{"id":206609,"date":"2025-03-03T00:00:53","date_gmt":"2025-03-03T08:00:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/props.com\/?p=206609"},"modified":"2025-03-04T08:36:38","modified_gmt":"2025-03-04T16:36:38","slug":"college-basketball-middling-guide-strategy-and-tips","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/props.com\/college-basketball-middling-guide-strategy-and-tips\/","title":{"rendered":"College Basketball Middling Guide &#8211; Strategy &#038; Tips"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>College basketball middling can be an elite strategy if implemented correctly.<\/p>\n<p>We asked our analyst, Justin Bales, to break down all you need to know about using this strategy in college basketball betting.<\/p>\n<p>Make sure to check out the different examples, tips, and strategy that will help you boost your bankroll.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">    <div class=\"au_outer_wrap column_count_3 has_title au_format_mobile_table au_table_state_GA a_unit au_template-2 mobile_table au_template-2c au_type_sportsbook,fantasy\">\n        <div class=\"au_table_wrap\">\n                            <h2 class=\"au_table_title\">Top DFS Pick&#039;Em Sites in All States<\/h2>\n                        <div class=\"au_table\">\n                    <div class=\"two_c_row\">\n        <div class=\"au_row au_table_row_1 offer_id-1\" style=\"position:relative;\">\n            <a\n                href=\"\/go\/underdog-fantasy?src=wp-json%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fposts%2F206609\"\n                target=\"_blank\"\n                rel=\"noopener nofollow\"\n                aria-label=\"Underdog\"\n                                    class=\"card-cover-link offer_id-1 au_table_row_1\"\n                                data-offer-id=\"1\"\n                style=\"position:absolute; 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See sleeper.com\/match for details. 18+ (19 in AL &amp; NE; 21 in MA &amp; VA). First-time depositors only. $25 minimum. 100% match up to $100. Play Responsibly. Call\/text 1-800-426-2537 for help.                <\/span>\n                <button type=\"button\" class=\"read-more\"> See more\u2026<\/button>\n            <\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n    <\/span><\/p>\n<h2>College Basketball Middling Example<\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">College basketball is one of the most volatile sports in the world. It\u2019s one of the reasons we\u2019ve seen two 16-seeds upside the top overall team in the country in recent years in March Madness.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Essentially, college basketball is a game of runs. There are plenty of times when teams go back and forth, but the majority of competitive games feature big runs by each team. Live betting on this sport isn\u2019t for the faint of heart.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Kansas Jayhawks played the North Carolina Tar Heels on Nov. 9, 2024. Kansas was a 7.5-point favorite when the game started. With 1:43 remaining in the first half, the Jayhawks boasted a 20-point lead. The game ended 92-89 with Kansas taking the win.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">At one point, Kansas was projected to have a 90% chance to cover the spread. UNC ultimately covered with ease. They also projected that at varying times during the game, Kansas had a 99% chance to win and North Carolina had an 80% chance to win.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This shows the volatility of college basketball with the Tar Heels being down 20 points late in the first half but up 2 points with only 2:03 left in the game. These types of games create elite middling opportunities.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><b>Guaranteed Profit Middling Opportunity<\/b><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This isn\u2019t some crazy get-rich-quick trick. You can guarantee profit by middling plus-odd bets throughout the game. These are generally done through moneyline bets rather than spreads or totals. This type of betting limits your risk, but it also limits your upside.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The simplest way to guarantee profit is by betting both sides at plus odds. Here\u2019s an example:<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Kentucky is playing UCLA with the latter being a pre-game +150 underdog. You bet 1 unit on UCLA to return 2.5 units (profit 1.5). The Bruins get out to a massive lead early in the game, and Kentucky shoots to a +150 underdog themselves.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">At this point, you can bet 1 unit on the Wildcats to guarantee profit. Once again, it\u2019d be 1 unit to return 2.5 units (profit 1.5). Overall, you\u2019d bet 2 units to return 2.5 units. Regardless of who wins, you\u2019ve now guaranteed to profit 0.5 units on this game.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">You don\u2019t strictly have to bet on pre-game underdogs to guarantee profit during the game, though. Here\u2019s another example:<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Tennessee is a -125 favorite over Duke. Before the game, you bet 1.25 units on Tennessee to return 2.25 units (profit 1 unit). The Volunteers take an early lead, and the Blue Devils shift to +250 underdogs.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">You can now bet 1 unit on Duke to return 3.5 units (profit 2.5). In this situation, you\u2019d break even if Tennessee wins and profit 1.25 units if Duke wins.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It\u2019s important to understand that this type of betting isn\u2019t quite as simple as betting an underdog and profit. If you bet on an underdog and they can\u2019t get out to a solid lead at any point in the game, you\u2019re never going to have the middling opportunity.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Still, if you have a great feel for games, you can guarantee profit when teams go on runs throughout the game.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><b>High-Risk, High-Reward Middling Opportunity<\/b><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">You can use spreads and game totals to get more upside on your middling opportunity, although it comes with more risk.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">For example, you bet Purdue as a 6.5-point favorite (-110) before the game begins. They get out to an early lead against Florida State, and the Seminoles balloon to a +14.5 point underdog (-110). You can now bet on Florida State to limit losses and add upside to your bet.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Here\u2019s how it would look:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">1.1 units to return 2.1 units (profit 1) on Purdue -6.5<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">1.1 units to return 2.1 units (profit 1) on Florida State +14.5<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">If Purdue wins by 6 or fewer or Florida State loses by 15 or more, you\u2019ll lose 0.2 units. If the game ends with Purdue winning by 6 or less or Florida State winning by 14 or less, you\u2019ll win 4.2 units (profit 2) because you hit the middle.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This is the same process for the game total. If you bet the under pre-game, you\u2019ll have to bet the live over during the game to find a middling opportunity. If you bet the over pre-game, you\u2019ll bet the live under to create a middling opportunity.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">College basketball is one of the most volatile sports for several reasons. This volatility creates opportunities, though, as long as you\u2019re willing to be available to live bet the games. <\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>College basketball middling can be an elite strategy if implemented correctly. We asked our analyst, Justin Bales, to break down all you need to know about using this strategy in college basketball betting. Make sure to check out the different examples, tips, and strategy that will help you boost your bankroll. College Basketball Middling Example&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":47,"featured_media":206611,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":true,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[124],"league":[125],"class_list":["post-206609","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-ncaab","league-ncaab"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.6 (Yoast SEO v26.6) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>College Basketball Middling Guide - Strategy &amp; Tips<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"College basketball middling can be an elite strategy if implemented correctly. 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