{"id":226232,"date":"2025-12-14T06:11:00","date_gmt":"2025-12-14T11:11:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/props.com\/?p=226232"},"modified":"2025-12-19T01:51:23","modified_gmt":"2025-12-19T06:51:23","slug":"nfl-passing-props","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/props.com\/nfl-passing-props\/","title":{"rendered":"NFL Passing Props \u2014 Our Expert Picks and Predictions"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>NFL passing props let you <strong>bet on individual quarterback performance instead of just team results<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Whether you\u2019re looking at how many yards a quarterback will throw, how many completions they\u2019ll rack up, or how many touchdowns they\u2019ll toss, passing props offer a wide range of betting options.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>From season-long wagers to live in-game bets, these markets add another layer of excitement to every throw.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This guide breaks down everything you need to know about NFL passing props. Learn how they work, when to bet, where to find the best lines, and our expert picks and predictions for the best NFL passing props available today.<\/p>\n\n\n    <div class=\"au_outer_wrap column_count_3 has_title au_format_mobile_table au_table_state_GA a_unit au_template-2 mobile_table au_template-2c au_type_sportsbook,fantasy\">\n        <div class=\"au_table_wrap\">\n                            <h2 class=\"au_table_title\">Best DFS Apps in All States<\/h2>\n                        <div class=\"au_table\">\n                    <div class=\"two_c_row\">\n        <div class=\"au_row au_table_row_1 offer_id-1\" style=\"position:relative;\">\n            <a\n                href=\"\/go\/underdog-fantasy?src=wp-json%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fposts%2F226232\"\n                target=\"_blank\"\n                rel=\"noopener nofollow\"\n                aria-label=\"Underdog\"\n                                    class=\"card-cover-link offer_id-1 au_table_row_1\"\n                                data-offer-id=\"1\"\n                style=\"position:absolute; inset:0; z-index:1; display:block; text-decoration:none; color:inherit;\"><\/a>\n\n            <div class=\"au_col au_col_logo \">\n                                <img decoding=\"async\"\n                     width=\"100\" height=\"100\"\n                     src=\"https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Underdog-Fantasy-Icon-150x150-1.webp\"\n                     class=\"attachment-amaff-small size-amaff-small\"\n                     alt=\"Underdog\"\n                     srcset=\"https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Underdog-Fantasy-Icon-150x150-1.webp 150w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Underdog-Fantasy-Icon-150x150-1-90x90.webp 90w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Underdog-Fantasy-Icon-150x150-1-180x180.webp 180w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Underdog-Fantasy-Icon-150x150-1-330x330.webp 330w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Underdog-Fantasy-Icon-150x150-1-660x660.webp 660w\"\n                     sizes=\"(max-width: 100px) 100vw, 100px\" \/>\n            <\/div>\n\n            <div class=\"au_col au_col_title-bonus\">\n                <div class=\"au_subfield au_col_title\">\n                                            <a href=\"https:\/\/props.com\/review\/underdog-fantasy\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Underdog<\/a>\n                                    <\/div>\n                <div class=\"au_subfield au_col_bonus\">\n                    <div class=\"au_bonus\">\n                        <span class=\"tablet-landscape-up-only\">\n                            <div class=\"au_bonus_line au_bonus_line_1 a-class\">\n                                Play $5, Get $75 in Bonus Entries                            <\/div>\n                            <div class=\"au_bonus_line au_bonus_line_2 a-class\">\n                                Enter Promo Code: PROPS                            <\/div>\n                        <\/span>\n                        <span class=\"up-to-tablet-landscape-only\">\n                            <div class=\"au_bonus_line au_bonus_line_1 a-class\">\n                                Play $5, Get $75 in Bonus Entries                            <\/div>\n                            <div class=\"au_bonus_line au_bonus_line_2 a-class\">\n                                Enter Promo Code: PROPS                            <\/div>\n                        <\/span>\n                    <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n            <\/div>\n            <div class=\"au_col au_col_bonus_code-button\" style=\"position:relative; z-index:2;\">\n                                    <div class=\"au_subfield au_col_bonus_code\" data-url=\"\/go\/underdog-fantasy?src=wp-json%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fposts%2F226232\">\n                        <div class=\"text-container\">\n                            <a href=\"\/go\/underdog-fantasy?src=wp-json%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fposts%2F226232\"\n                               class=\"btn--white btn--copy btn btn--regular\"\n                               target=\"_blank\"\n                               rel=\"noopener nofollow\"\n                                                              data-copy-to-clipboard=\"PROPS\">\n                                <span class=\"btn__sub-txt\">Copy promo code<\/span>\n                                <span class=\"btn__txt promo-code\">PROPS<\/span>\n                                <span class=\"btn__icon\">\n                                    <svg class=\"svg-hover-effect\" data-name=\"Layer 2\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewBox=\"0 0 20 20\">\n                                        <defs>\n                                            <style>\n                                                .uuid-ceda50c3-3515-4203-b73a-a4289bfa8261,\n                                                .uuid-d98b91a2-dfab-40a6-8733-dfab90312468 { fill: none; 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See sleeper.com\/match for details. 18+ (19 in AL &amp; NE; 21 in MA &amp; VA). First-time depositors only. $25 minimum. 100% match up to $100. Play Responsibly. Call\/text 1-800-426-2537 for help.                <\/span>\n                <button type=\"button\" class=\"read-more\"> See more\u2026<\/button>\n            <\/div>\n            <\/div>\n        <div class=\"two_c_row\">\n        <div class=\"au_row au_table_row_4 offer_id-0\" style=\"position:relative;\">\n            <a\n                href=\"\/go\/boom-fantasy?src=wp-json%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fposts%2F226232\"\n                target=\"_blank\"\n                rel=\"noopener nofollow\"\n                aria-label=\"Boom Fantasy\"\n                                    class=\"card-cover-link offer_id-0 au_table_row_4\"\n                                data-offer-id=\"4\"\n                style=\"position:absolute; inset:0; z-index:1; display:block; text-decoration:none; color:inherit;\"><\/a>\n\n            <div class=\"au_col au_col_logo \">\n                                <img decoding=\"async\"\n                     width=\"100\" height=\"100\"\n                     src=\"https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/boom.webp\"\n                     class=\"attachment-amaff-small size-amaff-small\"\n                     alt=\"Boom Fantasy\"\n                     srcset=\"https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/boom.webp 240w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/boom-150x150.webp 150w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/boom-90x90.webp 90w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/boom-180x180.webp 180w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/boom-330x330.webp 330w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/boom-660x660.webp 660w\"\n                     sizes=\"(max-width: 100px) 100vw, 100px\" \/>\n            <\/div>\n\n            <div class=\"au_col au_col_title-bonus\">\n                <div class=\"au_subfield au_col_title\">\n                                            Boom Fantasy                                    <\/div>\n                <div class=\"au_subfield au_col_bonus\">\n                    <div class=\"au_bonus\">\n                        <span class=\"tablet-landscape-up-only\">\n                            <div class=\"au_bonus_line au_bonus_line_1 a-class\">\n                                Sweat-Free Entry Up To $100                            <\/div>\n                            <div class=\"au_bonus_line au_bonus_line_2 a-class\">\n                                Enter Promo Code: PROPS                            <\/div>\n                        <\/span>\n                        <span class=\"up-to-tablet-landscape-only\">\n                            <div class=\"au_bonus_line au_bonus_line_1 a-class\">\n                                Sweat-Free Entry Up To $100                            <\/div>\n                            <div class=\"au_bonus_line au_bonus_line_2 a-class\">\n                                Enter Promo Code: PROPS                            <\/div>\n                        <\/span>\n                    <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n            <\/div>\n            <div class=\"au_col au_col_bonus_code-button\" style=\"position:relative; 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262.5 Passing Yards<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>First things first: no weather concerns here. We&#8217;re in a dome, so we can throw out any environmental variables and just focus on the matchup.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Here&#8217;s my favorite nugget on this one \u2013 Dak Prescott is 2nd in the entire NFL with 1,103 passing yards when blitzed this season, according to Fantasy Points data. That&#8217;s an absurd number, and it matters a ton in this spot.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Why? Because Vikings defensive coordinator Brian Flores absolutely loves to bring the pressure. He&#8217;s one of the most aggressive blitz-callers in the league, and that plays right into Dak&#8217;s biggest strength. When teams send extra rushers at him, he&#8217;s carved them up all season long.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>When healthy, this Dallas offense is legitimately a lot to handle. I would only shy away from them in brutal defensive matchups, and this isn&#8217;t one of those spots. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sure, I&#8217;m expecting some disguised coverages and exotic looks from Flores \u2013 that&#8217;s his trademark. But I think Dak will find his guys in some favorable 1-on-1 matchups when the Vikings commit extra bodies to the rush.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>At 262.5 yards? I like this number a lot.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-sam-darnold-gt-229-5-passing-yards\">Sam Darnold &gt; 229.5 Passing Yards<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Here&#8217;s the situation: the Colts have a lot of issues right now. I&#8217;m not even sure if they&#8217;re going to be able to sustain drives offensively, which should give the Seattle offense a few more opportunities in this one. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We&#8217;ll see if the elder statesman Philip Rivers will actually start on Sunday or not. Look, how quickly life comes at you, right? You believe in a small Daniel Jones sample size, you mortgage all your picks for a quarterback, and well&#8230; now the quarterback you mortgaged your future for is injured anyway. The Colts are in a world of hurt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Regardless, back at the ranch house here, the Colts&#8217; run defense is legitimately stout. I&#8217;ll give them that defensively. They&#8217;ve yielded the 6th-fewest amount of rushing yards per game in the NFL.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We know the Seattle game plan typically involves running the ball and hitting some play-action shots downfield. But I think Darnold will be forced to air it out a little more than usual in this matchup, given how solid Indy is against the run.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Here&#8217;s the thing \u2013 this isn&#8217;t even a really high passing yards number at 229.5. Even if the game-script doesn&#8217;t cooperate perfectly, I still have faith in JSN and the receiving weapons to get going in this one, regardless of who&#8217;s playing defensively for Indianapolis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-top-sportsbooks-for-betting-on-nfl-passing-props\">Top sportsbooks for betting on NFL passing props<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The sportsbooks you choose to place your passing prop bets can impact your odds, available passing prop bet types, and bonus value if any are available. Below, we compare top sportsbooks by market depth, pricing, and sign-up offers to help you find the best fit for your NFL passing props.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-draftkings\">DraftKings<\/h3>\n\n\n    <div class=\"gtacb1\">\n        <div class=\"au_outer_wrap column_count_3 no_title au_format_table au_table_state_NJ with_border a_unit au_template-1 au_template-1a\" style=\"position:relative;\">\n            <a\n                href=\"\/go\/draftkings?src=wp-json%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fposts%2F226232\"\n                target=\"_blank\"\n                rel=\"noopener nofollow\"\n                aria-label=\"Draftkings Sportsbook\"\n                                    class=\"card-cover-link\"\n                                style=\"position:absolute; inset:0; z-index:1; display:block; text-decoration:none; color:inherit;\"><\/a>\n\n            <div class=\"au_table_wrap\">\n                <div class=\"au_table\">\n                    <div class=\"au_row au_table_row_1 offer_id-0\">\n\n                        <div class=\"au_col au_col_logo \">\n                                                            <img decoding=\"async\"\n                                    width=\"100\"\n                                    height=\"100\"\n                                    src=\"https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/dklogosbk.png\"\n                                    class=\"attachment-amaff-small size-amaff-small\"\n                                    alt=\"Draftkings