makes a great option at this number.

Where to Play: J’Wan Roberts higher than 19.5 PRA | 1.07x at Underdog

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Walter Clayton Jr. Higher Than 19.5 Points

Clayton is one of the best stories in the NCAA, and he’s been the leader of this Florida Gators team throughout the season. He’s averaging 18.5 points in 32.6 minutes thus far. He’s also averaging 13.5 FGA, 7.8 3PA, and 3.7 FTA per game.

Clayton has been unbelievable throughout the NCAA Tournament. He’s recorded 23+ points in four of his five games. He’s also coming off back-to-back 30+ point games against the Texas Tech Red Raiders and Auburn Tigers.

Clayton gets a bad matchup against the Houston Cougars tonight. They feature the best defense in the NCAA, and they love slowing the pace down. The only plus is that Houston forces their opponents to shoot from deep, which is what Clayton wants to do.

The Cougars are a team that loves to blitz the ball, which will take it out of Clayton’s hands. He’s a player who finds plenty of success off-ball anyway, though. This isn’t likely going to be as big of an issue for him as it would be for someone who needs the ball in their hands to create.

The other aspect is that Clayton will simply be the best player on the floor. He isn’t a player who needs to take conventional shots, as he can pull up from virtually anywhere on the court.

Clayton’s total has the pace and defense baked into it, and I’m willing to take a chance on the best scorer in this game.

Where to Play: Walter Clayton higher than 19.5 points | 0.9x at Underdog

MORE CONTENT: NBA | MLB | NHL | CBB | PGA | SOC | CS2

Where Else To Place College Basketball Props & Picks

The following sportsbooks have more than enough options to satisfy your college basketball player props needs. As outlined before, always shop around for the best price when it comes to NCAAB bets.

On top of that, our team found the best available bonus offers at each listed sportsbook. If you are new to any of these betting apps, be sure to use our exclusive links and promo codes to claim your free bets:

Best Sites For College Basketball

Can I Bet On March Madness In My State?

Find out where and how to bet on March Madness in your state with the following Props.com guide:

Can I Bet On Sports In My State?

More College Basketball Betting Resources

Be sure to check out our College Basketball Betting Guide and step-by-step instructions on How To Fill Out A March Madness Bracket when the time comes.

You can find the best online sports betting and daily fantasy bonuses available in your state with the following guides:

The post College Basketball Player Props – Best CBB Picks Today appeared first on Props.

College Basketball Middling Guide – Strategy & Tips

Justin Bales — Mon, 03 Mar 2025 08:00:53 +0000

College basketball middling can be an elite strategy if implemented correctly.

We asked our analyst, Justin Bales, to break down all you need to know about using this strategy in college basketball betting.

Make sure to check out the different examples, tips, and strategy that will help you boost your bankroll.

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College Basketball Middling Example

College basketball is one of the most volatile sports in the world. It’s one of the reasons we’ve seen two 16-seeds upside the top overall team in the country in recent years in March Madness.

Essentially, college basketball is a game of runs. There are plenty of times when teams go back and forth, but the majority of competitive games feature big runs by each team. Live betting on this sport isn’t for the faint of heart.

The Kansas Jayhawks played the North Carolina Tar Heels on Nov. 9, 2024. Kansas was a 7.5-point favorite when the game started. With 1:43 remaining in the first half, the Jayhawks boasted a 20-point lead. The game ended 92-89 with Kansas taking the win.

At one point, Kansas was projected to have a 90% chance to cover the spread. UNC ultimately covered with ease. They also projected that at varying times during the game, Kansas had a 99% chance to win and North Carolina had an 80% chance to win.

This shows the volatility of college basketball with the Tar Heels being down 20 points late in the first half but up 2 points with only 2:03 left in the game. These types of games create elite middling opportunities.

Guaranteed Profit Middling Opportunity

This isn’t some crazy get-rich-quick trick. You can guarantee profit by middling plus-odd bets throughout the game. These are generally done through moneyline bets rather than spreads or totals. This type of betting limits your risk, but it also limits your upside.

The simplest way to guarantee profit is by betting both sides at plus odds. Here’s an example:

Kentucky is playing UCLA with the latter being a pre-game +150 underdog. You bet 1 unit on UCLA to return 2.5 units (profit 1.5). The Bruins get out to a massive lead early in the game, and Kentucky shoots to a +150 underdog themselves.

At this point, you can bet 1 unit on the Wildcats to guarantee profit. Once again, it’d be 1 unit to return 2.5 units (profit 1.5). Overall, you’d bet 2 units to return 2.5 units. Regardless of who wins, you’ve now guaranteed to profit 0.5 units on this game.

You don’t strictly have to bet on pre-game underdogs to guarantee profit during the game, though. Here’s another example:

Tennessee is a -125 favorite over Duke. Before the game, you bet 1.25 units on Tennessee to return 2.25 units (profit 1 unit). The Volunteers take an early lead, and the Blue Devils shift to +250 underdogs.

You can now bet 1 unit on Duke to return 3.5 units (profit 2.5). In this situation, you’d break even if Tennessee wins and profit 1.25 units if Duke wins.

It’s important to understand that this type of betting isn’t quite as simple as betting an underdog and profit. If you bet on an underdog and they can’t get out to a solid lead at any point in the game, you’re never going to have the middling opportunity.

Still, if you have a great feel for games, you can guarantee profit when teams go on runs throughout the game.

High-Risk, High-Reward Middling Opportunity

You can use spreads and game totals to get more upside on your middling opportunity, although it comes with more risk.

For example, you bet Purdue as a 6.5-point favorite (-110) before the game begins. They get out to an early lead against Florida State, and the Seminoles balloon to a +14.5 point underdog (-110). You can now bet on Florida State to limit losses and add upside to your bet.

Here’s how it would look:

1.1 units to return 2.1 units (profit 1) on Purdue -6.5
1.1 units to return 2.1 units (profit 1) on Florida State +14.5

If Purdue wins by 6 or fewer or Florida State loses by 15 or more, you’ll lose 0.2 units. If the game ends with Purdue winning by 6 or less or Florida State winning by 14 or less, you’ll win 4.2 units (profit 2) because you hit the middle.

