Scott Krones

Soccer Props: Premier League, Champions League & More

Scott Krones — Sat, 20 Dec 2025 05:00:00 +0000

Looking for free soccer props, picks and analysis for major soccer competitions, including the English Premier League and UEFA Champions League? You’re in the right place.

In this space, we post our favorite DFS pick’em plays and soccer props today along with well-reasoned breakdowns. We’ll be focusing on the most popular daily fantasy sports and betting sites and have breakdowns for the EPL, UCL and more.

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Soccer Props Today – Premier League Picks & Analysis

Each week, we will break down the matches and pick out our favorite soccer player props.

Saturday, December 20th

We have a massive English Premier League slate to go through on Saturday, and we’re here to break it all down from a DFS and betting perspective.

Here’s the schedule:

Newcastle vs. Chelsea
Bournemouth vs. Burnley
Brighton vs. Sunderland
Man City vs. West Ham
Wolves vs. Brentford
Tottenham vs. Liverpool
Everton vs. Arsenal
Leeds vs. Crystal Palace

Biggest moneyline favorites (approximate):

Man City (-500)
Bournemouth (-205)
Arsenal (-180)
Brighton (-155)

There are a lot of notable injuries to be aware of. The likes of Mohamed Salah, Cody Gakpo, Estevao, Jeremy Doku and Ismaila Sarr are out, and a host of other key figures are questionable to play.

Here are the updated leaders in shot-creating actions per 90 minutes so far this season, filtered for non-injured players on today’s slate (Football Reference):

Rayan Cherki (6.09)
Bukayo Saka (4.93)
Florian Wirtz (4.51)
Dominik Szoboszlai (4.46)
Phil Foden (4.28)
Yeremy Pino (4.26)
Jack Grealish (4.18)

Top Targets

A quick overview of our top player picks for the upcoming slate

Man City Attack – Let’s get the obvious out of the way. All of Erling Haaland, Phil Foden and Rayan Cherki are in play at home against the Hammers. They’ve been in top form, and the Citizens are huge -500 moneyline favorites. Consider an alternate goal play on Haaland.

Antoine Semenyo > 0.5 Goals + Assists – This is a strong spot for Bournemouth at home to Burnley. Semenyo has become one of the most dangerous attacking players in the Premier League and has a great chance of at least one goal or assist here.

Bukayo Saka > 0.5 Goals + Assists – An away match against Everton doesn’t sound all that appetizing, but Arsenal should be able to control possession. The Gunners are looking strong this season, and Saka has been creating a lot of chances on a per-90 basis.

More picks and analysis coming soon. Check back later.

Post-Lineups Update

IMPORTANT: We recommend waiting until starting 11s are released before finalizing picks.

More picks and analysis coming soon. Check back later.

Check back later!

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Soccer Props Today – Champions League Picks & Analysis

For each main UCL slate, we will break down the matches and pick out our favorite soccer player props.

Wednesday, December 10th

We have another busy day of UCL action ahead of us, highlighted by a highly-anticipated showdown between Real Madrid and Man City in Spain.

Here’s the schedule:

Qarabag vs. Ajax
Villarreal vs. FC Copenhagen
Ath Bilbao vs. PSG
Bayer Leverkusen vs. Newcastle
Benfica vs. Napoli
Club Brugge vs. Arsenal
Dortmund vs. Body/Glimt
Juventus vs. Pafos
Real Madrid vs. Man City

Some of the most popular plays on the Underdog app for that Real Madrid/Man City battle:

Biggest moneyline favorites (approximate):

Juventus (-600)
Dortmund (-295)
Arsenal (-275)
Villarreal (-220)
PSG (-135)

Updated UCL leaders in Shot-Creating Actions Per 90 Minutes, filtered for players on today’s slate (Football Reference):

Kylian Mbappe (7.98)
Vinicius Junior (6.77)
Phil Foden (6.29)
Kenan Yildiz (6.10)
Francisco Conceicao (5.95)
Nicolas Pepe (5.94)
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (5.92)
Arda Guler (5.67)
Jens Petter Hauge (5.61)
Jeremy Doku (5.59)
Bradley Barcola (5.25)
Dodi Lukebakio (4.92)
Achraf Hakimi (4.87)

Top Targets

A quick overview of our top player picks for the upcoming slate

Nicolas Pepe > 0.5 Goals + Assists – Pepe sticks out in the two-game early slate. Villarreal will be at home to Copenhagen and is a firm favorite in the odds.

Pepe is a direct and dangerous player who is averaging 5.22 shot-creating actions per 90 minutes in La Liga play so far this season. That’s easily the most within the Villarreal squad and the 10th-most in the league.

Juventus Attack – We’ll be eagerly awaiting Juventus’ starting lineup for this favorable matchup. Dusan Vlahovic is injured. Jonathan David and Kenan Yildiz would be our preferred targets, if they make the team.

Serhou Guirassy – This is a great team situation for Dortmund at home to a less talented side, and Guirassy has been highly effective leading the line for the club in recent seasons. He should be able to score at least one goal, and if you want to take a bigger chance, consider backing him to net two or more.

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia & Bradley Barcola – PSG is without Ousmane Dembele and Achraf Hakimi, among others, yet is still favored away to Ath Bilbao. We have interest in both Kvaratskhelia and Barcola, even in what should be a hostile environment, as they’re both been creating a lot of chances going forward.

Post-Lineups Update

We recommend waiting until starting 11s are released before finalizing picks. Check back to this space later for updated plays and analysis.

Serhou Guirassy is not starting. Other than that, no updates.

Good luck!

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Tuesday, December 9th

The UCL returns with a full day of action on Tuesday.

Here’s the schedule:

Kairat Almaty vs. Olympiacos
Bayern Munich vs. Sporting
Atalanta vs. Chelsea
Barcelona vs. Frankfurt
Monaco vs. Galatasaray
PSV vs. Atletico Madrid
Royale Union vs. Marseille
Tottenham vs. Slavia Prague

Biggest favorites:

Barcelona (-600)
Bayern Munich (-400)
Tottenham (-220)
Olympiacos (-205)

Most popular picks on Underdog at time of writing:

Top Targets

A quick overview of our top player picks for the upcoming slate

Harry Kane & Michael Olise – Young starlet Lennart Karl also stands out and is likely to go more under-the-radar (if he picks up the start), but it’s hard to ignore the output Kane and Olise have been producing for Bayern.

Kane has 17 goals and three assists in 20 Bundesliga matches and Olise has recorded six goals and eight assists in 13 appearances. Kane is already up to five goals in five UCL games, with Olise at three goal contributions (one goal, two assists).

Raphinha & Lamine Yamal – Another dynamic duo. Along with Robert Lewandowski, we can feel great about liberally targeting Barcelona playmakers Lamine Yamal and Raphinha. Though the competition isn’t a walkover, the Catalan outfit is the biggest favorite on this slate at home versus Eintracht Frankfurt.

Raphinha (four goals, three assists in seven La Liga matches) recently returned from injury and continues to cause havoc offensively. Ditto for Yamal, who’s notched six goals and seven assists in 12 La Liga matches and two goals and one assist in four UCL games. The dominant Spaniard is averaging 6.49 shot-creating actions per 90 minutes in Europe so far this term (Football Reference).

Richarlison – Assuming he gets the start up front, Richarlison is interesting in a home spot against Slavia Prague. He found the back of the net in the EPL over the weekend and showed great chemistry with Xavi Simons, who had his best performance in a Spurs kit.

Simons is also intriguing, as he seems to be getting more and more comfortable in his new surroundings. There’s a good chance he’ll miss out on the starting 11, though, so that’s something we’ll have to monitor.

Post-Lineups Update

We recommend waiting until starting 11s are released before finalizing picks. Check back to this space later for updated plays and analysis.

No updates today. All mentioned players are in the starting 11.

Good luck!

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Soccer FAQ – Where To Play DFS Pick ‘Em

There are numerous operators that consistently post markets for soccer.

Here are a couple of our favorite places you can get in on the soccer DFS pick’em action:

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Overview of Soccer Props & Betting Markets

See below for an overview of all of the most popular markets in soccer. Most of these are self-explanatory, and it should be noted that this is not a complete list of every type out there.

Goals
Assists
Shots
Shots on Target
Crosses
Touches
Fouls Drawn
Passes Attempted
Goalie Saves
Shots Assisted
Clearances
Attempted Dribbles
Fouls

Soccer Props & Betting Strategy Tip: Understanding Odds

Just like in other sports, it’s important to understand the macro game environment in soccer. If a team is heavily favored, such as Manchester City against a weak Premier League opponent, that squad is likely to control possession and create a lot more scoring chances.

Understanding team dynamics and who will be in the best opportunities to succeed and fall short of the mark will help you narrow down your favorite soccer props and betting picks.

Feature Image Credit: Imagn

The post Soccer Props: Premier League, Champions League & More appeared first on Props.

NBA First Basket Predictions – Top First Basket Scorer Prop Bets

Scott Krones — Fri, 19 Dec 2025 17:15:00 +0000

Looking for the best NBA first basket predictions and top first points plays today? You’re in luck! In this article, the Props crew will outline their top NBA first basket picks for every day of the basketball season.

We mean it, because we deliver our best bets for every day there’s a game on the calendar. No load management here!

Below are our best NBA first basket predictions today. Be sure to check our NBA player props for more top selections for the current NBA slate.

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Best NBA First Basket Predictions Today

Every day during the NBA regular season and playoffs, we run through our favorite first basket bets and predictions of the night.

Friday, December 19th

It should be another entertaining night in the NBA to kick off the weekend.

Most important injury situations at time of writing:

Victor Wembanyama (Q)
Joel Embiid (Q)
Anthony Edwards (Q)
Trae Young (Q)
Karl-Anthony Towns (Q)
Donovan Mitchell (Q)
Kristaps Porzingis (OUT)
Tyler Herro (D)
OG Anunoby (Q)
Josh Hart (Q)

Best opening tipoff win percentages so far this season (via BettingPros):

Spurs (73.1%)
Thunder (66.7%)
Cavaliers (64.3%)
76ers (52.%)
Heat (51.9%)

Highest first shot percentages on this slate:

Bam Adebayo (25.0%)
Jalen Brunson (20.8%)
Jaylen Brown (20.0%)
Donovan Mitchell (15.4%)
Chet Holmgren (13.0%)

We’re still waiting on Victor Wembanyama news and whether or not he’ll be playing and returning to the starting lineup.

NBA First Points Picks & Longshots

Our first basket plays, featuring a mix of shorter/longer odds

Quick note: Because success in the NBA is so dependent on news and making the correct reactions, it’s often prudent to wait for more clarity before making picks.

That’s especially true for a market like first basket, where starting lineups and even the smallest of changes can affect the best value.

The exception would be if you feel strongly that a certain player will/will not play and want to get ahead of potential line movement.

3 PM ET Update:

Since our initial post, both Trae Young and Joel Embiid have been ruled out. Karl-Anthony Towns is now probable. Tyrese Maxey and Paul George are appealing for first basket purposes against a Knicks team playing on a back-to-back.

Updated injury news:

Key news to watch (status as of 3 ET)

Questionable:
Anthony Edwards, Donovan Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins

Probable:
Karl-Anthony Towns, Josh Hart, Davion Mitchell, Ayo Dosunmu pic.twitter.com/56N8GnxJoc
— Underdog NBA (@UnderdogNBA) December 19, 2025

Here are our top targets for tonight:

Donovan Mitchell First Points (+350) – Currently questionable, but expected to suit up. Cavs are favored by 6.5 and prop odds are posted for their star player. Averaging career-best 32.1 points and 22.7 field goal attempts per 36 minutes through 26 appearances (Basketball Reference).

UPDATE: Mitchell will not play tonight.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker First Points (+620) – NAW is worth considering as a first points play with Trae sidelined on the second game of a back-to-back. Kristaps Porzingis is also out. Through 26 games, Alexander-Walker is putting up 22.7 points on 16.8 field goal attempts per 36 (both career-highs).

Good luck!

Read through more of our NBA player props content for the 2025/26 season.

As always, everything is 100% free:

Best Player Props Today
NBA Betting Hub (Game Predictions & More)
Key Stats To Know: NBA Betting
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Thursday, December 18th

The NBA is officially back on Thursday! We’ve finally got a bigger slate to dive into from a DFS and betting perspective.

Most important injury situations at time of writing:

Giannis Antetokounmpo (OUT)
James Harden (OUT)
Tyler Herro (OUT)
Austin Reaves (OUT)
Zach LaVine (OUT)
Trae Young (Q)
LaMelo Ball (Q)
Karl-Anthony Towns (Q)
Anthony Davis (Q)
Lauri Markkanen (Q)

On this huge NBA slate, there are many noteworthy injuries to track throughout the day, but the above are some of the most critical.

Best opening tipoff win percentages so far this season (via BettingPros):

Spurs (72.0%)
Lakers (68.0%)
Nets (68.0%)
Thunder (65.4%)
Raptors (55.6%)

Highest first shot percentages on this slate:

Luka Doncic (19 starts, 26.3% first shot)
Bam Adebayo (20 starts, 25.0% first shot)
Jalen Brunson (24 starts, 20.8% first shot)
Michael Porter Jr. (21 starts, 19.0% first shot)
Anthony Davis (11 starts, 18.2% first shot)

NBA First Points Picks & Longshots

Our first basket plays, featuring a mix of shorter/longer odds

Quick note: Because success in the NBA is so dependent on news and making the correct reactions, it’s often prudent to wait for more clarity before making picks.

That’s especially true for a market like first basket, where starting lineups and even the smallest of changes can affect the best value.

The exception would be if you feel strongly that a certain player will/will not play and want to get ahead of potential line movement.

Here are our top targets for tonight:

Luka Doncic First Points (+455)

Main competition in Austin Reaves out injured and has highest first shot percentage on slate

Russell Westbrook First Points (+700)

Zach LaVine & Domantas Sabonis remain out; we know Westbrook is not shy about initiating offense

Bennedict Mathurin First Points (+720)

Similar situation here; Pacers still banged up, so Mathurin and Pascal Siakam have the green light

Check back later for finalized picks and analysis.

Read through more of our NBA player props content for the 2025/26 season.