Sportsbook\"\n                                    srcset=\"https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/dklogosbk.png 200w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/dklogosbk-150x150.png 150w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/dklogosbk-90x90.png 90w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/dklogosbk-180x180.png 180w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/dklogosbk-330x330.png 330w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/dklogosbk-660x660.png 660w\"\n                                    sizes=\"(max-width: 100px) 100vw, 100px\"\n                                \/>\n                                                    <\/div>\n\n                        <div class=\"au_col au_col_title-bonus\">\n                            <div class=\"au_subfield au_col_title\">\n                                Draftkings Sportsbook                            <\/div>\n\n                            <div class=\"au_subfield au_col_bonus\">\n                                <div class=\"au_bonus\">\n                                    <span class=\"tablet-landscape-up-only\">\n                                        <div class=\"au_bonus_line au_bonus_line_1 a-class\">\n                                            Bet $5+, Get $200 If Your Bet Wins                                        <\/div>\n                                        <div class=\"au_bonus_line au_bonus_line_2 a-class\">\n                                            NO PROMO CODE NEEDED                                        <\/div>\n                                    <\/span>\n                                    <span class=\"up-to-tablet-landscape-only\">\n                                        <div class=\"au_bonus_line au_bonus_line_1 a-class\">\n                                            Bet $5+, Get $200 If Your Bet Wins                                        <\/div>\n                                        <div class=\"au_bonus_line au_bonus_line_2 a-class\">\n                                            NO PROMO CODE NEEDED                                        <\/div>\n                                    <\/span>\n                                <\/div>\n                            <\/div>\n                        <\/div>\n                        <div class=\"au_col au_col_bonus_code-button\" style=\"position:relative; z-index:2;\">\n\n                            \n                            <div class=\"au_subfield au_col_button\">\n                                <a\n                                    href=\"\/go\/draftkings?src=wp-json%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fposts%2F226232\"\n                                    target=\"_blank\"\n                                    rel=\"noopener nofollow\"\n                                    class=\"button au_button play_now small\">\n                                    <span class=\"up-to-tablet-landscape-only\">CLAIM OFFER<\/span>\n                                    <span class=\"tablet-landscape-up-only\">CLAIM OFFER<\/span>\n                                <\/a>\n                            <\/div>\n                        <\/div>\n\n                    <\/div>\n\n                                            <div class=\"cau_disclaimer_text\" style=\"position:relative; z-index:2;\">\n                            <span class=\"clamped-text\">\n                                GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER, (800) 327-5050 or visit gamblinghelplinema.org (MA). Call 877-8-HOPENY\/text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Please Gamble Responsibly. 888-789-7777\/visit ccpg.org (CT), or visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD). 21+ and present in most states. (18+ DC\/KY\/NH\/WY). Void in ONT\/OR\/NH. Eligibility restrictions apply. On behalf of Boot Hill Casino &amp; Resort (KS). Pass-thru of per wager tax may apply in IL. 1 per new DraftKings customer. Must register new DraftKings account to receive reward Token. Must select Token BEFORE placing min. $5 bet to get 1 promo code to redeem 3-month NBA League Pass subscription, complimentary of DraftKings, and get max. $300 in Bonus Bets if your bet wins. Min. -500 odds req. Token and Bonus Bets are single-use and non-withdrawable. Bonus Bets expire in 7 days (168 hours) and stake removed from payout. Token expires 11\/23\/25. Terms: sportsbook.draftkings.com\/promos. NBA League Pass: Subscription auto-renews monthly at then-current price (currently $16.99\/mo); cancel anytime. Terms, restrictions, and eligibility requirements apply. Redeem League Pass by 12\/19\/25 at 11:59 PM ET. Addt&#039;l terms: https:\/\/support.watch.nba.com\/hc\/en-us\/articles\/9165532876183-League-Pass-Terms-of-Use_. Offer ends 11\/16\/25 at 11:59 PM ET. Sponsored by DK.                            <\/span>\n                            <button type=\"button\" class=\"read-more\"> See more\u2026<\/button>\n                        <\/div>\n                    \n                <\/div>\n            <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n    \n\n\n\n<p>DraftKings is a go-to sportsbook for NFL passing props, <strong>offering one of the widest ranges in the market<\/strong>. You\u2019ll find player passing yards, touchdowns, completions, interceptions, and even weekly specials.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The platform is fast, user-friendly, and offers stats-driven insights. DraftKings consistently offers competitive odds and early lines, especially during big NFL weeks. New users can get a generous sign-up bonus, like a first deposit match or bet credit bonus.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-fanduel\">FanDuel<\/h3>\n\n\n    <div class=\"gtacb1\">\n        <div class=\"au_outer_wrap column_count_3 no_title au_format_table au_table_state_NJ with_border a_unit au_template-1 au_template-1a\" style=\"position:relative;\">\n            <a\n                href=\"\/go\/fanduel?src=wp-json%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fposts%2F226232\"\n                target=\"_blank\"\n                rel=\"noopener nofollow\"\n                aria-label=\"Fanduel\"\n                                    class=\"card-cover-link\"\n                                style=\"position:absolute; inset:0; z-index:1; display:block; text-decoration:none; color:inherit;\"><\/a>\n\n            <div class=\"au_table_wrap\">\n                <div class=\"au_table\">\n                    <div class=\"au_row au_table_row_1 offer_id-0\">\n\n                        <div class=\"au_col au_col_logo \">\n                                                            <img decoding=\"async\"\n                                    width=\"100\"\n                                    height=\"100\"\n                                    src=\"https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/fdlogo.jpg\"\n                                    class=\"attachment-amaff-small size-amaff-small\"\n                                    alt=\"Fanduel\"\n                                    srcset=\"https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/fdlogo.jpg 512w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/fdlogo-300x300.jpg 300w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/fdlogo-150x150.jpg 150w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/fdlogo-90x90.jpg 