This is the same process for the game total. If you bet the under pre-game, you’ll have to bet the live over during the game to find a middling opportunity. If you bet the over pre-game, you’ll bet the live under to create a middling opportunity.

College basketball is one of the most volatile sports for several reasons. This volatility creates opportunities, though, as long as you’re willing to be available to live bet the games.

The post College Basketball Middling Guide – Strategy & Tips appeared first on Props.

Best College Basketball Bets Today – Top NCAAB Picks & Odds (Updated Daily)

Spencer Limbach — Sat, 01 Apr 2023 07:05:02 +0000

Looking for the best college basketball bets today? You came to the right place! In this article, the Props crew will outline their top NCAAB picks for every day of the season. We mean it! Conference tournament morning games? Yep. March Madness? Of course! A random Friday slate with only Ivy League games? Let’s do it!

Below are our best college basketball bets today. These top NCAAB picks usually come in the form of a spread, total, or even a short moneyline pick. Be sure to check our college basketball betting page for more top selections and individual game write-ups.

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Best College Basketball Bets Today: Saturday, April 1

San Diego State vs. Florida Atlantic Under 131.5

This is a matchup between two “under teams”. San Diego State has gone under the total in every NCAA Tournament game so far. The Aztecs are a tough defensive team that ranks top five in defensive efficiency. Florida Atlantic is strong without the ball too, ranking 15th in opponent effective field goal rate. The Owls are also 30th in adjusted defensive efficiency.

We can’t overlook the fact that this is the big stage and will be played in a football stadium. That can sometimes throw off shooters in their first game with that environment.

Add it all up, and the under looks like a strong bet for this Final Four game.

The Pick: Under 131.5 | -110 at DraftKings Sportsbook

Previous Results

Overall: 17-20 | -4.58 units

[accordion title=”Best NCAAB Bet History”]

Where To Place College Basketball Bets

The following sportsbooks have more than enough options to satisfy your NCAAB betting needs. As outlined before, always shop around for the best price when it comes to college basketball bets.

DraftKings Sportsbook Review: Always updated with the best available bonus.
FanDuel Sportsbook Review: Always updated with the best available bonus.
Caesars Sportsbook Review: Grab this risk-free bet!
BetMGM Review: Get up to a $1,500 refund in bonus bets if your first bet loses.
Betway Review: Get up to a $250 risk-free bet.
Tipico Free Bet: Redeem a $100 risk-free bet.
Bet365 Review: Bet $1 to get $200.
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Underdog Fantasy Review: Best offer available!

Best College Basketball Bets Today: Sunday, March 26

Texas -4 (vs. Miami FL)

You could argue that Texas has been the most dominant team in college basketball over the last three weeks. The Longhorns beat Kansas by 16 in the regular season finale. Then they march through the Big 12 Tournament, beating Kansas by 20 in the final. Texas then had relatively comfortable wins over Colgate, Penn State, and Xavier in the NCAA Tournament.

This isn’t a matchup where Texas will take its foot off the gas pedal.

The Longhorns are one of the most balanced teams in the nation. Both Texas and Miami rank in the top 15 for offensive efficiency, but the Longhorns are head and shoulders above the Hurricanes in the defensive rankings: No. 10 vs. 104.

Give credit to Miami for reaching the Elite Eight in back-to-back seasons, but I believe the Hurricanes will come up short once again. Texas is one of the best teams in the nation, and they don’t have any glaring weaknesses. Let’s take the Longhorns to cover the four-point spread.

The Pick: Texas -4 | -110 at DraftKings Sportsbook

Best College Basketball Bets Today: Saturday, March 25

Kansas Sate -2 (vs. Florida Atlantic)

We reference KenPom.com plenty in this article series. It’s a great reference tool for college hoops. If you go to the matchup page for this game, it suggests FAU has the upper hand, ranking 17th overall compared to 21 for Kansas State. It also has the Owls winning this game outright.

While I understand (and respect) what goes into those rankings and projections, I’m going to disagree here. Kansas State has the “it factor” while playing with a ton of confidence. You could argue the Wildcats are more battle-tested as well. After all, they ran through the gauntlet of the Big 12 then outlasted Kentucky and Michigan State down the stretch of the last two rounds.

Florida Atlantic is no slouch, and its comeback win over Tennessee was impressive. However, I believe Kansas State has more options for late-game execution, led by Markquis Nowell and Keyontae Johnson. This should be a fun one, but ultimately KSU should win and cover the short spread.

The Pick: Kansas State -2 | -110 at DraftKings Sportsbook

Best College Basketball Bets Today: Friday, March 24

Alabama-San Diego State Under 137

Alabama and San Diego State both profile as strong defensive teams that rank top five in defensive efficiency. The Crimson Tide play fast (6th in tempo), but San Diego State will attempt to slow them down and limit baskets in transition.

Both teams lean towards the under. Alabama has gone 5-1 to the under in its last six games. Keep in mind that five of those were either in the conference or NCAA tournament, so the Crimson Tide have favored the under in that format.

Meanwhile, the Aztecs have gone under the total in 14 of their last 17 games. This is a tried and true “under team” that will attempt to slow the game down to keep within striking distance of Alabama.

Put it all together, and you have a strong pick on under 137 total points.

The Pick: Under 137 total points | -110 at DraftKings Sportsbook

Best College Basketball Bets Today: Thursday, March 23

Gonzaga moneyline +115 (vs. UCLA)

In my opinion, this game is a true 50-50 coin flip. Both of these squads are legitimate title contenders, but it feels like Gonzaga can win at the margins. That’s especially true when considering UCLA has injuries in the frontcourt with David Singleton and Adem Bona. Both are listed as questionable, but they’ll probably be less than 100% even if they take the court. That’s key because those players will be tasked with slowing down arguably the best player on the court: Gonzaga forward Drew Timme.

Gonzaga is hot, and I like them to prevail in this game. Go ahead and give me the Zags to win outright at plus-money odds.

The Pick: Gonzaga moneyline | +115 at DraftKings Sportsbook

Best College Basketball Bets Today: Saturday, March 18

Moneyline Parlay: San Diego State + Houston (-102)

The second round of the NCAA Tournament starts today, and we have a good ol’ fashioned moneyline parlay in the works. Essentially, we are taking San Diego State and Houston to both win outright, then bundling that into a parlay for -102 odds.