As always, everything is 100% free:

Best Player Props Today
NBA Betting Hub (Game Predictions & More)
Key Stats To Know: NBA Betting
Daily Promo Roundup

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Wednesday, December 17th

It’s another quieter day in the association, with only two games on the schedule. Come on, man! The NBA needs to load up these slower sports days with more action.

Most important injury situations for tonight:

Anthony Edwards (Q)
Ja Morant (Q)
Evan Mobley (OUT)

Opening tipoff win percentages so far this season (via BettingPros):

Cavaliers (63.0%)
Grizzlies (57.7%)
Timberwolves (46.2%)
Bulls (40.0%)

Highest first shot percentages on this slate:

DeAndre Hunter (23 starts, 17.4% first shot)
Julius Randle (26 starts, 15.4% first shot)
Anthony Edwards (20 starts, 15.0% first shot)
Ja Morant (14 starts, 14.3% first shot)
Jarrett Allen (16 starts, 12.5% first shot)
Jaren Jackson Jr. (24 starts, 12.5% first shot)
Nikola Vucevic (24 starts, 12.5% first shot)
Donovan Mitchell (25 starts, 12.0% first shot)

Where should we be looking with our first point selections?

NBA First Points Picks & Longshots

Our first basket plays, featuring a mix of shorter/longer odds

Afternoon Update (3 PM ET)

Since our initial post, Ja Morant has been downgraded to doubtful. That’s significant news on a two-game slate. As of now, the projected starting lineup for the Grizzlies is Williams-Coward-Wells-Aldama-Jackson Jr.

Cedric Coward (+1000) is an interesting first points play on the Memphis side if he ends up starting. He has been aggressive despite it being his first season in the league, averaging 17.8 points and 14.0 field goal attempts per 36 minutes (Basketball Reference).

We still don’t have more clarity about Anthony Edwards, who remains questionable due to a foot injury. The assumption is that he will play, but make sure to monitor his confirmed status.

Evening Update (6 PM ET)

Ant-Man has been ruled OUT. Julius Randle and Donte DiVincenzo become more intriguing for first basket picks.

As for the Bulls/Cavs game, we don’t love anything. If we had to pick, it’d be Donovan Mitchell first points at around +535 depending on the site. He’s averaging 32.0 points on 22.6 field goal attempts per 36 minutes through 25 games, both of which would be career-high numbers if the season ended today.

Good luck!

Read through more of our NBA player props content for the 2025/26 season.

As always, everything is 100% free:

Best Player Props Today
NBA Betting Hub (Game Predictions & More)
Key Stats To Know: NBA Betting
Daily Promo Roundup

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Tuesday, December 16th

It’s the NBA Cup Final, featuring the New York Knicks and San Antonio Spurs. It should be a show as Victor Wembanyama and Jalen Brunson lead their respective teams for all of the marbles.

As far as first point plays go, let’s see if we can hit another winner after Jaylen Brown came through for us last night.

Most important injury situations for Tuesday:

Miles McBride (OUT)

Opening tipoff win percentages so far this season (via BettingPros):

Spurs (72.0%)
Knicks (48.0%)

Highest first shot percentages within this game:

Jalen Brunson (23 starts, 21.7% first shot)
Victor Wembanyama (12 starts, 16.7% first shot)
Devin Vassell (25 starts, 16.0% first shot)
OG Anunoby (16 starts, 12.5% first shot)
Harrison Barnes (25 starts, 12.0% first shot)
De’Aaron Fox (17 starts, 11.8% first shot)

Where should we be looking with our first point selections?

NBA First Points Picks & Longshots

Our first basket plays, featuring a mix of shorter/longer odds

Wemby returned in style in the NBA Cup Semis, dominating the Thunder in just over 20 minutes off the bench. He’ll still be on a minutes limit for the finals against the Knicks, but we’ve seen what kind of upside he carries. even in limited action.

His presence is also notable for first basket purposes, as he’s led the Spurs to a strong opening tip win percentage so far in 2025/26. He also has the team’s highest first shot percentage this season.

As we mentioned, Wembanyama did not start in the semis, and it hasn’t yet been announced whether he’ll be in the starting five tonight.

We’ll obviously need to track that news. Luke Kornet would likely start in Wemby’s place, making San Antonio less appealing from a first basket perspective.

If Wembanyama starts — he stated to the press that he was ready to rejoin the lineup — we like him to score the game’s first points at around +410. It’s the chalky pick, but he’s a generational player and will want to assert his dominance early. Wemby is averaging a career-best 27.7 points on 19.1 field goal attempts per 36 in his third season.

Read through more of our NBA player props content for the 2025/26 season.

As always, everything is 100% free:

Best Player Props Today
NBA Betting Hub (Game Predictions & More)
Key Stats To Know: NBA Betting
Daily Promo Roundup

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Monday, December 15th

There are five NBA games on tonight’s schedule, and we’re here to break things down from a DFS and betting perspective.

Most important injury situations for Monday:

James Harden (Q)
Anthony Davis (Q)
Zach Edey (OUT)
Jusuf Nurkic (OUT)
RJ Barrett (OUT)

Nurkic’s absence is noteworthy, as he’s guided Utah to a nice winning rate on opening tips.

Highest opening tipoff win percentages so far this season (via BettingPros):

Jazz (75.0%)
Grizzlies (60.0%)
Raptors (57.7%)
Heat (52.0%)
Nuggets (45.8%)

Highest first shot percentages on this slate (minimum of 15 starts):

Bam Adebayo (26.3%)
John Collins (25.0%)
Ace Bailey (20.0%)
Norman Powell (20.0%)
Lauri Markkanen (17.4%)
Jaylen Brown (16.7%)
Jaylen Wells (16.0%)
Kevin Durant (15.0%)
Cade Cunningham (14.3%)

Notable omissions due to lack of sample size:

Cedric Coward (12 starts, 41.7% first shot)
Anthony Davis (11 starts, 18.2% first shot)
Ja Morant (13 starts, 15.4% first shot)

NBA First Points Picks & Longshots

Our first basket plays, featuring a mix of shorter/longer odds

Quick note: Because success in the NBA is so dependent on news and making the correct reactions, it’s often prudent to wait for more clarity before making picks.

That’s especially true for a market like first basket, where starting lineups and even the smallest of changes can affect the best value.

The exception would be if you feel strongly that a certain player will/will not play and want to get ahead of potential line movement.

Jaylen Brown First Points (+510) – Payton Pritchard is currently questionable with neck spasms for tonight’s home game against the Pistons. Jaylen Brown has been a usage monster in the absence of Jayson Tatum and owns one of the highest first shot percentages on the slate (16.7%).

Teammate Derrick White is also interesting at longer odds (+740) given his increase in offensive responsibilities this season.

Kawhi Leonard First Points (+790) – James Harden is questionable to play, and his absence would increase Kawhi’s probability of scoring the first points.

Either way, we like the number here, as Leonard has been in the midst of one of his best scoring campaigns in years, having averaged 28.1 points and 20.8 field goal attempts per 36 in 15 appearances (Basketball Reference).

Read through more of our NBA player props content for the 2025/26 season.

As always, everything is 100% free:

Best Player Props Today
NBA Betting Hub (Game Predictions & More)
Key Stats To Know: NBA Betting
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Sunday, December 14th

It should be a fun Saturday in the NBA, as there are a lot of games and interesting DFS/betting opportunities on the schedule.

Injury update:

Key news to watch (status as of 3 ET)

Questionable:
Devin Booker, Joel Embiid, Zion Williamson, Dillon Brooks, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Dennis Schroder, Kevin Huerter

Probable:
Coby White

Likely to play:
Donovan Clingan

Doubtful:
Ayo Dosunmu pic.twitter.com/FPQkCpk6en
— Underdog NBA (@UnderdogNBA) December 14, 2025

Highest opening tipoff win percentages so far this season (via BettingPros):

Lakers (70.8%)
Suns (68.0%)
Nets (66.7%)
Cavaliers (65.4%)
76ers (54.2%)

Highest first shot percentages on this slate (minimum of 15 starts):

Grayson Allen (35.3.%)
Andrew Nembhard (29.4%)
Luka Doncic (27.8%)
Dillon Brooks (22.2%)
Herbert Jones (22.2%)
Kon Knueppel (20.8%)

NBA First Points Picks & Longshots

Our first basket plays, featuring a mix of shorter/longer odds

Michael Porter Jr. First Points (+390) – Will continue to ride the MPJ train. The Nets’ starting five is horrendous and they need his shot creation desperately. It doesn’t hurt that Brooklyn won’t have to contend with Giannis, who’s been ruled out for the Bucks.

Deni Avdija First Points (+630) – We like the value on Portland’s best offensive player. The leash has been let off Avdija, who’s taken a huge jump in 2025/26. He’s averaging career-highs in minutes, points and field goal attempts ahead of Sunday night’s date with Steph Curry and the Warriors.

Good luck!

NOTE: Full analysis will return on Monday, December 15th.

Read through more of our NBA player props content for the 2025/26 season.

As always, everything is 100% free:

Best Player Props Today
NBA Betting Hub (Game Predictions & More)
Key Stats To Know: NBA Betting
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Saturday, December 13th

Well, the picks were pretty on point yesterday. Even a blind squirrel finds a nut every once in a while.

Michael Porter Jr. First Points (+475) – W
Paul George First Points (+640) – W
Nickeil Alexander-Walker First Points (+740) – W
Ace Bailey First Points (+890) – L

Bailey got the first shot attempt but couldn’t convert, preventing us from hitting an insane first points sweep. Oh well, not a shabby night!

Let’s see what is standing out for Saturday night in the NBA. It’s the NBA Cup semis, with the Magic taking on the Knicks and the Thunder battling the Spurs in Vegas.

Injury update:

Injuries 12/13

NYK:
Deuce McBride – Out
Landry Shamet – Out

ORL:
Franz Wagner – Out
Moe Wagner – Out
Colin Castleton – Out

SAS:
Victor Wembanyama – Probable

OKC:
Isaiah Joe – Out
Nikola Topic – Out
Thomas Sorber – Out
— Underdog NBA (@UnderdogNBA) December 13, 2025

Opening tipoff win percentages so far this season (via BettingPros):

Magic (76.0%)
Spurs (70.8%)
Thunder (68.0%)
Knicks (45.8%)

Highest first shot percentages on this slate (minimum of 20 starts):

Wendell Carter Jr. (25.0%)
Jalen Brunson (22.7%)
Jalen Suggs (20.0%)
Devin Vassell (16.7%)
Chet Holmgren (14.3%)

Notably, Victor Wembanyama is scheduled to return from injury. That’s a big boost for San Antonio’s chances of winning the tipoff, and Wemby himself has posted a 16.7% first shot percentage in 12 starts this season.

NBA First Points Picks & Longshots

Our first basket plays, featuring a mix of shorter/longer odds

Remember that both games are at a neutral site in Vegas!

Paolo Banchero First Points (+565) – Banchero has now had a few games to regain conditioning and confidence after a long injury layoff. His minutes since returning are trending nicely (20 -> 24 -> 32), and he’s coming off a productive 18-7-4 showing in a win over the Heat his last time out.

Orlando has been strong on opening tips early this season, and Banchero will continue to have an alpha role offensively alongside Desmond Bane with Franz Wagner sidelined.

Check back for potential late-adds, along with final plays and analysis.

Good luck!

Read through more of our NBA player props content for the 2025/26 season.

As always, everything is 100% free:

Best Player Props Today
NBA Betting Hub (Game Predictions & More)
Key Stats To Know: NBA Betting
Daily Promo Roundup

Draftkings Sportsbook

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Friday, December 12th

After a quiet few days in the association, we finally get a bigger NBA slate to tackle on Friday night.

Here are the matchups:

Pistons (19-5) vs. Hawks (14-11)
76ers (13-10) vs. Pacers (6-18)
Wizards (3-19) vs. Cavaliers (14-11)
Hornets (7-17) vs. Bulls (9-14)
Grizzlies (11-13) vs. Jazz (8-15)
Mavericks (9-16) vs. Nets (6-17)
Warriors (13-12) vs. Timberwolves (15-9)

Injury update:

Injuries 12/12

ATL:
Kristaps Porzingis – Out
Trae Young – Out
N’Faly Dante – Out
Jacob Toppin – Out

DET:
Isaac Jones – Out

CHI:
Coby White – Probable
Tre Jones – Probable
Jalen Smith – Probable
Isaac Okoro – Probable
Zach Collins – Probable
Ayo Dosunmu – Out
Kevin Huerter -…
— Underdog NBA (@UnderdogNBA) December 12, 2025

Highest opening tipoff win percentages so far this season (via BettingPros):

Jazz (73.9%)
Nets (65.2%)
Cavaliers (64.0%)
Grizzlies (62.5%)
76ers (56.5%)
Hornets (50.0%)
Wizards (50.0%)

Highest first shot percentages on this slate (minimum of 20 starts):

Kon Knueppel (21.7%)
DeAndre Hunter (19.0%)
Lauri Markkanen (18.2%)
Nicolas Claxton (17.4%)
Jaylen Wells (16.7%)
Julius Randle (16.7%)
Donte DiVincenzo (16.7%)

In smaller sample sizes, Brandon Miller (8 starts, 50% first shot), Cedric Coward (11 starts, 45.5% first shot) and Paul George (8 starts, 25.0% first shot) have been heavily involved to start games, too.

NBA First Points Picks & Longshots

Our first basket plays, featuring a mix of shorter/longer odds

Michael Porter Jr. First Basket Scorer (+475) – The projected starting lineup for the Nets: Demin-Mann-Porter Jr.-Clowney-Claxton. Yikes. Porter Jr. has been chucking it, but for good reason, as he’s one of the only players who can consistently create offense on this abysmal team. He’s averaging a career-high 28.3 points and 20.5 field goal attempts per 36 minutes through 19 games (Basketball Reference).

Paul George First Basket Scorer (+640) – Maxey remains questionable for tonight’s favorable home matchup against the Pacers, and PG13 has had some nice scoring outputs early in games since returning to the court.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker First Basket Scorer (+740) – Lost in Jalen Johnson’s elite season has been NAW’s significant contributions. He’s done an amazing job filling the scoring void left by Trae Young’s injury — heading into tonight, he’s averaged 22.7 points (career-high number) and 16.7 field goal attempts per 36 minutes in 2025/26.