90w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/fdlogo-180x180.jpg 180w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/fdlogo-270x270.jpg 270w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/fdlogo-330x330.jpg 330w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/fdlogo-660x660.jpg 660w\"\n                                    sizes=\"(max-width: 100px) 100vw, 100px\"\n                                \/>\n                                                    <\/div>\n\n                        <div class=\"au_col au_col_title-bonus\">\n                            <div class=\"au_subfield au_col_title\">\n                                Fanduel                            <\/div>\n\n                            <div class=\"au_subfield au_col_bonus\">\n                                <div class=\"au_bonus\">\n                                    <span class=\"tablet-landscape-up-only\">\n                                        <div class=\"au_bonus_line au_bonus_line_1 a-class\">\n                                            Bet $5, Get $250 in Bonus Bets If Your Bet Wins                                        <\/div>\n                                        <div class=\"au_bonus_line au_bonus_line_2 a-class\">\n                                            NO PROMO CODE NEEDED                                        <\/div>\n                                    <\/span>\n                                    <span class=\"up-to-tablet-landscape-only\">\n                                        <div class=\"au_bonus_line au_bonus_line_1 a-class\">\n                                            Bet $5, Get $250 in Bonus Bets If Your Bet Wins                                        <\/div>\n                                        <div class=\"au_bonus_line au_bonus_line_2 a-class\">\n                                            NO PROMO CODE NEEDED                                        <\/div>\n                                    <\/span>\n                                <\/div>\n                            <\/div>\n                        <\/div>\n                        <div class=\"au_col au_col_bonus_code-button\" style=\"position:relative; z-index:2;\">\n\n                            \n                            <div class=\"au_subfield au_col_button\">\n                                <a\n                                    href=\"\/go\/fanduel?src=wp-json%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fposts%2F226232\"\n                                    target=\"_blank\"\n                                    rel=\"noopener nofollow\"\n                                    class=\"button au_button play_now small\">\n                                    <span class=\"up-to-tablet-landscape-only\">CLAIM OFFER<\/span>\n                                    <span class=\"tablet-landscape-up-only\">CLAIM OFFER<\/span>\n                                <\/a>\n                            <\/div>\n                        <\/div>\n\n                    <\/div>\n\n                                            <div class=\"cau_disclaimer_text\" style=\"position:relative; z-index:2;\">\n                            <span class=\"clamped-text\">\n                                New Players Only, Must be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Must be Present in Legal State. Full T&amp;Cs Apply. Please Play Responsibly.                            <\/span>\n                            <button type=\"button\" class=\"read-more\"> See more\u2026<\/button>\n                        <\/div>\n                    \n                <\/div>\n            <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n    \n\n\n\n<p>FanDuel shines for NFL passing props. Its well-organized layout makes it easy to browse passing yards, TD totals, and fun alternate lines. It also offers same-game parlays, combining multiple passing props for bigger payouts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The sportsbook\u2019s odds are strong<\/strong>, often leading the pack on popular quarterback props. There\u2019s usually a sign-up bonus for new players, like a \u201cbet and get\u201d offer or bonus bets on your first wager.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-caesars\">Caesars<\/h3>\n\n\n    <div class=\"gtacb1\">\n        <div class=\"au_outer_wrap column_count_3 no_title au_format_table au_table_state_NJ with_border a_unit au_template-1 au_template-1a\" style=\"position:relative;\">\n            <a\n                href=\"\/go\/caesars-sportsbook?src=wp-json%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fposts%2F226232\"\n                target=\"_blank\"\n                rel=\"noopener nofollow\"\n                aria-label=\"Caesars Sportsbook\"\n                                    class=\"card-cover-link\"\n                                style=\"position:absolute; inset:0; z-index:1; display:block; text-decoration:none; color:inherit;\"><\/a>\n\n            <div class=\"au_table_wrap\">\n                <div class=\"au_table\">\n                    <div class=\"au_row au_table_row_1 offer_id-0\">\n\n                        <div class=\"au_col au_col_logo \">\n                                                            <img decoding=\"async\"\n                                    width=\"100\"\n                                    height=\"100\"\n                                    src=\"https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/Caesars-IconLightBG_.webp\"\n                                    class=\"attachment-amaff-small size-amaff-small\"\n                                    alt=\"Caesars Sportsbook\"\n                                    srcset=\"https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/Caesars-IconLightBG_.webp 566w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/Caesars-IconLightBG_-300x300.webp 300w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/Caesars-IconLightBG_-150x150.webp 150w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/Caesars-IconLightBG_-90x90.webp 90w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/Caesars-IconLightBG_-180x180.webp 180w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/Caesars-IconLightBG_-270x270.webp 270w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/Caesars-IconLightBG_-540x541.webp 540w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/Caesars-IconLightBG_-330x330.webp 330w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/Caesars-IconLightBG_-660x660.webp 660w\"\n                                    sizes=\"(max-width: 100px) 100vw, 100px\"\n                                \/>\n                                                    <\/div>\n\n                        <div class=\"au_col au_col_title-bonus\">\n                            <div class=\"au_subfield au_col_title\">\n                                Caesars Sportsbook                            <\/div>\n\n                            <div class=\"au_subfield au_col_bonus\">\n                                <div class=\"au_bonus\">\n                                    <span class=\"tablet-landscape-up-only\">\n                                        <div class=\"au_bonus_line au_bonus_line_1 a-class\">\n                                            Bet $1, Double Winnings Your Next 20 Bets                                        <\/div>\n                                        <div class=\"au_bonus_line au_bonus_line_2 