Furman’s win on Thursday was unbelievable. However, let’s be clear about it: Virginia lost that game more than Furman won it. San Diego State has one of the best defenses in college basketball, and the Aztecs are a grind-it-out style of team that usually translates well to the tournament.

Houston and Auburn are both strong defensive teams. However, the Cougars also rank 11th in adjusted offensive efficiency. Simply put, Houston should outscore Auburn with better execution down the stretch. This game won’t be pretty, but that’s how the Cougars like to play. This game will be strength vs. strength and Houston is more than fine with that approach.

Where to bet: San Diego State + Houston | -102 at DraftKings Sportsbook

Best College Basketball Bets Today: Thursday, March 16

West Virginia -2.5 (vs. Maryland)

Maryland has been a solid team this season. Correction: Maryland has been a solid team this season at home. The Terrapins went 15-1 in College Park while gaining most of their resume-boosting wins in their home building. Now they are at a neutral site against a battle-tested opponent in a high-pressure tournament atmosphere.

West Virginia has been solid down the stretch, nearly beating Kansas on the road while outlasting Iowa State and Kansas State. The Mountaineers’ length will give the Terps problems, and WVU has a decided advantage in terms of offensive efficiency and rebounding.

Let’s take West Virginia to win this game, cover the spread, and advance to the second round.

Where to bet: West Virginia -2.5 | -110 at DraftKings Sportsbook

Best College Basketball Bets Today: Wednesday, March 15

Nevada moneyline (vs. Arizona State)

The public seems to be leaning towards Arizona State in this game, as the Sun Devils are the Power 5 option. However, most advantages in this matchup go to the Wolfpack as the underdog. According to KenPom, Nevada has an advantage in several important categories. First off, the Wolfpack rank 61st in offensive efficiency compared to 133rd for Arizona State. Nevada ranks 25th in turnover rate, sixth in free throw percentage, and 44th in defensive rebound rate. Those are key factors when considering this will be a close game with every possession counting.

On the contrary, Arizona State ranks 313th in defensive rebound rate, 288th in free throw percentage, and 308th in effective field goal percentage. Yes, the Sun Devils have a solid defense that ranks 29th overall, but the Wolfpack should be able to outscore ASU down the stretch and win in the margins like rebounding, free throws, and turnovers. Take Nevada.

Where to bet: Nevada moneyline | +120 at DraftKings Sportsbook

Best College Basketball Bets Today: Tuesday, March 14

Pittsburgh moneyline +120 (vs. Mississippi State)

This is one of the First Four games played in Dayton, OH with a start time of 9:10 p.m. ET. It feels like the wrong team is favored here, and that’s why I’m rolling with the Pittsburgh moneyline.

Mississippi State has a strong defense that ranks sixth in the nation (per KenPom). However, I don’t believe that’s enough to make up for a lackluster offense, poor free throw shooting, and a high turnover rate. The Bulldogs rank 328th in effective field goal percentage, 257th in turnover rate, 363 in three-point percentage, and 347th in free throw rate. Yikes! That’s not a great recipe when heading into a tight tournament game.

Pittsburgh has the ability to outscore Mississippi State, and there’s a good chance the Panthers will protect the ball much better while sinking free throws (38th in free throw percentage) down the stretch. In other words, Pitt will do all the little things to get this win. The Panthers also have numerous scorers (Burton, Hinson, Cummings, Elliott all average double figures) to crack this Mississippi State defense. One of them is bound to get hot.

Where to bet: Pittsburgh moneyline | +120 at DraftKings Sportsbook

Best College Basketball Bets Today: Sunday, March 12

Memphis +6 (vs. Houston)

Houston will probably be the top overall seed in the NCAA Tournament regardless of how this game turns out. There’s a good chance Memphis is more motivated to get this win, and the Tigers came close against Houston in both games this season. Memphis lost 64-72 at Houston on Feb. 19 and almost pulled off the upset (67-65) at home on March 5. This is the Tigers chance at redemption.

Memphis is feeling good too, fresh off a 94-54 walloping of Tulane in the previous round. Meanwhile, Houston will limp into this contest with guard Marcus Sasser sustaining a groin injury in yesterday’s game.

We know that Memphis is capable of pulling off the upset or at least keeping it close. I’m expecting the Tigers to bring more energy, and Houston potentially missing Sasser (listed as questionable) and his 17.5 points per game is huge.

Where to bet: Memphis +6 | -110 at DraftKings Sportsbook

Best College Basketball Bets Today: Friday, March 10

Indiana -1 (vs. Maryland)

Maryland took care of business against Minnesota — the Big Ten’s worst team — with a 70-54 win last night. However, the Terrapins will notice a huge step up in competition against Indiana on Friday.

Maryland has struggled away from home this season. This isn’t a true road game, but we need to consider that the Terps lost four straight games away from home to finish the regular season. Maryland finished just 1-8 on the road in the Big Ten. The Terps’ best wins this season came at home, and they won’t have the luxury of playing in the Xfinity Center on Friday.

Indiana is more battle-tested outside of its own building, and the Hoosiers will have fresher legs for this game. Indiana has been very strong in close games this season, and it will likely need to flex that muscle in this tight contest.

Where to bet: Indiana -1 | -110 at DraftKings Sportsbook

Best College Basketball Bets Today: Thursday, March 9

Colorado +9 (vs. UCLA)

This game tips off at 3 p.m. ET as part of the Pac-12 Tournament. As it stands, UCLA seems to be heading for a 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament. However, Colorado could give them a proper challenge in this game.

The Buffaloes have been playing quality basketball, which includes a near upset of UCLA (lost 60-56 at home) on Feb. 26. Colorado gets the job done on defense while ranking 19th in adjusted defensive efficiency per KenPom. In other words, the Buffs can throw UCLA off their game on that side of the floor while trying to shorten this game and hang around.

Where to bet: Colorado +9 | -105 at DraftKings Sportsbook

Best College Basketball Bets Today: Wednesday, March 8

Virginia Tech moneyline (vs. NC State)

I’m taking Virginia Tech to notch the outright upset in the second round of the ACC Tournament. Let’s be honest here, this wouldn’t be much of an upset, as these are evenly-matched teams playing on a neutral court.