Ace Bailey First Basket Scorer (+890) – Want a wild one? Lauri Markkanen has been the top dog offensively for the Jazz and will be a popular NBA first points pick, but Bailey is intriguing as a longer-shot. If there’s one thing we’ve learned, he’s not afraid (whatsoever) to shoot. The ultra-confident rookie is averaging 13.9 field goal attempts per 36.

Check back later for finalized picks and analysis.

Good luck!

Read through more of our NBA player props content for the 2025/26 season.

As always, everything is 100% free:

Best Player Props Today
NBA Betting Hub (Game Predictions & More)
Key Stats To Know: NBA Betting
Daily Promo Roundup

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Where To Place NBA First Basket Bets

The following sportsbooks have more than enough options to satisfy your NBA First Basket needs. As outlined before, always shop around for the best price for NBA First Basket Bets.

On top of that, our team spent the time to find the best available bonus offers at each listed sportsbook. If you are new to any of these betting apps, be sure to use our exclusive links and promo codes to claim your free bets:

Top Sportsbooks For NBA First Basket Props

FanDuel Sportsbook
Caesars Sportsbook
BetMGM
DraftKings Sportsbook (click here for our full review)

Best DFS Pick’Em Sites For NBA

Be sure to check out the Props.com overview of the Best Online Sports Betting Bonuses in the U.S.

Best Online Sportsbook Bonuses

Take a look at the Props.com NBA Betting Guide and Guide To Prop Betting for more on how to bet on world’s premier professional basketball league.

Also check out these Props.com resources on sportsbook bonuses by state:

Featured Image Credit: Imagn

The post NBA First Basket Predictions – Top First Basket Scorer Prop Bets appeared first on Props.

Best NHL Props Today – Hockey Picks & Analysis (Updated Daily)

Scott Krones — Fri, 19 Dec 2025 13:11:05 +0000

Looking for the best NHL props today? The Props crew compiles their favorite FREE player picks for every day of the hockey season.

Below are our top NHL prop bets across different categories like points, goals, shots-on-goal, assists, and more!

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Best NHL Props Today – Top Player Picks & Analysis

Every day during the regular season and playoffs, we run through our favorite NHL player props of the night. Picks and analysis are typically posted by 2 PM ET daily.

Friday, December 19th

There are five games on the board for Friday night in the NHL. Let’s see if we can pick out some winners to start off the weekend right!

Highest team totals at time of writing (approximate):

COL vs. WPG (3.7)
DAL at ANA (3.4)
ANA vs. DAL (3.2)
NYI vs. VAN (3.1)
UTA vs. NJ (3.0)

Most popular players on the Underdog app:

The Avalanche have the slate’s highest implied team total. They are a ridiculous 24-2-7 so far this season, with Nathan MacKinnon pacing the team with 28 goals and 30 assists in 33 games. Dude’s on another unreal pace heading into tonight’s game against a Winnipeg team that’s been struggling.

Elsewhere, the Stars/Ducks game should have some fireworks. There will be a lot of offensive firepower on the ice, namely Jason Robertson, Mikko Rantanen, Wyatt Johnston, Leo Carlsson and Cutter Gauthier. It looks like a strong game to target for fantasy.

Adjusted Goals Created leaders so far this season, filtered for players on this slate (Hockey Reference):

Nathan MacKinnon (58.9)
Martin Necas (40.1)
Jason Robertson (39.0)
Leo Carlsson (38.7)
Wyatt Johnston (38.5)
Mikko Rantanen (38.5)
Mark Scheifele (38.5)
Kyle Connor (38.2)
Brad Marchand (38.2)
Cutter Gauthier (35.7)

Top Targets

A quick overview of our favorite player picks

Sam Reinhart > 0.5 Points / 1.5 Points
Jake DeBrusk > 0.5 Points / 1.5 Points
Leo Carlsson > 0.5 Points / 1.5 Points

Good luck!

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Where To Place NHL Player Props & Picks

The following DFS pick’em sites and sportsbooks have more than enough options to satisfy your NHL player props and picks needs.

As outlined before, always try to shop around for the best price when it comes to NHL player props.

Best Fantasy Props Sites For NHL Props

Check out our resources on these DFS pick’em sites:

Looking for apps that offer fantasy props like PrizePicks? Check out our apps like PrizePicks guide, which outlines some of the best sports gaming options available in most U.S. states (even the ones that haven’t legalized sports betting).

Best Sportsbooks For NHL Props

Best Sweepstakes Sites For NHL Props

Novig
Fliff (click here for our full review)
Thrillzz (click here for our full review)
Rebet

Best NHL Sportsbook Bonuses By State

Check out the Props.com guides to the best online sportsbook bonus offers available in the U.S.:

NHL Player Props: A Complete Guide

The National Hockey League (NHL) is one of the four major professional sports in the US, but it isn’t as popular as the NFL or NBA. This is also true when it comes to sports betting, but the league has been making up some ground in recent years.

Prop betting is one of the best ways to bet on the NHL, as this is something every potential bettor can do. With prop betting, there is no need to focus on the outcome of a certain NHL matchup, instead, it looks at events that take place during the game.

This guide to NHL prop bets will point out the top options and also provide some NHL prop betting tips to become successful with this wagering style. For more on prop betting across all sports, take a look at the Props.com complete guide to prop betting.

Why NHL Prop Bets?

A prop bet is a term that is used often in the US sports betting industry and it stands for a propositional bet. This is a very unique form of betting, and it is one of the newer sports betting types offered by US gambling operators.

The reason for making a prop bet is to provide some additional entertainment and excitement when betting on sports. Instead of simply picking the winning team in a matchup, NHL prop betting provides many other betting opportunities.

Popular NHL Prop Bets

The list of available NHL prop bets will continue to grow as time goes on, but there will always be some options that remain the most popular. These NHL prop betting options are similar to what you will find in other sports even though this league overall is not as popular.

When you are looking to make a prop bet on the NHL it is important to look over all of the available options to find the most valuable prop bet that you can find.

NHL Player Props

The most popular NHL props are known as player props. This is a wager that is placed on an individual player in an NHL game, but it can be on someone from either team.

When you are looking to bet on NHL player props, you will be looking at a specific statistical category to make the wager. This is similar to looking at fantasy points, and some bettors prefer to focus on just one player as opposed to an entire team or NHL game.

Here are some examples of NHL player props:

Will Patrick Kane score a goal in the upcoming game?
Over/Under 1.5 total points for Sidney Crosby.
Which player will record the first penalty in the game?

First NHL Goal Scorer Bet

Another popular NHL prop bet is the first goalscorer in a game. This can be a very exciting wager to make, and it can provide some good value as well.

When you are looking at the first goalscorer in an NHL game, you will need to look at both teams and find the player that you think has the best chance to score first. This can be based on many factors, but it is important to do your research before making this type of bet.

Team Prop Bets

Team props are similar to an NHL player prop bet, but the focus is now on an entire team’s performance. Team props are relatively new, and you likely won’t see as many options as you would for NHL player prop betting.

Sportsbooks sometimes like to put each team against one another when making an NHL team prop bet, which can add some additional excitement. Here are some examples of this type of bet that you might see:

Which team will record more penalty minutes?
Will the Washington Capitals record over/under 3.5 goals?
Over/Under shots on goal for the Carolina Hurricanes: 37.5

Season NHL Props

If you are looking to make a season prop bet on the NHL then you are someone that has no interest in focusing on just one single game. An NHL season prop bet is very similar to an NHL futures bet, and that is one of the most popular ways to bet on the league.

Future bets tend to focus on individual or team awards when it comes to the NHL, but an NHL season prop bet takes things a bit further. This is when you will be able to make a unique wager on a certain award and how it will be one.

Here are a few potential examples:

Will a team from the Eastern or Western Conference win the President’s Trophy?
Will the league MVP be over/under 26.5 years of age?
Will an American-born player win the league MVP?

All-Star Game Prop Betting

The NHL All-Star Game is not as popular as some of the other major professional sports, but it is still a celebration of the best hockey players in the world. This is a time that sportsbooks love to feature the NHL in a number of wagers, especially when it comes to prop betting.

Skills Competition

Before the NHL All-Star Game takes place, there are a number of different skills competitions that take place. The NHL has continued to change up the different skill competitions that are available, but sportsbooks are always offering prop betting options for whatever is available.

There are some unique events offered by the NHL, and these will all come with some unique prop betting options.

NHL All-Star Game

The actual NHL All-Star Game is one of the biggest events of the season for the league, and you can guarantee that sportsbooks are paying attention as well. You won’t find any other NHL event that has more prop betting options than the NHL All-Star Game.

Here are a few examples of some of the prop betting options you might see for this event:

Will a goaltender win the All-Star Game MVP?
Over/Under total goals scored in the All-Star Game
Will there be a penalty assessed in the NHL All-Star Game?

Choose The Right Kind

Nearly all of the NHL prop betting options below talk about skill wagers, but that isn’t the only available kind. Just like with any sport, you can also find fun NHL prop betting options throughout the season.

It is important that you know which type of prop bet you are looking to wager on, and you should become an “expert” at whatever type you choose. Feel free to bounce around between both options, but becoming great at one type will give you more success.

Fun Prop Betting

Most people think of “fun” prop betting options when looking for this type of wager, but that is no longer the only option. The Super Bowl used to have a wide range of fun prop betting options each year, and that bled into the NHL as well.

If you are going to make a fun NHL prop bet then you have to be prepared to have the outcome influenced by a little bit of luck. These fun NHL prop bets typically won’t have anything to do with the action on the ice, but will instead focus on other happenings.

Skill Prop Betting

A skill prop bet is similar to what takes place in all of the other sports bets that are made at the sportsbook. While there could still be some luck involved in a skill prop bet, most of the time this is won by doing some research.

A skill prop bet is won by making a wise bet rather than just guessing and hoping for some luck. The top NHL prop betting options that are discussed above would all fall under this category.

NHL Props & Betting Tips

Now that you have a better understanding of how NHL props betting works it is time to look at some NHL prop betting tips. You are free to come up with your own NHL prop betting strategies, but the information below should help you be more successful.

Check Goaltenders

The first thing you want to look at when studying an NHL game is the goaltending matchup that is set to take place. There are several factors that can dictate the outcome of NHL games, but goaltenders play a large role.

This doesn’t mean that you have to make an NHL prop bet on goaltenders, but they will always factor into whatever you decide to bet on. You won’t want to wager on a player to score a goal if they are facing a hot goaltender.

Small Unit Betting

Most sports betting experts will always recommend using the same betting unit when making a wager, but that doesn’t apply when it comes to prop betting. You don’t typically want to use a large unit when making an NHL prop bet because there are so many variables that could affect the outcome.

You might also find a number of NHL prop bets that you want to wager on for a specific game, and you won’t want to use a large unit for all of those bets.

Check The Injury Report

Hockey is a contact sport, but it is also a sport that is played by some of the toughest men on the planet. NHL players are known for playing through injuries, and teams don’t usually disclose too much information on the injury report.

This can make researching injuries pretty difficult, but you still need to find out as much information as possible. Even if a player isn’t listed on the injury report there is still a chance that they could be dealing with some sort of injury.

Find The Best NHL Betting Odds

It is also important to shop around for the best odds when you are placing NHL prop bets. This is because the lines and odds can vary greatly from one sportsbook to another. This is true for betting on NHL games as well as wagering on NHL player props.

For example, when looking across the prop betting market, you may find different odds for Sidney Crosby to score a goal. That’s why it pays to have multiple sportsbooks, so you can lock in the best odds to enhance your payout.

The post Best NHL Props Today – Hockey Picks & Analysis (Updated Daily) appeared first on Props.

First Touchdown Scorer Props – Who Will Score First TD?

Scott Krones — Thu, 18 Dec 2025 19:59:00 +0000

First touchdown scorer props have become increasingly popular over the years, and it’s easy to see why. They are fun wagers that tend to settle quickly unless you are locked into an old-school defensive struggle.

Below, we’ll run through our favorite NFL first touchdown scorer props. Then, we’ll outline some strategy tips for this special type of bet, which could be helpful if you are new to this specific bet type.

So let’s start with the all-important question: who will be the first touchdown scorer tonight?

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First Touchdown Scorer: Week 16 Thursday

It should be a fun showdown between the Seattle Seahawks and Los Angeles Rams for Week 16 TNF.

What are the best NFL first touchdown scorer props tonight? Here are our top picks for the upcoming slate:

First Touchdown Data Overview

Before getting into the picks, let’s take a look at some 2025 data for both teams.

Seattle Seahawks First TD Leaders

Jaxon Smith-Njigba (4)
Tory Horton (2)
Zach Charbonnet (1)
AJ Barner (1)

Seattle Seahawks Anytime TD Leaders

Jaxon Smith-Njigba (7)
Zach Charbonnet (7)
AJ Barner (4)
Tory Horton (4)
Kenneth Walker (3)
Cooper Kupp (2)
Rashid Shaheed (2, with Saints)

Red-Zone Targets & Touches

Zach Charbonnet (38)
Kenneth Walker (35)
Jaxon Smith-Njigba (13)
AJ Barner (13)
Cooper Kupp (9)
Elijah Arroyo (5)
Tory Horton (4)

Los Angeles Rams First TD Leaders

Kyren Williams (4)
Davante Adams (2)
Puka Nacua (1)
Tyler Higbee (1)
Konata Mumpfield (1)

Los Angeles Rams Anytime TD Leaders

Kyren Williams (10)
Davante Adams (9)
Puka Nacua (7)
Colby Parkinson (5)
Blake Corum (4)
Davis Allen (3)
Tyler Higbee (2)

Red-Zone Targets & Touches

Kyren Williams (50)
Davante Adams (32)
Blake Corum (23)
Colby Parkinson (17)
Puka Nacua (12)
Tyler Higbee (7)
Davis Allen (6)

Top First TD Plays

A look at our top first touchdown scorer picks at varying odds

Puka Nacua First Touchdown (+750) – It’s not looking too good for Davante Adams, who is doubtful at time of writing. Adams has been Matthew Stafford’s clear-cut number one target in the red zone, so his absence would be crucial for first TD purposes. Puka Nacua would be the obvious play if targeting the passing game, while Colby Parkinson at +1100 also sticks out.

Rashid Shaheed First Touchdown (+1800) – If you want a flier, consider Rashid Shaheed, whose snaps have been trending up lately after his midseason move from New Orleans to Seattle (48% – 51% – 68%). Shaheed has already forged noticeable chemistry with Sam Darnold, posting a 5-67 line in Week 14 and a 7-74 mark in last week’s W over the Colts.