a-class\">\n                                            Enter Promo Code: PROPSCOM1000                                        <\/div>\n                                    <\/span>\n                                    <span class=\"up-to-tablet-landscape-only\">\n                                        <div class=\"au_bonus_line au_bonus_line_1 a-class\">\n                                            Bet $1, Double Winnings Your Next 20 Bets                                        <\/div>\n                                        <div class=\"au_bonus_line au_bonus_line_2 a-class\">\n                                            Enter Promo Code: PROPSCOM1000                                        <\/div>\n                                    <\/span>\n                                <\/div>\n                            <\/div>\n                        <\/div>\n                        <div class=\"au_col au_col_bonus_code-button\" style=\"position:relative; z-index:2;\">\n\n                                                            <div class=\"au_subfield au_col_bonus_code\" data-url=\"\/go\/caesars-sportsbook?src=wp-json%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fposts%2F226232\">\n                                    <div class=\"text-container\">\n                                        <a\n                                            href=\"\/go\/caesars-sportsbook?src=wp-json%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fposts%2F226232\"\n                                            class=\"btn--white btn--copy btn btn--regular\"\n                                            target=\"_blank\"\n                                            rel=\"noopener nofollow\"\n                                                                                        data-copy-to-clipboard=\"PROPSCOM1000\">\n                                            <span class=\"btn__sub-txt\">Copy promo code<\/span>\n                                            <span class=\"btn__txt promo-code\">PROPSCOM1000<\/span>\n                                            <span class=\"btn__icon\">\n                                                <svg class=\"svg-hover-effect\" data-name=\"Layer 2\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewBox=\"0 0 20 20\">\n                                                    <defs>\n                                                        <style>\n                                                            .uuid-ceda50c3-3515-4203-b73a-a4289bfa8261,\n                                                            .uuid-d98b91a2-dfab-40a6-8733-dfab90312468 { fill: none; 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Call 1-800-GAMBLER (Available in the US) Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY) Call 1-800-327-5050 (MA), 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA). 21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. Terms and conditions apply. Subject to eligibility requirements. Bonus bets are non-withdrawable. This promotional offer is not available in Mississippi, Nevada, Ontario, or Puerto Rico.                            <\/span>\n                            <button type=\"button\" class=\"read-more\"> See more\u2026<\/button>\n                        <\/div>\n                    \n                <\/div>\n            <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n    \n\n\n\n<p>Caesars makes betting on NFL passing props feel pretty smooth. You\u2019ll find player totals, milestone bets, and even custom options for the bigger games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The app\u2019s easy to use and runs without a hitch, plus their support is solid if you ever need it. They roll out <strong>special promos during the season<\/strong>, and new users usually get a welcome bonus, like lossback on your first bet up to a certain amount.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-betmgm\">BetMGM<\/h3>\n\n\n    <div class=\"gtacb1\">\n        <div class=\"au_outer_wrap column_count_3 no_title au_format_table au_table_state_NJ with_border a_unit au_template-1 au_template-1a\" style=\"position:relative;\">\n            <a\n                href=\"\/go\/betmgm?src=wp-json%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fposts%2F226232\"\n                target=\"_blank\"\n                rel=\"noopener nofollow\"\n                aria-label=\"BetMGM\"\n                                    class=\"card-cover-link\"\n                                style=\"position:absolute; inset:0; z-index:1; display:block; text-decoration:none; color:inherit;\"><\/a>\n\n            <div class=\"au_table_wrap\">\n                <div class=\"au_table\">\n                    <div class=\"au_row au_table_row_1 offer_id-0\">\n\n                        <div class=\"au_col au_col_logo \">\n                                                            <img decoding=\"async\"\n                                    width=\"100\"\n                                    height=\"100\"\n                                    src=\"https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/BetMGM-IconLightBG_.webp\"\n                                    class=\"attachment-amaff-small size-amaff-small\"\n                                    alt=\"BetMGM\"\n                                    srcset=\"https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/BetMGM-IconLightBG_.webp 550w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/BetMGM-IconLightBG_-300x300.webp 300w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/BetMGM-IconLightBG_-150x150.webp 150w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/BetMGM-IconLightBG_-90x90.webp 90w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/BetMGM-IconLightBG_-180x180.webp 180w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/BetMGM-IconLightBG_-270x270.webp 270w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/BetMGM-IconLightBG_-540x541.webp 540w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/BetMGM-IconLightBG_-330x330.webp 330w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/BetMGM-IconLightBG_-660x660.webp 660w\"\n                                    sizes=\"(max-width: 100px) 100vw, 100px\"\n                                \/>\n                                                    <\/div>\n\n                        <div class=\"au_col au_col_title-bonus\">\n                            <div class=\"au_subfield au_col_title\">\n                                BetMGM                            <\/div>\n\n                            <div class=\"au_subfield au_col_bonus\">\n                                <div class=\"au_bonus\">\n                                    <span class=\"tablet-landscape-up-only\">\n                                        <div class=\"au_bonus_line au_bonus_line_1 a-class\">\n                                            First Bet Offer for New Customers Only                                        <\/div>\n                                        <div class=\"au_bonus_line au_bonus_line_2 a-class\">\n                                            Up To $1500 Paid Back in Bonus Bets if You Don&#039;t Win                                        <\/div>\n                                    <\/span>\n                                    <span class=\"up-to-tablet-landscape-only\">\n                                        <div class=\"au_bonus_line au_bonus_line_1 