The Hokies have been playing good basketball as of late, and they hung on to beat Notre Dame 67-64 last night. I’m not worried about Virginia Tech playing on a back-to-back in this spot, as it could serve as a small advantage to being more familiar with the arena/court.

Virginia Tech has the motivational edge here too. The Hokies’ season would end with a loss. That’s not necessarily true for NC State, as most bracket experts have the Wolfpack making the Big Dance regardless of what happens in this ACC Tournament.

Where to bet: Virginia Tech moneyline | +130 at DraftKings Sportsbook

Best College Basketball Bets Today: Tuesday, March 7

Gonzaga-St. Mary’s Over 138

Gonzaga has the best offense in the nation, and the Zags play relatively fast while ranking 43rd in adjusted tempo. St. Mary’s plays much slower (359th in tempo), but the Gaels have run with Gonzaga in two meetings this season. St. Mary’s won the first matchup 78-70 at home (148 total points), and Gonzaga took the second matchup by a score of 77-68 for 145 total points.

This conference tournament game on a neutral site has a chance to be “tighter” than those regular season contests, but this feels like an overreaction. St. Mary’s and BYU combined for 145 total points in the West Coast Tournament game yesterday, and now the Gaels are taking on the best offense in the country. Take the over!

Where to bet: Gonzaga-St. Mary’s over 138 | -110 at DraftKings Sportsbook

Best College Basketball Bets Today: Monday, March 6

North Dakota State-South Dakota State Under 140.5

We cashed North Dakota State-South Dakota Under 142.5 on Sunday. The same rationale applies to NDSU’s next game in the Summit League Tournament.

These teams split this total in two meetings this season, as the first matchup was 65-59 and the second was 90-85. It feels like we’ll get something closer to the former on Monday night.

Neither side plays fast, as South Dakota State ranks 223rd in adjusted tempo and NDSU is 145th. Both teams went under the total in their first Summit League Tournament game, and now they are playing on short rest. This game should be highly competitive at both ends, and we could see tired legs (and missed jumpers) down the stretch.

Where to bet: NDSU-South Dakota State Under 140.5 | -110 at BetMGM

Best College Basketball Bets Today: Sunday, March 5

North Dakota State-South Dakota Under 142.5

This game tips off at 9:30 p.m. ET, and the total is way too high. Let’s consider the following points:

The first time these two teams met (Jan. 7), they combined for 134 points.
The second time these two teams met (Feb. 2), they combined for 133 points.
South Dakota ranks 241st in tempo and NDSU is 145th.

Now we are in a tournament setting, so I’m expecting both teams to come out with energy on defense and play somewhat “tighter” with a low-scoring game. Go ahead and take the under.

Where to bet: NDSU-South Dakota Under 142.5 | -110 at BetMGM

Best College Basketball Bets Today: Saturday, March 4

Fordham -1.5 (vs. Duquesne)

I’m not sure why the spread is so small here. Fordham has been a very strong team at home this season, holding a 17-2 record in its own building. That includes five straight wins, even beating one of the top teams in the conference (St. Louis) by 10 points.

Fordham beat Duquesne on the road earlier this season (Jan. 21) by a score of 65-58. The Dukes have won six of their last eight games, but the competition hasn’t necessarily been strong. In fact, Duquesne is 1-3 against the top four teams in the Atlantic 10 — which includes Fordham.

This line seems off, and the best place to bet Fordham -1.5 is BetMGM for -105 odds. Let’s go ahead and lay 1.05 units to win 1 unit.

Where to bet: Fordham -1.5 | -105 at BetMGM

More College Basketball Betting Resources

Be sure to check out our College Basketball Betting Guide and step-by-step instructions on How To Fill Out A March Madness Bracket when the time comes.

You can find the best online sports betting bonuses available in your state with the following guides:

The post Best College Basketball Bets Today – Top NCAAB Picks & Odds (Updated Daily) appeared first on Props.

College Basketball Championship Game Odds: North Carolina vs Kansas

Patrick Everson — Mon, 04 Apr 2022 23:45:13 +0000

March Madness now goes to the first Monday of April, and we all know what that means: College basketball championship game odds are on the board.

While coach Mike Krzyzewski won’t get to end his 42-year Duke career with one more shining moment, it still should be a tremendous title tilt. A pair of bluebloods square off when No. 1 seed Kansas meets No. 8 seed North Carolina at the Superdome.

Props.com breaks down the massive matchup, with insights from multiple oddsmakers on NCAA championship game odds and action. Check back for updates through Monday night’s tipoff.

https://youtu.be/aAedstO5Dhs

College Basketball Championship Game Odds

Matchup	Time	Spread	Over/Under
No. 8 North Carolina vs No. 1 Kansas	9:20 p.m. ET Monday	Kansas -4 (-115)	151.5 (Over -115)

Odds via FanDuel and updated as of 7:30 p.m. ET on April 4.

[amaff_cta slug=”fanduel”]

No. 8 North Carolina vs No. 1 Kansas

Image Credit: Robert Deutsch-USA TODAY Sports

UPDATE 7;30 P.M. ET MONDAY: Less than two hours pre-tip, TwinSpires Sportsbook has Kansas a steady 4-point favorite, where the Jayhawks opened late Saturday night. North Carolina is seeing the modest majority of tickets and money, at 59% and 57%, respectively. Further, the Tar Heels are taking the bulk of moneyline action, at 56% of tickets/62% of cash. Carolina is currently +160 on the moneyline, while Kansas is a -205 chalk.

“The public is siding with the Tar Heels. We’ll need Kansas in this one,” TwinSpires director of retail sports Zachary Lucas said. “Kansas is also the better result in the futures market.”

The total dropped from the 153 opener to 151.5, but in the past half-hour inched up to 152. The Under is taking 53% of tickets and 61% of cash.

UPDATE 5 P.M. ET MONDAY: Four-plus hours before game time, Kansas sits at -4 (-115) on FanDuel’s college basketball championship game odds board. The Jayhawks opened at 4 flat late Saturday night, rose to -4.5 within a half-hour, dipped to -4 (-115) Sunday afternoon and hasn’t moved since. Kansas is drawing 59% of spread bets and 58% of spread dollars. Moneyline opinion is split, with North Carolina (currently +158) seeing 69% of tickets, while 55% of cash is on Kansas (currently -192).