Good luck!

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First Touchdown Scorer: Week 15 Monday

What are the best NFL first touchdown scorer props today? Here are our top picks for the upcoming slate:

The Pittsburgh Steelers will host the Miami Dolphins for Week 15 Monday Night Football.

First Touchdown Data Overview

Before getting into the picks, let’s take a look at some data for both teams.

Pittsburgh Steelers First TD Leaders

Kenneth Gainwell (3)
Aaron Rodgers (1)
Ben Skowronek (1)
Connor Heyward (1)
Jaylen Warren (1)
Jonnu Smith (1)

Red-Zone Targets/Touches

Kenneth Gainwell (32)
Jaylen Warren (31)
DK Metcalf (14)
Darnell Washington (7)
Pat Freiermuth (7)
Jonnu Smith (7)

Miami Dolphins First TD Leaders

De’Von Achane (4)
Jaylen Waddle (1)
Malik Washington (1)
Ollie Gordon II (1)

Red-Zone Targets/Touches

De’Von Achane (41)
Ollie Gordon II (19)
Jaylen Waddle (11)
Malik Washington (10)
Darren Waller (5)

Top First TD Plays

A look at our top first touchdown scorer picks at varying odds

Our attention is focused on the passing games for first TD value on Week 15 MNF.

DK Metcalf First Touchdown Scorer (+800)

The running back situation is pretty muddled in Pittsburgh. Both Gainwell and Warren (currently questionable) are getting consistent looks, and we simply don’t love the value on either player.

Instead, we’ll turn to Metcalf, who has fallen below an 80% snap share only one time this season. As you can see above, he has clearly been Aaron Rodgers’ preferred target in the red zone.

Darren Waller First Touchdown Scorer (+1200)

Waller is set to be active for Week 15 Monday Night Football, and he’s shown some solid chemistry with Tua in limited action.

Achane (+450) and Waddle (+1000) are the obvious first touchdown picks on the Miami side, but that +1200 number on one of the NFL’s best pass-catching tight ends is intriguing.

Good luck!

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The Best sportsbooks for placing your first TD scorer props

The following sportsbooks have more than enough options to satisfy your first touchdown scorer needs. And as we always say, make sure to shop around for the best prices and possible bonuses when it comes to first touchdown scorer bets.

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The Best DFS Pick’em apps for First Touchdown props

Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) pick’em apps offer a different approach to prop-style betting. They focus on player stat projections and picks without traditional odds. These platforms operate in more states than conventional sportsbooks, making them accessible to more fans.

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First touchdown bet types, typical odds, and win conditions

The table below shows the main first-TD bet types. It explains what each bet type is, the typical odds ranges you’ll see, and what constitutes a win or a loss.

Use this as a quick overview, then we’ll delve into more detail on each bet type in the rest of the article below.

Bet Type	Description	Typical Odds	Win Conditions	Loss Conditions
First Touchdown Scorer – Full Game	Bet on a specific player to score the first touchdown of the game, regardless of team.	+300 to +800	Your chosen player scores the game’s very first TD.	Any other player scores the first TD, or no touchdown is scored and no “No TD” market was selected.
First Touchdown Scorer – Team-Specific	Bet on a specific player to score the first touchdown for their team, ignoring what the opponents do.	+300 to +1000	Your chosen player scores the first TD for his team.	Another teammate scores the first TD for that team, or the team fails to score a TD.
Team to Score First Touchdown	Bet on which team will score the game’s first TD, not tied to an individual player.	-200 to +150	The team you selected scores the first touchdown of the game.	The other team scores the first touchdown, or no touchdown is scored.
First Scoring Play (Method)	Bet on the method of the game’s first score (touchdown, field goal, or safety).	150 to +5000	The first score of the game matches your chosen method.	A different scoring method happens first.
First Touchdown by Position Group	Bet on which position group will score the first TD, either: RB, WR, TE, QB, Defense/Special Teams.	+300 to +3000	The first touchdown is scored by a player in your chosen position group.	A player from another position group scores the first TD, or no touchdown is scored.
Same-Game Parlay – First TD Combo	Combine a first touchdown scorer bet with other legs such as moneyline, spread, or totals.	0 up to...no ceiling!	All legs of your parlay must hit, including the first TD scorer.	Any leg of the parlay fails.

What are single-player first touchdown props?

First-touchdown (TD) props let you bet on who will score a touchdown first. Variants include props for individual players, team-specific bets, and same-game parlays.

These kinds of bets really come down to how a team starts out. It’s about the early rhythm, the play calls, and who gets the ball in the red-zone.

The best shots usually come from players the coaches already plan to feature on that opening drive, rather than players who do not start the game and only come on later.

What is a standard first touchdown scorer bet?

A standard first-touchdown scorer prop is where you bet on a single player from any team that you think will score the game’s opening touchdown (TD). The bet settles once the first touhdown is scored. If your chosen player makes the first TD, you win. If not, you lose. Simple.

Only rushing, receiving, or special-teams touchdowns count with this bet, with passing touchdowns credited to the receiver rather than the quarterback who made the throw.

If no touchdown is scored in the entire game, the bet is usually void unless a “no touchdown” market is listed.

The odds for this bet vary depending on the player’s role. Favorites like goal-line backs or top receivers often sit between +500 and +1500, while backups or low usage players can reach +3000 or more.

Many small factors can influence these bets. If a game turns into a blowout, you sometimes see random guys sneak in with a late touchdown. Down near the goal line, coaches often send in fresh legs or a bruising back to punch it in. And when the clock is running tight, teams love looking to their slot guys or tight ends for those quick, safe throws.

What is a team-specific first touchdown scorer prop?

Team-specific first-touchdown bets are all about picking the player who scores the first touchdown for just one team, not necessarily the first touchdown of the game. So instead of worrying about every player on the field, you’re zeroing in on fewer players, which can make it a bit easier to choose who to bet on, and hopefully for your ticket to hit.

Your bet wins if your chosen player scores the first touchdown for your team. if the other team hits the red-zone first, your bet is still live. You only lose if your player never scores a touchdown, or a player from his same team touches down first.

The odds fluctuate significantly depending on the player. Big-name running backs or top receivers usually land somewhere around +300 to +600, with the go-to red-zone guys averaging in the mid-300s last season.

If you like rolling the dice, backups and role players can be way higher at +1000 or more, and if one of them hits, you’re looking at a decent payout, but obviously, they hit far less.

Because what counts is who scores your team’s first touchdown, not the first one of the game, game script is crucial! If a team is trailing, the quarterback will probably throw more, which puts wide receivers and tight ends in the mix. If they’re near the goal line and stick to running, the ball usually goes to the running back to finish the job.

And remember, quarterback touchdowns only count if they run it themselves, since passing touchdowns go to the receiver.

You can spot good picks by watching teams that get to the red zone a lot and seeing which players they lean on right away, especially in those first scripted plays.

How do same game parlay combos work with first TD props?

Same-game parlays combine first-touchdown scorer picks with other possible outcomes in the same game, such as a team win, point total, or individual player stats, to create a bet with higher odds and hopefully a bigger payout.

When you combine bets like this, every leg must win for the parlay to pay out. If any part of it results in a loss, the entire bet loses.

These bets carry higher risk because multiple things must happen for you to win, but they reward you handsomely if you have strong game script-reading skills.

Odds usually fall between +500 and +2000, depending on the number of legs and the particular things you bet on. Two-leg parlays will average at the lower end, but 3 or more-leg parlays often combine to over +1500, but the sky’s the limit!

Early game planning and matchups between offense and defense matter because teams often plan plays for the first series, giving key players early chances to score. Wide receivers facing soft zone coverage can find space quickly when defenses are keyed on the run.

To find value, limit parlays to two or three solid legs only. Sticking 4, 5, or even 7 bets together is not only far less likely to hit, but you also lose any value you may have found due to the baked-in overround in sportsbooks’ odds.

For example, pairing a top running back to score first TD, with a good winning team to finish first can produce odds between +600 and +750, and it will come in a good 30% to 40% of the time if you look at last season’s stats.

What are team and game-based first touchdown prop types?

Team and game-based first-touchdown props don’t focus on individual players; they instead ask bigger-picture questions, such as which team scores first, how that touchdown occurs, or what position the scorer plays.

These bets are more about team style, coaching choices, and overall scoring patterns instead of singling out a specific guy.

Let’s now look at the standard betting options you have in this arena.

Which team will score a TD first?

With this type of prop bet, you have to choose which team will score the first touchdown, regardless of the individual player who scores. If your team scores a TD first, you win; if they fail to score a TD or the other team scores a TD first, then you lose.

It is simpler than the player-specific prop bets, but it does still need analysis of opening drives, offensive efficiency, and defensive weaknesses to try to find value.

Key factors that affect this bet include opening-drive efficiency and defensive matchups, especially weak pass defenses. Teams that win the coin toss and choose to receive the opening kickoff have a modest advantage of a few percentage points when it comes to scoring first.

To spot value, focus on teams with strong first-quarter scoring and red-zone efficiency, particularly those with a history of effective opening drives.

Method of the first touchdown prop bet

With this prop, you have to decide and bet on HOW the first touchdown will be scored, such as passing, rushing, or defensive or special-teams.If you correctly bet on how the first touchdown is scored, you win; if it is scored any other way, you lose.

Passing touchdowns typically sit at odds around -200 to +100 and are common for pass-heavy teams. Rushing touchdowns often show odds near +150 to +300 and are common for run-heavy teams. Defensive or special-teams touchdowns are the riskiest, with odds from +800 to +2500 and much higher payouts.

Factors that influence this market include the distribution of red-zone plays, teams that favor the run inside the ten-yard line, and even weather conditions, which can impact the success rates of teams that prefer running or passing.

For example, adverse weather conditions, such as wind or rain, often necessitate more run-heavy game plans, which can increase the chances of rushing touchdowns.

First touchdown by position group prop bets

This bet asks which position group, either running back, wide receiver, quarterback, or tight end, will score the first touchdown in the game. It can be from one team or both.

If you pick the correct position of the player who scores the first TD, you win; if a player from any other position scores a TD first or there’s no TD in the game, then you lose.

This kind of bet is the one for you if you like to bank more on particular roles, but not specific players.

QB odds are typically +400 to +800 for quarterbacks who both run and throw. TE odds range from +300 to +600. RB odds normally range from +150 to +250 and favor run-heavy teams, while WR odds often show +100 to +200 for teams with elite receivers.

Things to think about to find value include red-zone target shares and who a team usually throws to near the end zone, which players they use in goal-line sets, and how the defense lines up. A team like the 49ers, with creative formations, might give their running backs or fullbacks more chances. Against zone defenses, wide receivers often get open on quick, short crossing routes.

What are parlay and combo first TD props?

Parlay and combo bets let you amplify payouts by combining multiple first-touchdown outcomes. They come with high risk because every selection in the parlay must hit for your bet to win.

You need to build parlays thoughtfully to balance the higher rewards against the decreasing likelihood of every outcome happening to win.

What are the core mechanics of parlay and combo bets?

Same-game parlays combine first-touchdown scorer predictions with other outcomes in the same game, like a team’s win or total points. An example is betting Breece Hall to score the first touchdown plus the Jets over 21.5 points.
Cross-game parlays link first-touchdown scorers from different games. An example is Christian McCaffrey scoring the first touchdown, as well as Ja’Marr Chase scoring the first touchdown.
Combo props mix various first-touchdown related markets, such as betting on both the method of the first touchdown and the scorer. An example is a rushing touchdown first, plus Derrick Henry to score.

What are some key rules to understand?

All legs must hit. For a parlay to pay out, every leg of the bet has to win. If one or more legs fail, then the entire bet loses.
Odds multiply. If you combine two +300 selections, the parlay would pay out at +900. Three legs at +300 would pay out at +2700.
Correlation matters. Avoid combining inherently contradictory selections because only one team can score first in a head-to-head matchup. So if you bet both teams to score first in a parlay or combo, there is 0% it can come off!

You should build parlays around strong correlations. For example, combining Lions first-TD team at +120 with Sam LaPorta first-TD at +900 is logical because Detroit’s red-zone trends favor tight ends. Pairing Jalen Hurts first-TD at +400 with Eagles first-TD team at minus 120 also makes sense given Philly’s top-ranked QB sneak success rate at the goal-line.

Avoid conflicting outcomes like pairing Travis Kelce’s first TD with Patrick Mahomes to throw for 300-plus yards because Mahomes’ downfield passing can reduce Kelce’s red-zone opportunities.

Use red-zone data to find players with significant target shares, such as Davante Adams, or teams with high red-zone touchdown rates.

Limit parlay legs since each extra leg reduces your chance of winning. Stick to two to three legs that together might hit at 5% or so. Combining parlays with three or more legs that might typically hit at less than 1.5% can result in demoralizing, bankroll-busting losing streaks of hundreds of bets if you’re unlucky.

You should also manage correlation risk by avoiding overlapping dependencies. For example, do not pair Justin Jefferson’s first-TD with the Vikings’ first-TD team because Jefferson’s first-TD guarantees the team’s leg. You’d get better long-term value picking one or the other, not combining both.

Instead, focus on teams with plays planned for the first series; for example, betting Cooper Kupp first-TD and Rams first-drive TD when the Rams excel at those openings.

Live hedging can also be useful. If your first TD parlay fails early, you might hedge by betting on the last TD for the same player to potentially recover losses.

How does in-game first TD betting work?

Live first-TD betting allows you to place bets on first touchdowns even after the game is underway, and keeps the market active from kickoff until the first score with odds that update in real time. Things that can affect the odds are on-field position, drive momentum, and substitutions.

As with pre-game props, your chosen player must score via a rush reception or return for your bet to settle, with other scoring types not included.