a-class\">\n                                            First Bet Offer for New Customers Only                                        <\/div>\n                                        <div class=\"au_bonus_line au_bonus_line_2 a-class\">\n                                            Up To $1500 Paid Back in Bonus Bets if You Don&#039;t Win                                        <\/div>\n                                    <\/span>\n                                <\/div>\n                            <\/div>\n                        <\/div>\n                        <div class=\"au_col au_col_bonus_code-button\" style=\"position:relative; z-index:2;\">\n\n                            \n                            <div class=\"au_subfield au_col_button\">\n                                <a\n                                    href=\"\/go\/betmgm?src=wp-json%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fposts%2F226232\"\n                                    target=\"_blank\"\n                                    rel=\"noopener nofollow\"\n                                    class=\"button au_button play_now small\">\n                                    <span class=\"up-to-tablet-landscape-only\">CLAIM OFFER<\/span>\n                                    <span class=\"tablet-landscape-up-only\">CLAIM OFFER<\/span>\n                                <\/a>\n                            <\/div>\n                        <\/div>\n\n                    <\/div>\n\n                                            <div class=\"cau_disclaimer_text\" style=\"position:relative; z-index:2;\">\n                            <span class=\"clamped-text\">\n                                Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (Available in the US) 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY) 1-800-327-5050 (MA), 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). 21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. See BetMGM.com for Terms. First Bet Offer for new customers only. Subject to eligibility requirements. Bonus bets are non-withdrawable. In partnership with Kansas Crossing Casino and Hotel. This promotional offer is not available in DC, Mississippi, New York, Nevada, Ontario, or Puerto Rico.                             <\/span>\n                            <button type=\"button\" class=\"read-more\"> See more\u2026<\/button>\n                        <\/div>\n                    \n                <\/div>\n            <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n    \n\n\n\n<p>BetMGM delivers a strong lineup of NFL passing props, from total yards to TD passes, and they usually offer live betting options as games unfold. The interface is clean, and the \u201cEdit My Bet\u201d feature adds flexibility if you want to adjust your passing props mid-game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This sportsbook is <strong>known for regular prop specials and odds boosts<\/strong>, especially around primetime NFL games. New users generally get a first-bet offer, giving you bonus bets if your initial wager doesn\u2019t hit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-fanatics\">Fanatics<\/h3>\n\n\n    <div class=\"gtacb1\">\n        <div class=\"au_outer_wrap column_count_3 no_title au_format_table au_table_state_NJ with_border a_unit au_template-1 au_template-1a\" style=\"position:relative;\">\n            <a\n                href=\"\/go\/fanatics-sportsbook?src=wp-json%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fposts%2F226232\"\n                target=\"_blank\"\n                rel=\"noopener nofollow\"\n                aria-label=\"Fanatics Sportsbook\"\n                                    class=\"card-cover-link\"\n                                style=\"position:absolute; inset:0; z-index:1; display:block; text-decoration:none; color:inherit;\"><\/a>\n\n            <div class=\"au_table_wrap\">\n                <div class=\"au_table\">\n                    <div class=\"au_row au_table_row_1 offer_id-0\">\n\n                        <div class=\"au_col au_col_logo \">\n                                                            <img decoding=\"async\"\n                                    width=\"100\"\n                                    height=\"100\"\n                                    src=\"https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/fanatics-sportsbook-logo-square.png\"\n                                    class=\"attachment-amaff-small size-amaff-small\"\n                                    alt=\"Fanatics Sportsbook\"\n                                    srcset=\"https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/fanatics-sportsbook-logo-square.png 225w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/fanatics-sportsbook-logo-square-150x150.png 150w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/fanatics-sportsbook-logo-square-90x90.png 90w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/fanatics-sportsbook-logo-square-180x180.png 180w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/fanatics-sportsbook-logo-square-330x330.png 330w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/fanatics-sportsbook-logo-square-660x660.png 660w\"\n                                    sizes=\"(max-width: 100px) 100vw, 100px\"\n                                \/>\n                                                    <\/div>\n\n                        <div class=\"au_col au_col_title-bonus\">\n                            <div class=\"au_subfield au_col_title\">\n                                Fanatics Sportsbook                            <\/div>\n\n                            <div class=\"au_subfield au_col_bonus\">\n                                <div class=\"au_bonus\">\n                                    <span class=\"tablet-landscape-up-only\">\n                                        <div class=\"au_bonus_line au_bonus_line_1 a-class\">\n                                            Bet $30, Get $300 in Bonus Bets over three days,                                        <\/div>\n                                        <div class=\"au_bonus_line au_bonus_line_2 a-class\">\n                                            or Up to $1,000 in No Sweat Bets                                        <\/div>\n                                    <\/span>\n                                    <span class=\"up-to-tablet-landscape-only\">\n                                        <div class=\"au_bonus_line au_bonus_line_1 a-class\">\n                                            Bet $30, Get $300 in Bonus Bets over three days,                                        <\/div>\n                                        <div class=\"au_bonus_line au_bonus_line_2 a-class\">\n                                            or Up to $1,000 in No Sweat Bets                                        <\/div>\n                                    <\/span>\n                                <\/div>\n                            <\/div>\n                        <\/div>\n                        <div class=\"au_col au_col_bonus_code-button\" style=\"position:relative; z-index:2;\">\n\n                            \n                            <div class=\"au_subfield au_col_button\">\n                                <a\n                                    href=\"\/go\/fanatics-sportsbook?src=wp-json%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fposts%2F226232\"\n                                    