The total opened at 152.5, ticked up to 153 within a few minutes and reached 153.5 within an hour. Late Sunday morning, the number returned to 152.5 and by this morning bottomed out at 151.5 (Over -115), where it sits now. Contrary to the drop, tickets and money are running 2/1 on the Over.

UPDATE 12:30 P.M. ET MONDAY: On Saturday night, DraftKings pegged Kansas a 4-point favorite in the college basketball championship game odds market. Sunday morning, the number nudged to -4.5, but returned to -4 less than two hours later. The Jayhawks are seeing 62% of spread tickets and 56% of spread dollars. The total opened at 152, quickly popped up to 153, returned to 152 late Sunday morning and in the past hour dipped to 151.5. Still, tickets and money are in the 3/1 range on the Over.

[accordion title=”Previous North Carolina vs Kansas Odds Updates”]

UPDATE 9 P.M. ET SUNDAY: With tipoff 24 hours away, Kansas is a 4.5-point favorite at WynnBet, matching the opening line after spending a few hours early today at -5. Ticket count is 2/1 and money 6/1 on underdog North Carolina. The Tar Heels are also seeing the bulk of moneyline play, at 60% of tickets/82% of cash.

Regardless, the book is in a good position to both teams, even with some North Carolina championship futures bets at long odds pre-Tournament and earlier in the Tourney.

“We are just glad Gonzaga is not playing in this game,” WynnBet junior trader Andy Morrissey said. “We win pretty big to Kansas and to North Carolina, as well. They’ve been betting Carolina since the beginning of the Tournament.”

That said, it’s mostly small stuff at +7,500 or less, with the most noteworthy bet being $100 at 75/1, to win $7,500.

The total opened at 153 and inched down to 152.5 late this morning, although tickets are 2/1 and money 4/1 on the Over.

UPDATE 11:30 P.M ET SATURDAY: After spoiling Coach K’s storybook ending, North Carolina now hopes its surprising run to the NCAA championship game ends with a net-cutting ceremony Monday night. Regardless, with Kansas as the other participant, it’ll be a high-profile contest sure to draw a ton of action.

“It should be a well-bet game. The downside is that it’s only on the board for 46 hours,” SuperBook risk manager Neil Fitzroy said.

In a riveting Final Four battle Saturday night, the Tar Heels fended off No. 2 seed Duke 81-77 as a 4.5-point underdog. The Tar Heels are 11-1 SU/10-2 ATS in their last 12 games, including a pair of outright wins as an underdog against Duke.

Carolina stunned its archrival 94-81 catching 11 points at Duke in the March 5 regular-season finale. Saturday’s rematch was tight throughout, but the Tar Heels made their free throws late to land the victory.

North Carolina has cashed in all five of its Tournament games and is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 outings. The Tar Heels’ only on-court blemish since mid-February was a 72-59 loss to Virginia Tech as a 3-point favorite in the ACC tournament semifinals March 11. UNC also is on a 5-0 SU/ATS run as an underdog, which they will in the championship game.

Kansas was the only No. 1 seed to reach the Final Four and parlayed that into a spot in Monday night’s final. The Jayhawks (33-6, 20-18-1 ATS) got out quickly against No. 2 seed Villanova in Saturday’s first semifinal, building a 19-point first-half advantage and leading 40-29 at halftime.

The Wildcats got as close as six at 64-58 with about five minutes remaining, but the Jayhawks pulled away from there, cruising to an 81-65 victory as a 4-point favorite.

Kansas is riding a 10-game winning streak and is 7-2 ATS in its last nine outings, all as a favorite (2-0 ATS last two). Kansas is also 11-1 SU in neutral-site games this season. And although Bill Self’s troops are just 7-5 ATS in those dozen games, they’re on a 6-2 ATS neutral-court run this postseason.

The Kansas-Villanova game easily cleared the 133.5 total, ending a modest 3-1 Under stretch for the Jayhawks. North Carolina-Duke surpassed the 154 total, after the Tar Heels played to Unders in wins over St. Peter’s and UCLA in the Elite Eight and Sweet 16, respectively. The Over is 12-6 in Carolina’s last 18 games overall and 5-2 in its last seven NCAA Tourney contests.

Kansas opened as a 4.5-point favorite tonight in The SuperBook’s college basketball championship game odds market. The first move came literally within minutes, as early money on Carolina pushed the line down to Kansas -4.

“It was all UNC at +4.5,” Fitzroy said, while noting championship futures are the more notable concern at the moment. “We will be rooting for Kansas in the futures. It’s a significant swing for us if North Carolina pulls it out.”

The total opened at 153 and saw no movement this evening, with Fitzroy noting “not much action on the total.”[/accordion]

Strong Championship Pedigree

Image Credit: Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports

Kansas is 3-6 is in NCAA championship games, including losing its last title-game appearance to Kentucky in 2012 (67-59 as a 6-point ‘dog). The Jayhawks last cut down the nets in 2008, when they defeated Memphis 75-68 in overtime as a 2-point pup.

North Carolina will be making its 12th championship game appearance. The Tar Heels are 6-5 all time, most recently defeating Gonzaga 71-65 as a 1-point favorite in 2017, one year after falling to Villanova 77-74 as a 2-point chalk in the title game.

UNC has the third-most titles, trailing only UCLA (11) and Kentucky (8). Kansas ranks seventh in the championship standings, tied with Villanova.

The Tar Heels and Jayhawks haven’t faced one another since squaring off in the 2012 and 2013 NCAA Tournaments. Kansas won both games by double digits, rolling 80-67 as a 2-point chalk in the Elite Eight in 2012 and 70-58 as a 6.5-point favorite in the second round in 2013. The Jayhawks also whipped Carolina 84-66 as a 2-point underdog in the 2008 Final Four, on the way to their last title.

The post College Basketball Championship Game Odds: North Carolina vs Kansas appeared first on Props.

College Basketball Championship Game Props: Bet On Kansas’ Agbaji To Cool Off

Jim Barnes — Mon, 04 Apr 2022 15:34:26 +0000

The final college basketball game of the season means one last chance to make some money (and/or erase some NCAA Tournament betting mistakes), and college basketball championship game props offer myriad ways to have action Monday night.

Midwest No. 1 seed Kansas is a 4-point favorite over East No. 8 North Carolina in the national championship game. The Over/Under is set at 151.5. Beyond the side and total, sportsbooks from coast to coast have posted dozens of college basketball championship game props.

Props.com breaks down our five favorite NCAA title game props: three player-specific bets, one team-related bet, and one game-focused wager.

Odds via FanDuel as of 11:30 a.m ET on April 4.

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College Basketball Championship Game Props: North Carolina Vs Kansas

First-half total

Image Credit: Rich Graessle/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

The prop: 71.5 points
The odds: Over -106/Under -118

Under bettors watched in horror Saturday as Kansas players collectively morphed into Steph Curry from beyond the arc in their 81-65 semifinal victory over Villanova. The Jayhawks made 54.2 percent of their 3-point attempts for the game (13-for-24), helping to push the total Over 61.5 in the first half and Over 133.5 for the game.

That continued a recent Final Four trend, as the Over is now 10-3-1 in the past seven NCAA Tournament semifinal matchups. However, the national title game is another story, with seven of the past 10 finals staying Under the total for the game.

This prop is specific to the first 20 minutes of action, and for good reason: First, we don’t have to worry about overtime and late-game fouling tacking on a bunch of points. More importantly, it’s highly unlikely that Kansas will duplicate Saturday’s shooting performance. In fact, expect both teams to come out a bit tight with the trophy on the line.

Take the first half Under 71.5 points.

Winning Margin

Image Credit: Robert Deutsch-USA TODAY Sports

The prop: Kansas to win by 1 to 10 points
The odds: +172

No. 1 seeds have won the past four NCAA Tournaments and seven of the past 10. During that span, No. 1 seeds are 4-1 SU and ATS in the title game when facing a non-No. 1 seed, with the only loss coming when No. 2 seed Villanova beat No. 1 North Carolina at the buzzer in 2016.

Maybe Kansas jumps on the Tar Heels and pulls away late to win by double digits as it did against Villanova on Saturday. But the far more likely scenario is for the Jayhawks to grab the title in a game that’s close throughout.

If you like Kansas in a blowout, the Jayhawks are +235 at FanDuel to win by 11 or more. North Carolina is +260 to win by one to 10 and +680 to win by 11 or more.

Kansas Jayhawks: G Ochai Agbaji

Image Credit: Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports

The prop: 16.5 points
The odds: Over -113/Under -113

Agbaji actually did seem to channel Curry in Saturday’s win, going 6-for-7 on 3-pointers and finishing with 21 points. It was a classic outlier effort in that Kansas’ senior guard had made a combined four 3-pointers in his other four NCAA Tournament games. And the only other time Agbaji went Over 16.5 points in March Madness was when he tallied 18 in the Jayhawks’ Elite Eight victory over Miami.

Agbaji can’t possibly replicate that Final Four shooting performance in Monday’s national championship game. If he regresses even a little, he will struggle to reach 17 points.

Keep this in mind, too: In his last 11 games since March 1, Agbaji has poured in 17-plus points in back-to-back outings just once (he had 18 against West Virginia and 22 against TCU in Kansas’ first two games of the Big 12 tournament).

Kansas Jayhawks: F David McCormack

at Caesars Superdome. Mandatory Credit: Robert Deutsch-USA TODAY Sports

The prop: 7.5 rebounds
The odds: Over -102/Under -128

The 6-foot-10 McCormack was a monster against Villanova, dominating inside with 25 points and nine rebounds. He will face a much more formidable front line Monday against North Carolina’s 6-foot-10 Armando Bacot and 6-foot-9 Brady Manek. (Bacot will play despite twisting his right ankle late in Saturday’s win over Duke.)

McCormack has not grabbed more than 7.5 rebounds in any other game during the Tournament, and North Carolina ranked ninth in the nation in rebounding margin coming into the Big Dance.

McCormack might score some points, but lay the juice and take him to stay Under 7.5 rebounds for the eighth time in his last 11 contests.

North Carolina Tar Heels: F Brady Manek

Image Credit: Robert Deutsch-USA TODAY Sports

The prop: 2.5 made 3-pointers
The odds: Over -140/Under +110

We’re backing the Over here, and the reason is simple: Manek has been shooting lights out the entire NCAA Tournament. The transfer from Oklahoma has made at least three 3-pointers and attempted at least six in every March Madness game and eight of his past nine dating to the end of the regular season.

In Saturday’s Final Four win over Duke, the senior forward went precisely 3-for-6 from long distance.

With this being his final college game, one with a national championship on the line, don’t expect Manek to suddenly pass up open looks from beyond the arc. He’ll fire away, and we will as well on Over 2.5 made 3-pointers.

The post College Basketball Championship Game Props: Bet On Kansas’ Agbaji To Cool Off appeared first on Props.

NCAA Final Four Odds: Villanova Vs Kansas, Duke Vs North Carolina

Patrick Everson — Sat, 02 Apr 2022 23:15:12 +0000

March Madness betting has dwindled down to a quartet of teams, with NCAA Final Four odds now on the board. And this is quite familiar territory for all four schools.

In Saturday’s opening semifinal, No. 2 seed Villanova meets Kansas, the sole No. 1 seed to reach New Orleans. Then, in a Tobacco Road battle for the ages, No. 8 seed North Carolina meets No. 2 seed Duke, which is trying to send Mike Krzyzewski into retirement on the highest possible note.

Props.com breaks down each matchup, with insights from multiple oddsmakers on March Madness Final Four odds and action. Check back for updates through Saturday’s tipoffs.

https://youtu.be/U0wQkB5X8m0

NCAA Final Four Odds

Matchup	Time	Spread	Over/Under
No. 2 Villanova vs No. 1 Kansas	6:09 p.m. ET Saturday	Kansas -4.5 (-105)	132.5 (Over -115)
No. 8 North Carolina vs No. 2 Duke	8:49 p.m. ET Saturday	Duke -4.5 (-105)	152.5

Odds via BetMGM and updated as of 4:45 p.m. ET on April 2.