When you’re betting on a live first touchdown, the odds don’t stay still. They move with every play, and a few key factors tend to drive the most significant swings:

Field position – If a drive starts near midfield or close to the goal line, the odds on star players get shorter because a touchdown feels more likely. If the team is stuck way back near their own end zone, the odds naturally get longer.
Drive momentum – When an offense is moving the ball easily, odds on their top players will of course usually drop. However, if the defense is stopping them easily and forcing tough downs, the odds will, of course, go back up.
Injuries and subs – If a starter leaves the game, the backup’s odds get better. If the starter comes back in, the backup’s odds will worsen again.
Play tendencies – Teams often reuse plays that worked for them in previous games. If you see a familiar setup from a team, the odds are that the player might tighten. But if the defense figures it out, the odds naturally swing the other way.
Matchups – If a strong player is covered by someone weaker, their odds will decrease with the increased chances of scoring. However, if the defense fixes the matchup, the odds will revert to normal.
Formations – Heavy sets with extra blockers usually mean running plays, which lowers odds for running backs. Spread sets mean quick passes, which help receivers. If the formation changes, so do the odds.
Game flow – A penalty that keeps the drive alive can shorten odds on likely scorers. However, if the drive stalls, the odds will get longer.

Live first-touchdown betting makes the game more fun to follow. The odds can swing in an instant due to any of a long run, a flag, or even a quick substitution. It can keep you interested in the game from the kickoff to the end, and if you notice changes before the sportsbook does, you can often find a nice edge.

Basic first TD Scorer Strategy

Just like with anytime touchdown scorer props, there is no surefire way to guarantee a win on first touchdown scorer props. That said, there are several steps you can take to increase your win rate significantly.

Pay Attention To Injuries

Simply being on top of the injury report is one of the easiest ways to get value as a bettor. By knowing which players are questionable, you can often pounce on lines before the sportsbook has a chance to react.

For example, if the starting running back is questionable, I like to have some bets queued up on the backup running back. If he’s ultimately ruled out, you can potentially beat the sportsbook for a significant amount of closing line value.

It’s not a fool-proof method, and the sportsbooks aren’t dumb. However, there are at least a few times a year when unexpected news leaves them open.

Make sure you’re plugged into the news – Twitter alerts from top news reporters are the best source – and take advantage of it when you can.

Defense (& Coaching) Matters

One of the most annoying things about betting on first-scorer props is that you are occasionally powerless. Only one team gets the first possession of each game, which means there’s a roughly 50/50 chance that your chosen player will start the game on the sidelines. If the opposing team goes down the field and scores, your player will have zero chance of scoring the first TD.

That’s why backing a player with a solid defense makes sense. If they can keep the opposing offense out of the end zone, it creates more chances for your player to score the first touchdown.

Additionally, knowing which coaches like to receive the ball after winning the coin toss is another way to create some value. The vast majority of coaches choose to defer at this point, but new coaches enter the league every year. Finding one who prefers to receive the ball almost guarantees they will start the game on offense, which is a huge boost for first touchdown props.

Know The Goal Line Stats

Not all red zone touches are created equal. For running backs, in particular, getting the ball inside the five-yard line is a great way to rack up a high number of touchdowns.

There are some ways to exploit this. Last year, Boston Scott was the most profitable anytime TD scorer in the entire league. He had just 20 red zone touches, which put him well behind most of the top runners in the league. However, 16 of those attempts came from inside the 10-yard line, and 12 came from inside the five. Ultimately, only 10 running backs had more carries from inside the five-yard line than Scott last season.

I’m not sure who this year’s version of Scott will be, but staying on top of the numbers can help you turn a profit.

How To Deal With The Swings

Betting on first touchdown scorer props is similar to playing large tournaments in daily fantasy sports. Your win rate is likely to be low, so you’ll need to be prepared for periods without any wins. That can be demoralizing for bettors.

The key is to maximize your upside when you win. That allows you to survive the downswings and preserve your bankroll. If you’re increasing your bets every time you hit a first touchdown prop, you won’t be able to survive the inevitable cold streaks. Like most things in life, discipline is key.

Important terms and conditions for first touchdown props

First-TD bets sound easy: pick who scores first, and if they do, you’re in business! However, there can be different rules at various sportsbooks, some of which may be more significant than you think.

If you don’t pay attention to some of the little details, it can be easy to walk away thinking you nailed it, only to find your bet has lost, or even, for some reason, voided.

Here are some of the things you need to look out for:

Passing touchdowns do not count for this bet

For first touchdown bets, the scoring method must be a rushing, receiving, or particular return score, which means the player must actually run the ball in or catch it in the end zone.

So just like with anytime touchdown scorer props, passing touchdowns are not included in first touchdown scorer props. If the first touchdown of a game is a passing touchdown, then whoever caught the ball would be considered the first TD scorer.

However, that doesn’t mean that quarterbacks are irrelevant in first touchdown scorer props. Quarterbacks will run for more touchdowns than you think, especially as more athletic passers enter the league every year.

23 quarterbacks ran for multiple scores last year, with Jalen Hurts leading the pack at 10. There are some familiar suspects on the list – Hurts, Josh Allen, and Kyler Murray each had at least five rushing touchdowns – but you don’t need to be a great rusher to score touchdowns. Ryan Tannehill was second among quarterbacks with seven touchdowns, while noted statue Tom Brady even had two scores.

Ultimately, quarterbacks were some of the most profitable players last year in any-time touchdown scorer props. If quarterbacks are scoring more rushing touchdowns than expected, it stands to reason they’d be underpriced in first-touchdown odds as well.

Also be aware that extra points, safeties, and two-point conversions don’t count, and overtime only matters at some books. So if you’re betting a game you think could be low-scoring and head to OT, you’ll want to check if that first overtime score actually counts toward your ticket.

Player participation rules

Your guy has to be on the field for your first TD bet to be live. If he never takes a snap, most places void the bet and give you your money back, but once he’s out there, even if only for a single play, then the bet usually stands.

This can mean if your chosen player pulls up hurt in the first series, you’re out of luck. This stings, but that’s how it works, I’m afraid.

And don’t forget, a snap on special teams doesn’t always qualify! Lining up on a kick return doesn’t count the same as lining up with the offense.

Overtime and no-touchdown outcomes

If regulation ends without a touchdown, some sportsbooks will roll the bet into overtime and settle it on whoever scores first there, but others don’t, especially if the market is labeled “First TD in Regulation.”

If nobody scores at all, most books will void and refund the bet unless they’ve posted a “No TD” market, in which case the bet stands.

Every now and then you’ll see a promo that softens the blow, like giving you your stake back if your pick ends up scoring the second touchdown instead of the first, which doesn’t happen often but is worth looking out for!

Defensive and special-teams touchdowns

This is another one people miss. Defensive scores, such as pick-sixes or fumble returns, and kickoff or punt return touchdowns, only count if the player is listed in that market. If he’s not on the board for that role, it doesn’t matter how crazy the play is, your bet is not a winner.

Quarterback scoring definitions

Quarterbacks only get credit for a TD if they run it in themselves or catch a pass. Throwing one doesn’t count for them, which trips up new bettors all the time, and on laterals or trick plays, the scorer is simply the guy who takes the ball over the line.

Market-specific rules and parlays

Wording is a bigger deal than people realize. “First TD scorer” is different from “First TD in Regulation,” and props like “First RB TD” won’t pay if a wideout gets there first.

If you drop one of these bets into a parlay, every leg has to hit or the whole ticket goes down, and since most books don’t let you cash out early on first-TD props, once it’s placed, you’re locked in for the duration.

Key clauses to keep in mind

Void rules: Does the book cancel if your player never plays, gets hurt before a snap, or the game is called off?
Dead-heat rules: Rare, but if two players are ruled to have scored on the same play, some books split payouts.
Promotions: Odds boosts and insurance don’t always apply to “No TD” markets or parlays, so it’s worth checking before you bet.

Conclusion

That’s everything you need to know about how first-TD props are set up and what to watch for with the different markets. It’s one of those bets that adds a real spark right from kickoff, because every snap on that first drive feels like it could decide it. The rules can vary slightly from book to book, but once you’ve got the hang of them, the rest is just about enjoying the ride.

We’ve already shared our picks at the top, so now it’s about sitting back, following along, and hoping the ball finds the right hands early. Good luck if you’re tailing — here’s to our guys crossing the line first.

For more on how to bet on the NFL, check out some of the resources from the Props.com Betting 101 library:

The post First Touchdown Scorer Props – Who Will Score First TD? appeared first on Props.

CS2 Props – Daily Counter-Strike DFS Picks & Analysis

Scott Krones — Thu, 18 Dec 2025 08:48:00 +0000

In this recurring feature, we will post our favorite CS2 props and picks on the best DFS pick’em sites like Underdog, DraftKings Pick6, Betr Picks and Sleeper.

Counter-Strike has been getting more popular in the DFS streets, so let’s see if we can make some money and pick some winners. We’ll have frequent player and match predictions with well-reasoned analysis as we try to win some cash, so keep checking back!

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CS2 Props – Counter-Strike Predictions & Picks Today

Counter-Strike games take place all throughout the day. In order to maintain consistency and expectations, CS2 props will be posted when there are significant events taking place.

CS2 StarLadder Preview & Picks

Two more quarterfinal matchups are on the schedule for the CS2 major on Friday. Who will book their spots in the semis alongside Vitality and Spirit?

Friday, December 12th

All series will be in a best-of-three format.

11:00 AM ET: MOUZ vs. FaZe
2:00 PM ET: FURIA vs. Na’Vi

A look at some of the most popular players on Underdog for today:

Series Predictions

Our predictions for each matchup on the slate

MOUZ > FaZe 2-0 – Though they’re often the crowd favorites, it’s hard to imagine FaZe topping the talent/experience combo of this Mousesports starting five. Individually, Twistzz and frozen are usually the go-to riflers for karrigan’s team, but new addition jcobbb has come into his own at this major in Budapest, Hungary.

For MOUZ, Spinx and xertioN stick out. Spinx is a steady, conservative player who brings more consistency, while xertioN is an aggressive opener who loves to take space on the map. He carries more upside typically.

FURIA > Na’Vi 2-1 – Another banger here. Na’Vi has shown strong form at this tournament, but the level of opposition is on another level against FURIA, who are currently the number one-ranked team in CS2. The pickups of molodoy and YEKINDAR couldn’t have gone much better so far, but it’s the former who’s our preferred target. He’s quickly become one of the most dominant AWPers in the world in only his first real year at the pro level.

It’s a pretty brutal matchup for Na’Vi. If we had to target anyone on a player level, it’d be b1t, one of the top anchors around.

Top DFS Targets

A quick overview of our top player picks

Spinx & xertioN vs. FaZe
Twistzz vs. MOUZ
molodoy & KSCERATO vs. Na’Vi
b1t vs. FURIA

Check back later for finalized picks and analysis.

Good luck!

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Thursday, December 11th

The playoffs of Stage 3 are here! We are down to the best eight teams in CS2 battling it out for all of the glory at the major in Budapest.

There will be two matches on Thursday and two on Friday, with the winners then meeting up in the final four over the weekend.

Top CS2 players by % of team multi-kills from the Budapest Major Stage 3 pic.twitter.com/rlFpX4ZVnO
— statsmeister (@statsmeister1) December 10, 2025

All series will be in a best-of-three format.

11:00 AM ET: Spirit vs. Falcons
2:00 PM ET: Vitality vs. The MongolZ

A look at the most popular players on the Underdog app for the upcoming matches:

Series Picks

Our predictions for each matchup on the slate

Falcons > Spirit 2-1 – Doesn’t get much better than this, and we’re only in the quarter-finals. These are arguably the two most individually skilled teams in CS2 with a lot of firepower on display.

donk is the most dominant player in Counter-Strike and seemingly always piles up the kills regardless of how his team’s performing. His upside is massive every time he plays and he’d be the top look on the Spirit side, but don’t forget about sh1ro, an impactful AWPer who relishes the big stage. His projections are often available at much lower numbers than donk.

For Falcons, m0NESY has been in excellent form and will be backed up by talented riflers kyousuke and NiKo. The stacked squad has been playing better and better ahead of Thursday’s series.

Vitality > The MongolZ 2-1 – These two teams have become very familiar with one another over the past couple of years, and now only one can move forward to the semis at the major.

We have to give the edge to Vitality, as ZywOo and ropz have been consistently strong, especially when it matters most.

We’ve been impressed by MongolZ despite having to swap out Senzu for controlez recently, and it should be a hard-fought battle. mzinho would be of most interest for DFS and betting purposes on a player level.

Top DFS Targets

A quick overview of our top player picks

donk & sh1ro vs. Falcons
m0NESY & kyousuke vs. Spirit
ZywOo & ropz vs. MongolZ
mzinho vs. Vitality

Good luck!

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CS2 StarLadder Preview: Monday, December 1st

We are almost to the end of Stage 2 at the major. All matches will be in a best–of–three format on Monday.

So far, two teams have booked their spots into Stage 3 from Stage 2, those being FaZe and Natus Vincere. Today we’ll have more teams be eliminated from the event and others advancing on.

Top individual performers from yesterday:

StarLadder Budapest Major Stage 2 day 2 masterclass (bo3):

w0nderful – 1.60
EliGE – 1.41
Twistzz – 1.36
b1t – 1.36
NertZ – 1.33
jabbi – 1.26
frozen – 1.24
jcobbb – 1.22
device – 1.22
headtr1ck – 1.21
— statsmeister (@statsmeister1) November 30, 2025

Series Predictions

PARIVISION > NIP 2-1 (upset special)
fnatic > Passion UA 2-1
M80 > Imperial 2-0
Astralis > Aurora 2-1 (toss-up)
B8 > 3DMAX 2-1 (upset special)
TYLOO > Liquid 2-1

Top DFS Targets

A quick overview of our top player picks

Jame vs. NIP
blameF vs. Passion UA
Lake vs. Imperial
Staehr vs. Aurora
JamYoung vs. Liquid

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CS2 StarLadder Preview: Sunday, November 30th

Our Stage 2 analysis begins on Day 2 after the initial best-of-one matches on Day 1.

We are getting down to the best of the best in Counter-Strike, so the matchups are getting progressively more exciting and meaningful.

EVEN STATE DUELS – STAGE 2 PREVIEW

this chart shows nicely how teams work.
what HLTV labels as openers are aggressive players who take a lot of duels in even player states (high K, high D)
AWPers are the other, much more conservative part of "the can opener" (high K, low D)… pic.twitter.com/UhgGdDxUte
— btrams (@smartbackwards) November 28, 2025

There is a mix of best-of-one and best-of-three series on Day 2. Let’s break the Sunday CS2 action down from a DFS and betting perspective.

Here’s a look at the top individual players from Day 1 of Stage 2:

StarLadder Budapest Major 2025 Stage 2 day 1 masterclass:

w0nderful – 1.96
b1t – 1.78
nota – 1.76
Wicadia – 1.68
xKacpersky – 1.60
try – 1.45
woxic – 1.34
Moseyuh – 1.34
sjuush – 1.33
Staehr – 1.33
KRIMZ – 1.33
— statsmeister (@statsmeister1) November 29, 2025

Games will start early in the morning and run throughout the day for those in the US.

These mostly look like they could be highly competitive series on Sunday. Remember that the best-of-one format brings a lot more volatility in general.

Series Predictions

Passion UA > 3DMAX (upset special)
M80 > TYLOO (toss-up)
Imperial > fnatic (toss-up)
PARIVISION > Aurora (upset special)
FaZe > Ninjas in Pyjamas (toss-up)
Liquid > MIBR
Natus Vincere > B8
Astralis > FlyQuest

Top DFS Targets

A quick overview of our top player picks

JamYoung vs. M80
blameF vs. Imperial
EliGE vs. MIBR
b1t vs. B8
Staehr vs. FlyQuest

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Counter-Strike FAQ – CS2 DFS Pick’Em

Read on for more information on CS2 props and DFS pick’em.

What is Counter-Strike?

CS2 is a popular video game in which two teams play 5v5.

The first team to win 13 rounds wins that particular “map”, and there are best-of-one, best-of-three, and best-of-three series depending on the tournament.

To win a round, a team must eliminate all of the opposing players or complete a team objective.

For the CT (Counter-Terrorist) side, the team goal is to defuse the bomb if planted by the Terrorist (T) side. For the T side, the objective is to eliminate all five opposing CTs OR plant the bomb and protect it long enough for it to explode.

For DFS and betting purposes, you can either participate in DFS contests where you build a full lineup of CS2 players, or you can try to predict individual player performance.

Just like in traditional sports, there are star players who accumulate more fantasy points in general, and recent player/team form and matchups can play a huge role in deciphering the best plays on a day-to-day basis.

Where can I play CS2 DFS and make CS2 picks?

There are numerous operators that consistently post markets for Counter-Strike props and DFS pick’ems.

Here are a few of our favorite places you can get in on the CS2 DFS action:

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The post CS2 Props – Daily Counter-Strike DFS Picks & Analysis appeared first on Props.

We’re Going Streaking – Underdog Streaks Challenge

Scott Krones — Thu, 18 Dec 2025 07:21:00 +0000

Underdog has released a game type revolving around streaks, and we’re here to break down the fun format and try to make some money along the way.

Soon we’ll be introducing a community aspect to this series. For now, we’ll dive more into the contest details and will also be dropping in our streak picks on Underdog Streaks as we try to build up our winnings.

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Underdog Streaks Daily Challenge – DFS Pick’Em

Sweat along with us while we try to build up our winning Underdog Streaks across different sports.

Current Streak: 9
Longest Streak: 9 (2x)

The streak has reached nine in a row thanks to Pascal Siakam’s game-winner on Saturday. What a rush!

We’ll update this space when a play stands out.

Content coming soon.

Check back later.

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Saturday, November 29th

Current Streak: 8
Longest Streak: 9

We are back and ready to try and keep the extended run going!

Our focus will be on the NBA tonight, and we’ll be backing the Pacers’ Pascal Siakam at home.

Though Indiana is slightly healthier these days, the rotation is still slimmed down. Tyrese Haliburton is out long term, and Aaron Nesmith and Obi Toppin are sidelined too. Andrew Nembhard (questionable) is also banged up.

As long as he’s healthy, Siakam will continue to have high usage and contribute across the box score.

Saturday’s matchup against the Bulls isn’t too scary for Siakam, who’s averaging 25.1 points, 7.4 rebounds and 4.6 assists per 36 minutes through 18 games this season (Basketball Reference).

The Pacers, despite their awful start, are only 3.5-point underdogs in a game with a total of 242.5. We expect another nice outing from Siakam on Saturday night.

Good luck!

Play: Pascal Siakam > 36.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists

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Monday, October 27th

Current Streak: 7
Longest Streak: 9

Let’s try and hit our eighth straight pick on Monday.

Our focus will be on the NBA today, as it’s a huge slate of games with a lot of opportunities.

Here are the highest NBA implied team totals at time of writing (approximate):

Warriors vs. Grizzlies (124)
Raptors at Bulls (122)
Rockets vs. Nets (120.75)
Bulls vs. Hawks (120.5)
Spurs vs. Raptors (119.5)
Thunder at Mavericks (117.5)
Suns at Jazz (117.5)

An overview of injury statuses via Underdog’s social media:

Injuries 10/27

CLE:
Yet to submit

DET:
Yet to submit

ORL:
Moe Wagner – Out

PHI:
Joel Embiid – Out
Paul George – Out
Dominick Barlow – Out
Trendon Watford – Out
Jared McCain – Out

ATL:
Jalen Johnson – Questionable
Kristaps Porzingis – Questionable
Zaccharie Risacher -…
— Underdog NBA (@UnderdogNBA) October 27, 2025

Today’s Pick:

We are siding with the Cavs’ Donovan Mitchell on the road against the Pistons.

Cleveland is favored by 2.5 and the O/U is at 230.5, even with injuries to Darius Garland and Max Strus. Lonzo Ball will also not play this evening.

Mitchell is one of the best pure scorers in the NBA, and we like his chances of another high output in what should be a competitive battle this Monday.

Through three games this season, the guard has averaged 31.2 points and 20.8 field goal attempts per 36 minutes (Basketball Reference).

Play: Donovan Mitchell HIGHER Than 27.5 Points

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Friday, October 24th

We’re back and ready to try for seven in a row. We’ll see if any plays stand out!

Current Streak: 6
Longest Streak: 9

It’s a big NBA slate on Friday, and that’s where we will turn our attention to.

Here’s a quick look at the highest NBA implied team totals for tonight (approximate):

Magic vs. Hawks (121)
Cavaliers at Nets (121)
Spurs at Pelicans (119)
Mavericks vs. Wizards (119)
Kings vs. Jazz (119)
Raptors vs. Bucks (118)
Grizzlies vs. Heat (118)

One of the most popular players will be Victor Wembanyama, who looked beyond dominant in the season opener and now heads into a favorable fantasy matchup against the Pelicans. San Antonio is implied for the third-most points on this busy slate.

For our play, we’re adding Jalen Brunson’s points projection in a home matchup against the Celtics. New York is favored by 3.5 and the total is at around 230.5.

There’s no questioning who the alpha in the Knicks offense is, and there’s a chance Karl-Anthony Towns and Josh Hart (both questionable) could be inactive/hobbled.

This is not the same Celtics squad we’ve come to fear in recent seasons. Jayson Tatum is out long term, and Jrue Holiday, Kristaps Porzingis and Al Horford have moved elsewhere. We expect a big individual showing from Brunson inside Madison Square Garden.

Today’s Pick:

Jalen Brunson HIGHER Than 27.5 Points

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Monday, September 29th

We have hit five straight and will be aiming for six on Monday.

Current Streak: 5
Longest Streak: 9

The MLB playoffs start up tomorrow, so tonight’s focus will be on the two-game Monday Night Football slate.

For today, we’re looking at Breece Hall’s fantasy points projection in a battle between two 0-3 division rivals.

While Hall hasn’t been as productive overall this season, he’s shown flashes of his game-breaking ability, and he’s a player who’s heavily involved in both the rushing and passing attacks. He’s already caught eight passes and been targeted 13 times through three games.

In what should be a competitive game against the Dolphins, we think Hall’s projection is a touch on the low side for Week 4 Monday Night Football.

Today’s Pick:

Breece Hall HIGHER Than 12.25 Fantasy Points

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Thursday, September 25th

Let’s try and hit five in a row on Thursday!

Current Streak: 4
Longest Streak: 9

For Thursday’s play, we are shifting to the NFL matchup between the Seahawks and Cardinals.

It’s a crucial early-season divisional battle for Week 4 TNF, and we think Marvin Harrison Jr.’s fantasy points projection could be worth attacking.

The receiver hasn’t quite lived up to the billing so far this season, but we expect Arizona to turn more to Kyler Murray and the passing attack in general now that starting running back James Conner has been lost long-term.

Harrison Jr. has logged 89%, 93% and 80% snap rates through the first three weeks and brings both big play ability and a strong presence in the red zone.

Today’s Pick:

Marvin Harrison Jr. HIGHER Than 8.95 Fantasy Points

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Wednesday, September 24th

We’ll be going for four straight winners on Wednesday.

Current Streak: 3
Longest Streak: 9

Today’s Pick:

Shohei Ohtani HIGHER Than 9.5 Fantasy Points

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Tuesday, September 23rd

We were able to hit our first two plays, so let’s aim for three in a row on Tuesday!

Current Streak: 2
Longest Streak: 9

Here are the highest MLB implied team totals for tonight’s slate at time of writing:

NYY (5.6)
ATL (5.4)
HOU (5.4)
OAK (5.4)
LAD (5.2)

The Yankees are in one of the best team situations of the day at home against Shane Smith and the putrid White Sox, so Aaron Judge sticks out once more.

Heading into Tuesday night, Judge has hit 49 home runs and added 12 stolen bases on top of his outstanding .466 xwOBA and .345 ISO across 146 games (FanGraphs).

Judge owns a .452 wOBA and .324 ISO versus righties this season. Thirty-five of his HRs have come against RHP.

Today’s Pick:

Aaron Judge HIGHER Than 10.5 Fantasy Points

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Monday, September 22nd

The streak has reset, so we’ll try and get back on track.

Current Streak: 0
Longest Streak: 9

We’re crossing over sports on Monday, with one NFL and one MLB play standing out.

Jahmyr Gibbs was effective in Week 2’s 52-21 decimation of the Bears, racking up 94 rushing yards on 12 carries to go with three receptions for 10 yards. He has a huge role in the rushing and passing attack for Detroit, so we like his fantasy points projection in what should be a back-and-forth showdown versus Baltimore.

It’s a slow day in baseball, but we do like the spot for the Giants at home against Michael McGreevy and the Cardinals.

Rafael Devers has had another strong season, totaling 32 homers and 105 RBI to go with a .376 xwOBA and .217 ISO across 157 games for Boston and San Francisco (FanGraphs). He has a .380 wOBA and .237 ISO against RHP in 2025.

Today’s Picks:

Jahmyr Gibbs HIGHER Than 14.25 Fantasy Points

Rafael Devers HIGHER Than 7.5 Fantasy Points

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Want more information on Underdog Streaks? You’re in the right spot.

Find out more about the format below. We detail the specifics of how it works and explain why you should consider trying it out for yourself.

More About Underdog Streaks – Win Up To 1000X Your Money

If you build up your streak and reach 11 out of 11, you can win up to 1000x your money on Underdog Streaks.

To participate in Underdog Streaks:

1) Make your initial pick-two entry on Underdog and choose your entry amount

2) If that entry hits, your streak will begin and you will then have to hit nine additional pick-one entries (at your own pace)

3) Go 11/11 to win up to 1000x your money on Underdog

Underdog Streaks is not available in all states, so double check you are eligible to play. To get further details and to get in on the action on Underdog Streaks, download the Underdog app or visit the website.

And remember, be sure to use Underdog promo code “PROPS” when signing up to get $50 when you play $5 on the platform.

Payouts At Underdog Streaks

It’s great that you can customize your streaks attempts. If you want to take more chances, you can pick higher multipliers, or you can play it safer with lower-payout plays.

All in all, you can win up to 1000x your money if you play your cards right.

Underdog Streaks Sports

One of the best aspects of Underdog Streaks is the ability to add picks from whichever sport you want. You can cross over from the NFL to the NBA to CS2 if you so desire.

This flexibility, both in terms of sports available and the ability to add plays on your own time, make the product stand out even more.

Why Play Underdog Streaks?

Because it’s fun!

The Underdog Streaks format is an enjoyable new twist on DFS pick’em. Players can be flexible with their picks, adding to their streaks on their own time, and can add plays across a multitude of sports offered at Underdog.

Plus, the sweat is great. The anticipation and excitement grow as the streak grows, and it truly is an enjoyable, compelling experience for casual and experienced players alike.

The fact you can also win serious money doesn’t hurt, either.

The post We’re Going Streaking – Underdog Streaks Challenge appeared first on Props.

NBA PrizePicks Today – Daily Cheat Sheet & Analysis

Scott Krones — Tue, 16 Dec 2025 21:04:31 +0000

Welcome to your essential guide for the best NBA PrizePicks and analysis today. Throughout the NBA season, we’re committed to bringing you FREE top-notch NBA PrizePicks cheat sheets every day.

We’ll dive deep into the statistics and matchups, ensuring you have all the information at your fingertips to make informed picks.

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Claim More Discounts With These Apps Like PrizePicks

While PrizePicks stands out in NBA DFS, it’s not the only option for avid fantasy sports enthusiasts. To expand your horizons, we introduce you to other DFS pick’em products, each offering enticing promos.

Explore our comprehensive list of apps like PrizePicks to see how you can profit from Underdog — which has fantastic daily specials and discounted offers — as well as other lesser-known DFS apps.

NOTE: This page is on hold.

In the meantime, check out our other NBA content and stay tuned for new features coming to the site in the near future!

Read through more of our NBA player props content for the 2025/26 season.

As always, everything is 100% free:

Best Player Props Today
NBA Betting Hub (Game Predictions & More)
Key Stats To Know: NBA Betting
Daily Promo Roundup

Thanks for tagging along.

NBA PrizePicks Today: Tuesday, February 11

Every day throughout the regular season and playoffs, we run through our favorite NBA PrizePicks plays. Picks and analysis are typically posted by 1 PM ET.

First of all, remember that it’s Taco Tuesday on PrizePicks! Don’t miss out on the value.

The NBA slows down with only four games on the schedule on Tuesday. The 76ers are the biggest favorites of the night (-9) at home against the banged-up Raptors.

NBA Pick Today (PrizePicks):

The Bulls will be at home to the Pistons tonight and are currently 4.5-point underdogs.

We are zeroing in on Coby White as a top pick, with his points projection at 20.5 over on PrizePicks NBA.

Now that Zach LaVine is in Sacramento, we should see White continue to take on a bigger offensive role. The Bulls simply don’t have that many players left on their roster capable of creating their own shots.