target=\"_blank\"\n                                    rel=\"noopener nofollow\"\n                                    class=\"button au_button play_now small\">\n                                    <span class=\"up-to-tablet-landscape-only\">CLAIM OFFER<\/span>\n                                    <span class=\"tablet-landscape-up-only\">CLAIM OFFER<\/span>\n                                <\/a>\n                            <\/div>\n                        <\/div>\n\n                    <\/div>\n\n                                            <div class=\"cau_disclaimer_text\" style=\"position:relative; z-index:2;\">\n                            <span class=\"clamped-text\">\n                                21+ &amp; In Legal State                            <\/span>\n                            <button type=\"button\" class=\"read-more\"> See more\u2026<\/button>\n                        <\/div>\n                    \n                <\/div>\n            <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n    \n\n\n\n<p>Fanatics is quickly becoming a favorite among bettors, mainly because they\u2019ve got a strong lineup of NFL passing props. You\u2019ll see solid odds on offer for player yards, touchdowns, and other passing number props.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The app ties in with Fanatics merch perks, which adds a fun little extra. New users usually get a welcome bonus, often in the form of bonus bets back on the first wager, so it\u2019s easy to jump in and learn the ropes without risking too much.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-single-game-nfl-passing-props-explained\">Single game NFL passing props explained<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image alignnone wp-image-226270 size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1280\" src=\"https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/mahomes.jpg\" alt=\"Feb 9, 2025; New Orleans, LA, USA; Detailed view of the jersey of Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) against the Philadelphia Eagles in Super Bowl LIX at Ceasars Superdome. \" class=\"wp-image-226270\" srcset=\"https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/mahomes.jpg 1920w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/mahomes-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/mahomes-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/mahomes-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/mahomes-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/mahomes-90x60.jpg 90w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/mahomes-180x120.jpg 180w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/mahomes-270x180.jpg 270w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/mahomes-540x360.jpg 540w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Image Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Single-game NFL passing prop bets let you wager on a quarterback\u2019s performance in a specific game. Instead of waiting all season, these bets resolve quickly (often in just a few hours), adding immediate excitement.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Here are some popular bet types, plus some riskier options.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-total-passing-yards-over-under-per-game\">Total passing yards over\/under per game<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>This one\u2019s easy to explain because you\u2019re just guessing if the quarterback will throw for more yards than the line the book puts up, or not.<\/strong> They set it by looking at how he\u2019s been playing, who he\u2019s up against, and even the weather if it\u2019s going to be nasty. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This is a fun bet because it keeps you interested, tracking it for the entire duration of the game. Every time the guy drops back and completes one you\u2019re kind of doing the math in your head, seeing if he\u2019s on pace or falling short.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>When trying to figure out if theres&#8217; value in this bet, think about whether the other team\u2019s pass defense any good, has the quarterback looked sharp or sloppy the last couple weeks, and is this the kind of team that likes to throw the ball or pound the run? <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bad weather can have an affect too. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Most people just back quarterbacks facing weak defenses and check the forecast, nothing fancy.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Example: <\/strong><em>Joe Burrow\u2019s yardage prop is set at 275 yards against the Browns. You bet the over, and he finishes with 290 yards. Your bet wins.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-passing-touchdowns-over-under-per-game\">Passing touchdowns over\/under per game<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Instead of yards, here you\u2019re betting on how many touchdown passes the QB throws. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Books give you a number, maybe just one or two, and you\u2019ve got to guess if he goes over or under this number. <\/strong>It\u2019s set by looking at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.teamrankings.com\/nfl\/stat\/red-zone-scoring-pct\">how good the team is in the red zone<\/a>, how strong the defense is, and how many chances they think the offense will get.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>People like this one because it\u2019s all about the fun stuff, the touchdowns. You\u2019re not counting short throws or grinding drives, you\u2019re waiting for that scoring strike. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If the quarterback has his best receivers on the field and the defense isn\u2019t great near the goal line, he\u2019s more likely to throw for a couple of touchdowns. If his main guys are hurt or the defense is tough, then probably not.. Pretty simple.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Example: <\/strong><em>Jalen Hurts\u2019 touchdown total is set at 1.5 against the Giants. You bet over, and Hurts throws two touchdowns. You win the bet.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-passing-completions-over-under-per-game\">Passing completions over\/under per game<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>With this prop you bet on whether the QB completes more or fewer passes than the line set by the sportsbook.<\/strong> Doesn\u2019t matter how many yards they go for, just how many land in a teammate\u2019s hands.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Books set it by looking at how accurate the quarterback usually is, how tough the defense is on receivers, and the kind of game they expect. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A guy who throws a lot of short, easy passes can rack up completions quickly, even if he\u2019s not throwing deep. If you\u2019re picking, it\u2019s usually best to back the accurate guys against soft defenses, or games where both teams will throw a lot.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Example: <\/strong><em>Kirk Cousins\u2019 completions total is set at 24.5 against the Bears. You bet under, and Cousins finishes with only 22 completions, resulting in a winning bet.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-passing-attempts-over-under-per-game\">Passing attempts over\/under per game<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>This one\u2019s even simpler than the previous et types! It&#8217;s simply how many times the QB actually throws the ball. Doesn\u2019t matter if it\u2019s caught or not. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If the team falls behind, you almost always see the attempts go up, because they\u2019ve got to throw to catch up. If they\u2019re ahead, they\u2019ll hand it off more and the attempts go down.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The number is really about game flow and coaching style. Some coaches just like to pass no matter what, others lean on the run. So if you think a team will be trailing or you know the coach likes to air it out, the over makes sense. If you think they\u2019ll be in control and running the clock, it\u2019s the under.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Example: <\/strong><em>Lamar Jackson\u2019s total attempts are set at 29.5 against the Steelers. You take the over, and Jackson attempts 33 passes. Your bet wins.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-interception-totals-per-game\">Interception totals per game<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Here you\u2019re betting on whether the QB throws a pick or not.<\/strong> Most of the time the line is just a half, which really means you\u2019re betting on yes or no.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It mostly comes down to the quarterback\u2019s style, wjether he likes to take chances, or does he like to play it safe? <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And of course it depends on the defense. Do they sit back and wait, or do they jump routes and go for turnovers? <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Weather and pressure can have an affect too. Rain, wind, or a tough pass rush can all make interceptions more likely. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If you want to take the over, look at the gunslingers or the guys going up against aggressive defenses. If it\u2019s a careful QB against a soft defense, you should probably lean more toward the under<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Example: <\/strong><em>Brock Purdy\u2019s interception line is set at 0.5 against the Cowboys. You bet under, and Purdy completes the game without an interception. Your bet wins.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-other-less-popular-single-game-passing-props\">Other, less popular, single-game passing props<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Every now and then you\u2019ll see books throw out some weird ones, like \u201c<em>longest completion<\/em>\u201d or even \u201c<em>will the quarterback catch a pass himself.<\/em>\u201d These aren\u2019t the kind of bets you grind on, but they can certainly be fun and earn you bragging rights down the sports bar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>These best usually depend on trick plays or one big shot downfield, which are hard to predict. If you\u2019re going to play them, it\u2019s usually in games where the team likes to get creative or where you expect some chaos. But honestly, most people just dabble in these prop types for the fun of it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Example: <\/strong><em>A prop offers \u201cWill Justin Fields complete a pass longer than 50 yards against the Packers?\u201d You bet no, and his longest pass is only 35 yards. Your bet wins.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-season-long-nfl-passing-props-explained\">Season-long NFL passing props explained<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image alignnone wp-image-226271 size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1325\" src=\"https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/allen.jpg\" alt=\"Jan 19, 2025; Orchard Park, New York, USA; Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen (17) throws a pass in the third quarter of a 2025 AFC divisional round game against the Baltimore Ravens at Highmark Stadium. \" class=\"wp-image-226271\" srcset=\"https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/allen.jpg 1920w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/allen-300x207.jpg 300w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/allen-1024x707.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/allen-768x530.jpg 768w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/allen-1536x1060.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/allen-90x62.jpg 90w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/allen-180x124.jpg 180w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/allen-270x186.jpg 270w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/allen-540x373.jpg 540w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Season-long props are all about following one quarterback\u2019s numbers for the whole year instead of sweating a single Sunday. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Rather than betting on the results of a single game, you\u2019re betting on where his totals end up at the end of an entire season<\/strong>, and could be yards, touchdowns, completions, and even interceptions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>These are a slow burn in a good way! <span style=\"box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;\">They allow you to have a vested interest in every game, and offer season-long excitement as you track your picks&#8217; performance, add your <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pro-football-reference.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">players<\/a>&#8216;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.pro-football-reference.com\/\" target=\"_blank\"> stats<\/a>, and ride the ups and downs all season.<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Let\u2019s take a look at some of the most popular season-long prop bet types, and just in case you&#8217;re feeling frisky, one or two of the less common ones.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-total-season-passing-yards-over-under\">Total season passing yards over\/under<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><span style=\"box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;\">With this bet, <strong>you decide if a Quarterback will finish a season with more (over) or fewer (under) passing yards than the number the book posts for the full season<\/strong>.<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>They set it using last year\u2019s form, which outlines how the offense usually plays, and how tough the schedule appears.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It\u2019s a popular bet because every game moves the needle a little, edging closer and closer toward the total with every game. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>What really matters here is consistency, a pass-friendly scheme, the defenses on the slate, and whether the QB stays healthy. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Example:<\/strong> <em>Patrick Mahomes might be listed around 4,700 yards. If you take the over, you\u2019re basically rooting for steady 280\u2013300 yard games from him most weeks.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Simple tips:<\/strong> