{"id":20125,"date":"2022-03-25T15:21:24","date_gmt":"2022-03-25T22:21:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/props.com\/?p=20125"},"modified":"2025-04-16T01:38:42","modified_gmt":"2025-04-16T08:38:42","slug":"ncaa-tournament-sweet-16-props-midwest-region","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/props.com\/ncaa-tournament-sweet-16-props-midwest-region\/","title":{"rendered":"NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 Props: Midwest Region"},"content":{"rendered":"

When it comes to NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 props in the Midwest Region, everything is coming up Kansas.<\/p>\n

The bracket has broken the Jayhawks\u2019 way. First, the region’s No. 1 seed faces a shaky No. 4 seed in Providence. Should the Jayhawks take care of business against the Friars, they would meet the winner of No. 10 Miami (Fla.) and No. 11 Iowa State, both of which pulled off upsets to reach the Sweet 16.<\/p>\n

Props.com breaks down four NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 props for Friday\u2019s Midwest Region games.<\/p>\n

Odds from FanDuel<\/a> and updated as of 1 p.m. ET on March 24.<\/em><\/p>\n

NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 props: Providence Vs Kansas<\/h2>\n

Time:<\/strong> 7:29 p.m. ET
\nChannel:<\/strong> TBS
\nSpread\/Total:\u00a0<\/strong>Kansas -7.5\/141.5<\/p>\n

Kansas: Winning Margin<\/h3>\n
\"Kansas
Image Credit: Chris Jones-USA TODAY Sports<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

The prop:<\/strong> Kansas -10.5<\/a> (alternate spread)
\nThe odds:<\/strong> +148<\/p>\n

Do you remember the first round of the NCAA Tournament? South Dakota State was a popular upset pick, dropping to as little as a 2-point underdog despite being a No. 13 seed against No. 4 Providence.<\/p>\n

The Friars were overrated, analytics experts said. They ranked 49th out of the 68 teams in the field, according to popular analytics site KenPom.com<\/a>. So what did Providence do? It easily took care of business against South Dakota State, rolling 66-57. Then 48 hours later, the Friars crushed Richmond 79-51 laying just 3.5 points, as the 12th-seeded Spiders were a popular second-round upset pick.<\/p>\n

Here\u2019s what the betting community missed: Providence is<\/em> overrated. The Friars were just fortunate to draw two opening-weekend opponents that were ranked far lower by KenPom (South Dakota State at 81, Richmond at 86). So covering short numbers against inferior teams shouldn\u2019t have been a surprise.<\/p>\n

Kansas is another obstacle entirely. The Jayhawks (ranked sixth by KenPom before the NCAA Tournament started) are much better than Providence. They tied for the regular season title and won the tournament championship in the nation’s best conference this season (Big 12). More importantly, Kansas has advantages in almost every area, and that should show up Friday.<\/p>\n

This is the spot where Providence\u2019s deficiencies will pay off. Kansas is favored by 7.5 points, and it won\u2019t take much to post a double-digit win. Take the nice +148 price on the Jayhawks to win by 11 or more.<\/p>\n

Kansas Jayhawks: G Remy Martin<\/h3>\n
\"Kansas
Image Credit: Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

The prop:<\/strong> 10.5 points<\/a>
\nThe odds:<\/strong> Over -120\/Under -106<\/p>\n

Don\u2019t look at the season-long numbers when evaluating Kansas guard Remy Martin. The graduate transfer and former all-Pac-12 performer from Arizona State had limited playing time for much of the season while battling injuries.<\/p>\n

But Martin seems to be healthy at just the right time for the Jayhawks. His playing time has ramped up over the past four games, including scoring 20 points in 29 minutes in a second-round victory over Creighton. He scored 10, 12 and 15 points in the previous three games, gradually becoming a larger part of the Kansas offense each time out.<\/p>\n

Martin\u2019s prop total of 10.5 does not fully reflect his resurgence. Take the Over.<\/p>\n

NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 props: Iowa State Vs Miami<\/h2>\n

Time:<\/strong> 9:59 p.m. ET
\nChannel:<\/strong> TBS
\nSpread\/Total:\u00a0<\/strong>Miami -2.5\/133<\/p>\n

\"Iowa
Image Credit: Reese Strickland-USA TODAY Sports<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Iowa State Cyclones: F Aljaz Kunc<\/h3>\n

The prop:<\/strong> 5.5 rebounds<\/a>
\nThe odds:<\/strong> Over -113\/Under -115<\/p>\n

Miami is one of the worst rebounding teams in the country, ranking 319th<\/sup> in rebound margin coming into the NCAA Tournament.<\/p>\n

The Hurricanes have been outrebounded in all nine games they have played against NCAA Tournament teams this season \u2014 and by a bunch (average differential of 9.89 boards per game). That includes both Tournament victories over Auburn (47-39 rebounding edge to the Tigers) and USC (38-26).<\/p>\n

Iowa State isn\u2019t dominant on the glass, ranking 235th<\/sup> nationally in rebound margin. Still, this matchup should favor the Cyclones on the boards \u2014 which brings us to Aljaz Kunc.<\/p>\n

Iowa State’s 6-foot-8 forward ranked second on the team in rebounds in the regular season (3.8 per game). However, he’s become a bigger presence on the boards recently, with six-plus rebounds in five of his past six games. And the lone exception was against LSU, when Kunc had four rebounds.<\/p>\n

With a favorable matchup against a weak-rebounding opponent, Kunc should have little trouble going Over this prop number Friday.<\/p>\n

Miami Hurricanes: G Charlie Moore<\/h3>\n
\"Miami
Image Credit: Samuel Lewis\/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

The prop:<\/strong> 1.5 3-pointers<\/a>
\nThe odds:<\/strong> Over -110\/Under -115<\/p>\n

Iowa State pulled out two low-scoring upsets of No. 6 seed LSU and No. 3 seed Wisconsin in the first two rounds of the NCAA Tournament. The Cyclones are a great defensive team, and that extends to the 3-point line, as they rank ninth nationally in 3-point percentage defense.<\/p>\n

Miami guard Charlie Moore has made more than one 3-pointer in only two of his past seven games (though he did go 2-for-3 from distance in Sunday’s upset win over No. 2 seed Auburn). Now he\u2019s going up against a team that defends the 3 well in what should be a grinding game with limited possessions. (To that point: Iowa State-Miami has the lowest Over\/Under<\/a> of any Sweet 16 game.)<\/p>\n

Betting against 3-pointers isn\u2019t fun, and it only takes two quick shots to derail this wager. But let\u2019s bank on Moore \u2014 who averages 1.7 made triples on 4.4 attempts this season \u2014 to sink one or none from behind the arc Friday.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

When it comes to NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 props in the Midwest Region, everything is coming up Kansas. The bracket has broken the Jayhawks\u2019 way. First, the region’s No. 1 seed faces a shaky No. 4 seed in Providence. Should the Jayhawks take care of business against the Friars, they would meet the winner of…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":35,"featured_media":18732,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5,7],"tags":[124],"league":[125],"class_list":["post-20125","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","category-sports-betting-posts","tag-ncaab","league-ncaab"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nNCAA Tournament Sweet 16 Props: Midwest Region - Props<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Jim Barnes targets a quartet of NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 props for the Midwest Region. 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