The 24-year-old guard is averaging a career-best 20.7 points to go with 15.8 field goal attempts per 36 minutes through 46 games this season (Basketball Reference).

Top Play: Coby White MORE Than 20.5 Points

Check back with us later for our final NBA picks and analysis.

Demon Plays

For those newer to PrizePicks, demon picks are harder to win but offer higher payouts. In this section, we’ll examine any standout demon plays for the day.

Demon #1 – N/A

N/A — no qualifying plays as of now.

Check back later.

NBA PrizePicks Today: Monday, February 10

Every day throughout the regular season and playoffs, we run through our favorite NBA PrizePicks plays. Picks and analysis are typically posted by 1 PM ET.

MORE PROPS: NFL | NBA | NHL | PGA

It’s the day after the Super Bowl and we’ve got 10 games to dig into in the NBA.

We could see Luka Doncic’s Lakers debut later tonight, as he’s questionable at time of writing. They’ll be at home to the Jazz and are favored by 13 points.

NBA Pick Today (PrizePicks):

If you can believe it, Anthony Davis is already injured for the Mavericks, so we are looking closely at Kyrie Irving at home against the Kings this evening.

AD hurt himself in his debut with Dallas and is set to miss a little bit of time. The Mavericks are also still without Dereck Lively, Caleb Martin and Dwight Powell, while PJ Washington, Max Christie and Dante Exum are all questionable to play as of now.

Kyrie was already playing as many minutes as he could handle, having logged 42, 40 and 42 over his last three. He averaged 37.1 minutes per game in the month of January.

On the season, Irving is averaging 23.9 points, 18.3 field goal attempts and 4.8 assists per 36 minutes through 42 games (Basketball Reference).

Heading into Monday’s game against Sacramento, the Mavs are favored by a point in the NBA odds. The total is at 237.5, the highest O/U on tonight’s slate.

Top Play: Kyrie Irving MORE Than 33.5 Points + Assists

Demon Plays

For those newer to PrizePicks, demon picks are harder to win but offer higher payouts. In this section, we’ll examine any standout demon plays for the day.

Nikola Jokic MORE Than 34.5 Points

Standard Projection: 28 Points

The unstoppable Nikola Jokic and the Nuggets will be at home to the surging Trail Blazers this evening and are heavy nine-point favorites. The total is 229.5.

Russell Westbrook is out for Monday and Michael Porter Jr. is currently questionable. Jamal Murray and Aaron Gordon are probable.

Jokic is averaging a career-high 29.6 points and 19.6 field goal attempts per 36 minutes through 47 games this season.

Obviously, this is a lofty points projection on PrizePicks NBA. Jokic has, however, hit 35+ points 13 times so far in 2024/25 with scoring outbursts of 56, 48 and 46 among others mixed in there.

Demon #2 – N/A

N/A — no qualifying plays as of now.

Check back later.

NBA PrizePicks Today: Sunday, February 9

Every day throughout the regular season and playoffs, we run through our favorite NBA PrizePicks plays. Picks and analysis are typically posted by 1 PM ET.

MORE PROPS: NFL | NBA | NHL | PGA

We hope you all enjoy the Super Bowl later today. Make sure to check out our NFL content for the game if you haven’t already.

For Sunday in the NBA, there are a few afternoon games to try to beat, and we’ve picked out our top play.

NBA Pick Today (PrizePicks):

The Bucks will host the 76ers today and are favored by a point and a half at time of writing. The total is at 227 points.

Giannis Antetokounmpo has already been ruled out for Sunday, so we have more interest than normal in Damian Lillard.

In this spot, we should see sky-high usage out of Lillard, who is averaging 24.9 points and 7.4 assists per 36 minutes through 42 games so far in 2024/25 (Basketball Reference).

Lillard has averaged 30.8 points and 10.6 assists in five games without Giannis this season (StatMuse).

Top Play: Damian Lillard MORE Than 36.5 Points + Assists

Full analysis will return on Monday, February 10th. Good luck!

Demon Plays

For those newer to PrizePicks, demon picks are harder to win but offer higher payouts. In this section, we’ll examine any standout demon plays for the day.

Demon #1 – N/A

N/A — no qualifying plays as of now.

Check back later.

NBA PrizePicks Today: Saturday, February 8

Every day throughout the regular season and playoffs, we run through our favorite NBA PrizePicks plays. Picks and analysis are typically posted by 1 PM ET.

MORE PROPS: NFL | NBA | NHL | PGA

It’s the Saturday before the Super Bowl, and there is a mammoth NBA slate to do battle with on PrizePicks. There are also a couple of earlier games on the schedule featuring the Mavericks/Rockets and Lakers/Pacers.

NBA Pick Today (PrizePicks):

Tonight’s primetime showdown between the Knicks and Celtics inside Madison Square Garden should be a doozy.

New York is currently a 3.5-point underdog in the NBA odds and the total is 232.5.

Jalen Brunson is averaging 26.6 points and 7.7 assists per 36 minutes through 50 games this season, the latter of which is on pace to be a career-high number (Basketball Reference).

Notably, the Celtics will be without one of their best perimeter defenders in Jrue Holiday on Saturday.

Top Play: Jalen Brunson MORE Than 34.5 Points + Assists

Demon Plays

For those newer to PrizePicks, demon picks are harder to win but offer higher payouts. In this section, we’ll examine any standout demon plays for the day.

Demon #1 – N/A

N/A — no qualifying plays as of now.

Check back later.

Demon #2 – N/A

N/A — no qualifying plays as of now.

Check back later.

NBA PrizePicks Today: Friday, February 7

Every day throughout the regular season and playoffs, we run through our favorite NBA PrizePicks plays. Picks and analysis are typically posted by 1 PM ET.

MORE PROPS: NFL | NBA | NHL | PGA

It’s Flex Friday on PrizePicks. Make sure to take advantage!

The trade deadline has come and gone and there were some major moves across the league. It’ll be interesting to see how everything shakes out after the trades.

On Friday’s PrizePicks NBA board, we’ve got seven games to dive into. Here’s what stands out thus far:

NBA Pick Today (PrizePicks):

At time of writing, Kevin Durant is questionable to play. We’d prefer Devin Booker if KD’s out, but regardless we believe he’ll torch the Jazz at home tonight.

Booker had hit 31+ in three straight before Wednesday’s off night against the Thunder.

He’s averaging 25.3 points on 18.2 field goal attempts per 36 minutes through 45 games despite shooting 45.0% from the floor overall (his lowest mark since 2018/19). Booker has hit 30+ points in 17 games so far this season.

Looking over the NBA odds, the Suns are nine-point favorites on their own floor for tonight’s meeting with Utah, with the total at 233.

Top Play: Devin Booker MORE Than 29.5 Points

We’re also looking closely at Trae Young to eclipse his points+assists projection (36.5) at home against Milwaukee, as the usage rate has been off the charts recently due to injuries. Atlanta is really missing Jalen Johnson in particular.

Through three February games, Young has averaged 38.3 minutes, 33.3 points and 12.7 assists to go with a 34.5 usage percentage (Basketball Reference). On the year he’s averaging 23.2 points and 11.4 assists per 36 minutes in 47 appearances.

Demon Plays

For those newer to PrizePicks, demon picks are harder to win but offer higher payouts. In this section, we’ll examine any standout demon plays for the day.

Demon #1 – N/A

N/A — no qualifying plays as of now.

Demon #2 – N/A

N/A — no qualifying plays as of now.

PrizePicks NBA Fantasy Scoring Overview

Wondering how the official NBA fantasy scoring works at PrizePicks? Here’s an overview:

Point: +1 Point
Rebound: +1.2 Points
Assist: +1.5 Points
Block: +2 Points
Steal: +2 Points
Turnover: -1 Point

Among other notes, overtime statistics ARE included as part of full game projections on PrizePicks NBA.

[accordion title=”2024/25 PrizePicks Top Play History“]

(NOTE: Demon & Goblin plays are not selected for this section)

2/10/25: Kyrie Irving > 33.5 PA – W
2/9/25: Damian Lillard > 36.5 PA – W
2/8/25: Jalen Brunson > 34.5 PA – W
2/7/25: Devin Booker > 29.5 Points – W
2/6/25: Deandre Ayton > 28.5 PR – L
2/5/25: Paolo Banchero > 23.5 Points – L
2/4/25: Tyler Herro > 23.5 Points – L
2/3/25: Domantas Sabonis > 41.5 PRA – L
2/2/25: Coby White > 20.5 Points – W
2/2/25: Desmond Bane > 29.5 PA – L
2/1/25: Tyler Herro > 23.5 Points – L
1/31/25: Kyrie Irving > 25.5 Points – W
1/30/25: Paolo Banchero > 23.5 Points – L
1/29/25: Cade Cunningham > 41.5 PRA – W
1/28/25: Anfernee Simons > 19.5 Points – W
1/27/25: No Pick (player ruled out)
1/26/25: No Pick (one game)
1/25/25: Trae Young > 25 Points – L
1/24/25: No Pick (player ruled out)
1/23/25: Tyler Herro > 24.5 Points – L
1/23/25: Victor Wembanyama > 40.5 PR – W
1/22/25: Stephen Curry > 25.5 Points – L
1/21/25: Paolo Banchero > 24.5 Points – W
1/20/25: Norman Powell > 24.5 Points – W
1/19/25: Zach LaVine > 27 Points – Push
1/18/25: Cade Cunningham > 47.5 FPTS – L
1/17/25: LaMelo Ball > 45.5 PRA – L
1/16/25: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander > 32.5 Points – W
1/15/25: Scottie Barnes > 33.5 PRA – L
1/14/25: Trae Young > 35.5 PA – W
1/13/25: Stephen Curry > 25.5 Points – W
1/12/25: Paolo Banchero > 23.5 Points – L
1/11/25: Tyler Herro > 33.5 PRA – W
1/10/25: Giannis Antetokounmpo > 45 PRA – W
1/9/25: Kevin Durant > 37.5 PRA – L
1/8/25: Tyrese Maxey > 30.5 Points – L
1/7/25: LaMelo Ball > 38.5 PRA – W
1/6/25: Tyler Herro > 34.5 PRA – W
1/5/25: Kyle Kuzma > 28.5 PRA – W
1/4/25: Tyler Herro > 23.5 Points – L
1/3/25: Cade Cunningham > 43.5 PRA – L
1/2/25: Joel Embiid > 37.5 PR – W
1/1/25: Tyrese Maxey > 27.5 Points – L
12/31/24: Donovan Mitchell > 22.5 Points – W
12/30/24: No Pick
12/29/24: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander > 30.5 Points – W
12/28/24: Karl-Anthony Towns > 37.5 PR – W
12/27/24: Nikola Jokic > 48.5 PRA – W
12/26/24: Jalen Williams > 34.5 PRA – L
12/25/24: Anthony Davis > 38 PRA – L (injury)
12/24/24: No Games
12/23/24: Cade Cunningham > 38.5 PRA – L
12/22/24: Nikola Jokic > 50.5 PRA – L
12/21/24: Cade Cunningham > 38.5 PRA – W
12/20/24: Jalen Williams > 31.5 PRA – W
12/19/24: Victor Wembanyama > 36 PR – W
12/18/24: No Games
12/17/24: Giannis Antetokounmpo > 48 PRA – W
12/16/24: James Harden > 36 PRA – W
12/15/24: Anthony Davis > 40.5 PR – W
12/14/24: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander > 31.5 Points – W
12/13/24: Victor Wembanyama > 35.5 PR – L
12/12/24: Dejounte Murray > 34.5 PRA – W
12/11/24: Karl-Anthony Towns > 38.5 PR – L
12/10/24: Jalen Suggs > 29 PRA – W
12/9/24: Scottie Barnes > 36.5 PRA – L (injury)
12/8/24: No Pick
12/7/24: Scottie Barnes > 37.5 PRA – W
12/6/24: Anthony Edwards > 24.5 Points – W
12/5/24: Brandin Podziemski > 23.5 PRA – L
12/4/24: Cade Cunningham > 35 PRA – W
12/3/24: Brandon Miller > 36.5 PRA – W
12/2/24: Anthony Edwards > 42 FPTS – L
12/1/24: Donovan Mitchell > 39.5 FPTS – W
11/30/24: Stephen Curry > 23.4 Points – L
11/29/24: Domantas Sabonis > 40 PRA – W
11/28/24: No Games
11/27/24: Franz Wagner > 41.5 PRA – L
11/26/24: Anthony Davis > 40.5 PR – L
11/25/24: Scottie Barnes > 31.5 PRA – W
11/24/24: No Pick
11/23/24: Franz Wagner > 46.5 FPTS – W
11/22/24: Trae Young > 33.5 PA – W
11/21/24: Franz Wagner > 42.5 FPTS – W
11/20/24: Pascal Siakam > 31.5 PRA – L
11/19/24: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander > 29.5 Points – W
11/18/24: Giannis Antetokounmpo > 47.5 PRA – L
11/17/24: James Harden > 36.5 PRA – W
11/16/24: Brandon Ingram > 38.5 PRA – W
11/15/24: Brandon Ingram > 36.5 PRA – W
11/14/24: Lauri Markkanen > 20.5 Points – L
11/13/24: Giannis Antetokounmpo > 51.5 PRA – W
11/12/24: Anthony Edwards > 27 Points – L
11/11/24: Brandon Ingram > 35.5 PRA – W
11/10/24: LaMelo Ball > 44.5 FPTS – W
11/9/24: James Harden > 47 FPTS – W
11/8/24: LaMelo Ball > 40 PRA – W
11/7/24: Anthony Edwards > 26.5 Points – W
11/6/24: James Harden > 46.5 FPTS – L
11/5/24: No Games
11/4/24: Ja Morant > 41 FPTS – W
11/3/24: Trae Young > 46.5 FPTS – W
11/2/24: Brandin Podziemski > 28 FPTS – L
11/1/24: Domantas Sabonis > 45 FPTS – L
10/31/24: Alperen Sengun > 27.5 PA – W
10/30/24: Trae Young > 39.5 PA – W
10/29/24: Lauri Markkanen > 22.5 Points – L (injury)
10/28/24: Paolo Banchero > 43.5 FPTS – W
10/27/24: Stephen Curry > 38.5 FPTS – L (injury)
10/26/24: Paolo Banchero > 38.5 PRA – L
10/25/24: Anthony Davis > 52 FPTS – W
10/24/24: Anthony Edwards > 42 FPTS – W
10/23/24: James Harden > 38 PRA – W
10/22/24: Anthony Davis > 37.5 PR – W

[/accordion]

Tips On Placing NBA PrizePicks Today

Now, let’s dive into the how-to. With PrizePicks, you can select between 2 to 6 player stats for your entry. While choosing 2 or 3 stats is generally safer, opting for 5 or 6 can lead to significantly higher payouts.