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No. 2 Villanova vs No. 1 Kansas

Image Credit: Jamie Sabau-USA TODAY Sports

UPDATE 5 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Just more than an hour before tipoff, Kansas is laying 4.5 points at TwinSpires Sportsbook, up a point from the -3.5 opener. Point-spread ticket count is 3/1 and money approaching 5/1 Jayhawks. “It’s been all Kansas money. That’s our biggest liability today,” TwinSpires director of retail sports Zachary Lucas said. The total went from 132.5 to 133 and back to 132.5, with 54% of tickets on the Under/57% of money on the Over.

UPDATE 11:30 A.M. ET SATURDAY: Several hours before today’s tipoff, Kansas is a 4.5-point favorite at BetMGM. With a couple of price variations, that’s where the number has been almost all week, after opening at Jayhawks -3.5. Kansas is getting 58% of spread tickets and 64% of spread money. The total opened at 131.5, quickly went to 132.5, dipped to 131.5 (Over -120) a couple of times this morning and is now 132.5 (Over -115). The Over is netting 57% of tickets/71% of money.

[accordion title=”Previous Villanova vs Kansas Odds Updates”]

UPDATE 6 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Caesars Sportsbook opened Kansas a 3.5-point favorite on Sunday evening and quickly went to -4, then moved to -4.5 Monday morning. The line returned to Jayhawks -4 Wednesday evening, then to -4.5 late Thursday afternoon. At lunchtime today, Kansas again nudged down to -4, where the number sits now. Point-spread ticket count is just shy of 2/1 Jayhawks, while spread money is just beyond 2/1 Wildcats.

Interestingly, at the moment, overall handle on Villanova-Kansas is more than double that of the Carolina-Duke nightcap. Aiding that gap is a $260,000 alternate-spread bet on Villanova +6 (-130),

“We’ve taken some big bets on the Villanova-Kansas game,” Caesars assistant director of trading Adam Pullen said. “I think Duke-North Carolina will end up having the bigger handle, since it’s also the late game. It just hasn’t gotten those big bets yet like Villanova-Kansas has. The money at [the current spread of] 4 has predominantly been on Kansas.

“Obviously, the next 24 hours or so is when the bulk of the action will come in. I think [the line] has a better chance of going back up than going down further, because of the [Justin] Moore injury, and just with how good Kansas looked last game. That Miami game is definitely still in people’s minds.”

As Pullen alluded to, Villanova is minus Moore, who tore an Achilles tendon in the South Region final win over Houston. And Kansas outscored Miami 47-15 in the second half of the Midwest Region final, en route to a 76-50 rout.

The total is out to 134 from a 132 opener, with tickets about 2/1 on the Under, but money 4/1 on the Over. That includes a $220,000 bet on Over 133.

UPDATE 6 P.M. ET THURSDAY: With 48 hours to go before tipoff, Kansas is laying 4.5 points in DraftKing’s NCAA Final Four odds market. The Jayhawks opened -3.5 early Sunday evening, quickly moved to -4, advanced to -4.5 Monday morning, then briefly fell back to -4 Wednesday morning before returning to -4.5. Ticket count is 2/1 on Kansas, but money is almost dead even, with a slight nod to Villanova. However, on the moneyline, it’s 2/1 tickets and cash on the favored Jayhawks (-195).

The total rose from 132 to 133 by Wednesday afternoon, with the Over nabbing 55% of early tickets/81% of early cash.

UPDATE 4:30 P.M. ET TUESDAY: PointsBet USA pegged Kansas a 4-point chalk in its NCAA Final Four odds market, then briefly dipped to -3.5 before returning to -4 early Sunday evening. There’s now more of a tax on the Jayhawks, who are -4 (-125), with early ticket count running 3/1-plus and early money 9/1 on the favorite. The total opened at 133 flat, shuffled to various iterations of that number and is now 133 (Under -115), with tickets and money in the 2.5/1 range on the Under.

UPDATE 7:45 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Kansas ended a modest two-game ATS skid by putting together a dominant second half in Sunday’s Midwest Region final against No. 10 seed Miami. The Jayhawks (32-6 SU, 19-18-1 ATS) trailed 35-29 at the break. Bill Self’s squad then body-slammed Miami with a 47-15 second half to win going away, 76-50 as a 5.5-point favorite.

The Jayhawks are riding a nine-game winning streak and are 6-2 ATS in their last eight outings. Kansas is also 10-1 SU in neutral-site games this season, though it’s a middling 6-5 ATS in those 11 contests.

Villanova (30-7 SU, 20-16-1 ATS) has been a solid Big Dance bet, going 4-0 SU and ATS to reach the Final Four. In Saturday’s South Region final, the Wildcats stuffed No. 5 seed Houston in a defensive grind of a game, winning 50-44 as a 3-point underdog.

Like Kansas, Jay Wright’s troops have won nine in a row (6-3 ATS). Villanova is 21-6 ATS in its last 27 NCAA Tourney tilts. The Wildcats are shooting for their third national title in seven years, having also won the 2016 and 2018 championships.

“From a futures perspective, we are rooting for Nova or Kansas to win it all,” SuperBook risk manager Neil Fitzroy said this evening. “Either of those teams would be an excellent result for us. We’re looking forward to what is hopefully an exciting final weekend of March Madness.”

Jay Wright became Villanova coach in 2001 and Bill Self the Kansas coach in 2003. These two have since met six times — three times in the regular season, and three in the NCAA Tourney. Wright’s squad has had its way, going 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings, after Kansas won and covered in a 2008 Sweet 16 contest.

In fact, these two teams met in the 2018 Final Four, with ‘Nova rolling 95-79 as a 5-point fave.

Villanova’s win against Houston fell miles short of the 126.5 total, moving the Under to 6-1 this postseason for the Wildcats. Further, ‘Nova is 8-2 to the Under at neutral sites this season. The Under is also 3-1 in Kansas’ last four outings, with the rout of Miami never threatening the 146 total.

Including Villanova-Houston and Kansas-Miami, 11 of 12 games in the Sweet 16/Elite Eight stayed Under the total. And first-half Unders were 11-1 in those two rounds, as well.