Search and Select with Ease

Looking for a specific player? Simply type their name in the search bar. Or, if you prefer, browse our “board” of squares, neatly organized by league and stat category.

Mix And Match Different Sports

PrizePicks isn’t just about basketball. It encompasses a vast array of sports, including NFL, MLB, NHL, WNBA, College Sports, PGA, Tennis, and various esports. In some states, college basketball and college football player projections are available as well. Each sport comes with its own set of stat categories.

For the NBA, these include points, rebounds, assists, combined stats (points + rebounds + assists), fantasy points, free throws, and three-pointers.

Your entry must include at least two projections, but you can mix and match sports along the way. For example, you don’t have to select two NBA projections for a valid entry. You can select one NBA and one NFL (or MLB, NHL, etc) — just as long as you pick higher or lower on 2-to-6 valid player projections.

Flex Plays vs. Power Plays

Power plays are ideal for the confident bettor. Remember, it’s all or nothing here. Every pick must win for a payout, but the rewards are substantial, with 4-Pick Power Plays offering 10X your money.

Flex plays are more forgiving and suitable for those who prefer a safety net. Even with one or two misses in your picks, you can still earn a payout. For instance, achieving 6/6 in a 6-Pick Flex Play can pay out 25X, while 5/6 still doubles your investment.

How To Use This NBA PrizePicks Cheat Sheet

Our NBA PrizePicks cheat sheet provides a daily analysis of our best PrizePicks NBA projections.

It’s important to be aware of the strategies involved in basketball, such as how injuries and other factors can temporarily affect a player’s statistics.

For instance, if LeBron James missed 7 out of the last 10 Lakers games due to injury, Anthony Davis likely assumed a greater scoring role for Los Angeles. If James is set to return for the upcoming game, Davis might relinquish some scoring duties back to him, potentially skewing his points projection from the last 10 games.

Always make sure to review the injury report and conduct thorough research alongside our NBA PrizePicks picks cheat sheet, which serves as a foundational starting point for your analysis.

Our NBA PrizePicks Picks Cheat Sheets Refresh Daily

Stay with us throughout the NBA season for daily updates, insights, and strategies to elevate your NBA PrizePicks experience.

Whether you’re a seasoned fantasy sports player or just starting, our cheat sheets and guides are here to ensure your success in the exciting world of NBA PrizePicks.

Looking for the best apps for NBA Pick’em games? Click here.

The post NBA PrizePicks Today – Daily Cheat Sheet & Analysis appeared first on Props.

Magic vs. Heat Predictions Today: Props, Odds & Picks (Dec. 9)

Scott Krones — Tue, 09 Dec 2025 14:35:00 +0000

Welcome to our Magic vs. Heat predictions today and NBA free expert picks for Tuesday, December 9th! Our basketball analysts bring you the best Magic vs. Heat props and betting angles to consider.

Let’s examine Tuesday’s matchup closer.

Editor’s Note: Check out our NBA hub for all of our free predictions!

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Magic vs. Heat Props & Prediction Today – Tuesday, Dec. 9

It should be a great atmosphere in Orlando for an NBA Cup quarterfinals matchup against the Heat. At time of writing, it’s the Magic that are barely favored (-1.5) on their home floor.

Here are the most popular players on Underdog NBA for this matchup:

With Franz Wagner out injured for Orlando, the likes of Paolo Banchero, Desmond Bane and Jalen Suggs become more interesting for DFS and betting. Banchero’s points projection is currently at 19.5 on most sites.

On the Miami side, you can pick your poison between Norman Powell, Bam Adebayo and Tyler Herro, all of whom are getting a lot of love.

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Magic vs. Heat Odds

Looking for Magic vs. Heat odds and betting lines?

Spread: Magic -1.5
Moneyline: Magic -110
Game Total (O/U): 235.5

Start Time For Magic vs. Heat

When: Tuesday, December 9th, 2025
Time: 6:00 P.M. EST
Where: Kia Center – Orlando, FL
Watch: Prime Video

Check out more of our NBA player props content for the 2025 season. As always, it’s 100% FREE:

Best Player Props Today
First Basket Predictions
NBA Betting Hub (Game Predictions & More)
Key Stats To Know: NBA Betting
Daily Promo Roundup

Orlando Magic Props & Predictions Today

The Magic are 14-10 overall and 9-4 at home early this season. They just suffered a brutal blow, losing to Franz Wagner to injury. It looks like he’ll miss at least a couple of weeks of action.

Fortunately for Orlando, Paolo Banchero did recently return after his lengthy spell on the sidelines. He’s been ramping up his activity and playing time since coming back, and he’s established himself as an alpha offensive player when on the court.

Desmond Bane and Jalen Suggs are also worth a look on this smaller slate. The opposing Heat have been playing at a breakneck pace this season and the O/U here is 235.5, eight points higher than the later battle between the Raptors and Knicks (227.5).

Miami Heat Props & Prediction Today

Despite a 4-7 away record and a rotation of injuries, the Heat have endured to a respectable 14-10 overall start in 2025/26.

Having the “big three” of Adebayo/Herro/Powell all active is a sight for sore eyes, and Andrew Wiggins, Davion Mitchell and Jaime Jaquez Jr. have had their fair share of positive moments too.

All in all, Erik Spoelstra has to be feeling pretty good about his team at this juncture. We should expect Miami to improve on that record now that the rotation is looking healthier and healthier.

Magic vs. Heat Prediction: Best Player Props & Picks Today

There are plenty of Magic vs. Heat player props to choose from for Tuesday. Let’s dive into the Magic vs. Heat predictions!

Paolo Banchero Props Today

Banchero has played in two games since his lengthy injury spell, playing 20 minutes and then 24 minutes in his most recent outing. That should set him up for a bit more run in this all-important NBA Cup elimination game at home.

The talented forward is putting up 23.4 points, 9.1 rebounds and 4.4 assists per 36 minutes in 14 games so far (Basketball Reference). Last year he averaged 27.1 points, 7.9 rebounds and 5.0 assists per 36 minutes in 46 regular season games.

Tyler Herro Props Today

You could more or less highlight Herro, Adebayo and Powell in this section. While it’s amazing for Miami to have all three healthy and playing together finally, it makes things more complicated for fantasy.

Nonetheless, Herro has enjoyed a very nice start to his 2025/26 campaign after missing a huge chunk of the season. He’s averaging 27.3 points, 5.3 rebounds and 2.5 assists per 36 minutes across his first five appearances.

Our top play overall: Desmond Bane > 22.5 Points

Check back later for our finalized picks and analysis.

Good luck!

The post Magic vs. Heat Predictions Today: Props, Odds & Picks (Dec. 9) appeared first on Props.

Suns vs. Nuggets Predictions Today: Props, Odds & Picks (Nov. 29)

Scott Krones — Sat, 29 Nov 2025 14:04:00 +0000

Welcome to our Suns vs. Nuggets predictions today and NBA free expert picks for Saturday, November 29th! Our basketball analysts bring you the best Suns vs. Nuggets and betting angles to consider.

Let’s examine Saturday’s matchup closer.

Editor’s Note: Check out our NBA hub for all of our free predictions!

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Suns vs. Nuggets Props & Prediction Today – Saturday, Nov. 29

This should be one of the most entertaining battles on Saturday’s board. Both teams are playing strong basketball early on this season, but it’s Denver that is slightly favored in the odds tonight.

Here are the most popular players on Underdog NBA for this matchup:

It’s not surprising to see Nikola Jokic and Devin Booker getting most of the attention on the top sportsbooks and DFS pick’em sites. Jokic’s points projection is at 30.5, while Booker’s is at 25.5.

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Suns vs. Nuggets Odds

Looking for Suns vs. Nuggets odds and betting lines?

Spread: Nuggets -3.5
Moneyline: Nuggets -162
Game Total (O/U): 231.5

Start Time For Suns vs. Nuggets

When: Saturday, November 29th, 2025
Time: 9:00 P.M. EST
Where: Mortgage Matchup Center – Phoenix, AZ
Watch: League Pass

Check out more of our NBA player props content for the 2025 season. As always, it’s 100% FREE:

Best Player Props Today
First Basket Predictions
NBA Betting Hub (Game Predictions & More)
NBA DFS Injury Report
Key Stats To Know: NBA Betting
Daily Promo Roundup

Phoenix Suns Props & Predictions Today

Even Devin Booker himself has to be a little surprised at how well the Suns have been playing early. They’re 12-8 on the year and have gone 8-3 at home, a start that has exceeded many’s expectations following the departure of Kevin Durant.

Dillon Brooks has been great in Phoenix thus far, bringing a big-time spark on both ends of the court and the rest of the supporting cast has stepped up across the board. Jalen Green has barely played, to boot.

Denver Nuggets Props & Prediction Today

The Nuggets are 13-5 with a 7-2 road record coming into Saturday night. Jokic has been as incredible as ever, and Jamal Murray has stayed healthy and played strong basketball as well.

On the injury front, Denver will be without both Aaron Gordon and Christian Braun. The projected starting five is Booker-Allen-Brooks-O’Neale-Williams, though Allen is questionable at time of writing.

Suns vs. Nuggets Prediction: Best Player Props & Picks Today

There are plenty of Suns vs. Nuggets player props to choose from for Monday. Let’s dive into the Suns vs. Nuggets predictions!

Devin Booker Props Today

Though he hasn’t needed to take over offensively as much as people expected, Booker has still been playing well in 2025/26, averaging 25.8 points, 6.9 assists and 4.5 rebounds per 36 minutes through 20 games (Basketball Reference).

Booker is one of the best pure scorers and has assumed a lot more ball-handling responsibilities in recent seasons. He offers a lot of upside whenever he steps on the court and is one of the better options for ladders (alternate projection picks) in the NBA.

Nikola Jokic Props Today

Jokic is in the midst of one of the most dominant individual seasons in history. In 18 appearances, he’s averaged 30.0 points, 13.0 rebounds and 11.4 assists per 36 minutes. Joker is shooting an absurd 62.8% from the field overall, 44.0% from three and 84.7% from the line.

This sets up as another smash spot against a very beatable Suns frontcourt. He should have his way offensively in what should be a competitive game.

Our top play overall: Nikola Jokic > 53.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists

Good luck!

The post Suns vs. Nuggets Predictions Today: Props, Odds & Picks (Nov. 29) appeared first on Props.

Suns vs. Rockets Predictions Today: Props, Odds & Picks (Nov. 24th)

Scott Krones — Mon, 24 Nov 2025 13:02:00 +0000

Welcome to our Suns vs. Rockets predictions today and NBA free expert picks for Monday, November 24th! Our basketball analysts bring you our favorite Suns vs. Rockets and betting angles to consider.

Let’s examine Monday’s matchup closer.

Editor’s Note: Check out our NBA hub for all of our free predictions!

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Suns vs. Rockets Props & Prediction Today – Monday, Nov. 24

Kevin Durant will miss tonight’s game against his old team to tend to a family matter.

Here are the most popular players on Underdog NBA for this one:

Devin Booker is getting a ton of attention, as is Dillon Brooks, who’s been playing great basketball in his first year with the Suns. Will he show up with another strong DFS and betting performance against his old teammates this evening?

On the Rockets side, it’s all Alperen Sengun. He’s been excellent to start 2025/26 and should continue to dominate in this fantasy-friendly matchup.

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Suns vs. Rockets Odds

Looking for Suns vs. Rockets odds and betting lines?

Spread: Rockets -6.5
Moneyline: Rockets -238
Game Total (O/U): 224.5

Start Time For Suns vs. Rockets

When: Monday, November 24th, 2025
Time: 9:30 P.M. EST
Where: Mortgage Matchup Center – Phoenix, AZ
Watch: Peacock

Check out more of our NBA player props content for the 2025 season. As always, it’s 100% FREE:

Best Player Props Today
First Basket Predictions
NBA Betting Hub (Game Predictions & More)
NBA DFS Injury Report
Key Stats To Know: NBA Betting
Daily Promo Roundup

Phoenix Suns Props & Predictions Today

Despite being at home against a KD-less Houston, Phoenix is an underdog in the NBA odds.

The Suns have enjoyed a better start to their season than many expected, particularly since Jalen Green hasn’t really played. Booker has been great, as usual, but it’s been the play of Brooks and the rest of the supporting cast that’s been most pleasantly surprising.

Houston Rockets Props & Prediction Today

The Rockets still being favored is a testament to how strong they’ve been looking so far. We shouldn’t forget about that long-term injury to Fred VanVleet, either.

Along with KD, Sengun and Amen Thompson have been playing top-tier basketball. That duo should assume a lot of usage, and we also have interest in Reed Sheppard, who has been tremendous off the bench.

Suns vs. Rockets Prediction: Best Player Props & Picks Today

There are plenty of Suns vs. Rockets player props to choose from for Monday. Let’s dive into the Suns vs. Rockets predictions!

Devin Booker Props Today

Booker is averaging 27.3 points, 7.2 assists and 4.2 rebounds per 36 minutes in 17 games (Basketball Reference).

The numbers have actually been down in recent outings, but we’re not too worried. As long as he’s healthy and on the court, Booker is going to play heavy minutes and be the lead man offensively.

Alperen Sengun Props Today

Sengun is a fantasy basketball monster. He gets it done across the box score and is in great form heading into Monday’s game.

Through 14 appearances, the versatile big is putting up 22.2 points, 9.8 rebounds and 7.1 assists per 36 minutes. Perhaps most encouragingly, Sengun is averaging a career-high 36.9 minutes to begin 2025/26, a noticeable jump from last year’s number (31.5 minutes).

TOP PICKS

Alperen Sengun > 41.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists
Alperen Sengun > 50.85 Fantasy Points

The post Suns vs. Rockets Predictions Today: Props, Odds & Picks (Nov. 24th) appeared first on Props.