Late this afternoon, The SuperBook opened Kansas as a 4-point favorite against Villanova, with a total of 131.5 on the NCAA Final Four odds board. The line quickly dipped to Kansas -3.5, while the total rose to 133. Early this evening, the Jayhawks returned to -4.[/accordion]

No. 8 North Carolina vs No. 2 Duke

Image Credit: Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports

UPDATE 7:15 P.M. ET: About 90 minutes pre-tip, Duke sits as a 4-point favorite at TwinSpires, matching the opener, and the Duke Blue Devils spent time this past week at -4.5. Opinion is definitely split, with 56% of spread tickets on North Carolina and 55% of spread cash on Duke.

“Great two-way action,” TwinSpires director of retail sports Zachary Lucas said. “Duke is our biggest futures liability, so we’ll be rooting for UNC.”

The total rose from 151.5 to 153, with 66% of tickets/72% of money on the Over.

“It’s a mix of public and sharp play on the Over,” Lucas said.

UPDATE 11:30 A.M. ET SATURDAY: Duke hasn’t moved off -4.5 all week in BetMGM’s NCAA Final Four odds market, save for a price adjustment to -105 Monday morning. The Blue Devils remain -4.5 (-105) this morning, while the Tar Heels are garnering 60% of spread bets and 72% of spread dollars. The total was painted to 151.5 all week before advancing to 152.5 in the past hour, though current betting splits weren’t available.

[accordion title=”Previous North Carolina vs Duke Odds Updates”]

UPDATE 6 P.M. ET FRIDAY: On Sunday evening, Caesars opened Duke -4.5, quickly dipped to -4, then returned to -4.5 in the NCAA Final Four odds market. The line receded to Blue Devils -4 on Monday morning and remains there now, with 53% of spread bets on Duke and 58% of spread dollars on North Carolina.

“This game just has incredible storylines,” Caesars Sports assistant director of trading Adam Pullen said. “You have the Coach K factor, then two rivals who have never played in the NCAA Tournament before, let alone a Final Four. When they played first [this season] at Carolina and Duke handled them pretty easily, that was a different Carolina team. That Carolina team that won at Cameron [on March 5] is more indicative of their true self.

“But Duke is also playing really good basketball of late. Hopefully this game lives up to the hype. The hype on this one has more than any other Final Four game in recent memory.”

With the exception of a few minutes Sunday night at 150.5, the total has been steady at 151. The Over is drawing 54% of bets, while 69% of cash is on the Under.

UPDATE 6 P.M. ET THURSDAY: Duke is a 4-point favorite on DraftKings’ NCAA Final Four odds board, moving and sticking at that number Monday morning, after opening -4.5 Sunday. It’s two-way point-spread action with a lean toward the Blue Devils, at 54% of early tickets and 55% of early money. And there’s a segment of bettors eschewing the spread and favoring Duke on the moneyline instead, with just shy of 2/1 tickets and cash on the Blue Devils (-190) to simply win the game.

The total is up a tick from 150.5 to 151, also on two-way play, with 56% of bets on the Under/55% of money on the Over.

UPDATE 4:30 P.M. ET TUESDAY: Duke hasn’t moved off -4.5 yet at PointsBet USA, though the price for that number has adjusted a few times. The Blue Devils are currently -4.5 (even), with the Tar Heels netting 54% of early bets, translating into 80% of early cash. The total opened at 151 and is now 151 (Under -120), with 56% of bets on the Under/64% of cash on the Over.

UPDATE 7:45 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Duke coach Mike Krzyzewski’s victory tour now heads to the Big Easy, where the Big Difficult awaits in the form of hard-charging archrival North Carolina.

The Tar Heels (28-9 SU, 20-16-1 ATS) put a blunt end to the Cinderella run of March Madness No. 15 seed St. Peter’s on Sunday. North Carolina bolted to a 38-19 halftime lead and coasted to a 69-49 victory giving 8.5 points in the East Region final.

Such was the rout that The SuperBook — among other outlets — wasted no time getting a Carolina-Duke Final Four matchup on the board, posting the odds before halftime of St. Peter’s-Carolina. The Blue Devils opened -4, with a total of 149.5. The total was the first mover, with early Over cash quickly pushing the number to 150.5, then to 151. This evening, Duke action moved the Blue Devils to -4.5.

“We’re getting four huge brand names among the college hoops landscape for this Final Four,” The SuperBook’s Fitzroy said. “We expect our handle to be incredible, especially for the Duke-North Carolina semifinal. It’s wild how we’ve never seen the Tobacco Road rivalry in NCAA Tourney play.”

The Tar Heels are 10-1 SU/9-2 ATS in their last 11 games. Among those 10 wins: A 94-81 shocker as an 11-point underdog at Duke on March 5 in the regular-season finale, which doubled as Krzyzewski’s final home game. That followed Duke’s 87-67 blowout victory over the Heels in Chapel Hill on Feb. 5.

Carolina has cashed in all four its Tournament games and is 7-1 ATS in its last eight outings. The Tar Heels are also on a 4-0 ATS upswing as an underdog.

Meanwhile, Duke (32-6 SU, 20-16-2 ATS) found a place on the NCAA Final Four odds board by winning the West Region. In Saturday’s regional final against No. 4 seed Arkansas — which took out No. 1 Gonzaga in the Sweet 16 — the Blue Devils built a 12-point halftime lead en route to a 78-69 victory laying 4.5 points

Duke has cashed in its last three games, after an 0-5 ATS skid overall and an 0-6 ATS purge in NCAA Tournament play. In the last 10 clashes between these ACC rivals, North Carolina is 6-4 SU and a robust 8-2 ATS (3-1 SU/ATS last four).

The SuperBook already has a rooting interest, thanks to Duke being the worst remaining outcome for the book in the championship futures market.

“We are rooting against Duke,” SuperBook executive director John Murray said.

Duke’s win vs. Arkansas fell just shy of the 148 total, but the Over is still 8-2 in the Blue Devils’ last 10 overall. Further, the Over is 7-2 in Duke’s last nine on neutral floors. North Carolina’s lockdown win over St. Peter’s fell far short of the 138.5 total. However, the Over is 11-6 in the Tar Heels’ previous 17 games overall and 4-2 in NCAA Tournament play.

In addition, the last six Carolina-Duke contests have surpassed the total. However, as noted above, the Under went 11-1 in the Sweet 16/Elite Eight rounds, as did the first-half Under.[/accordion]

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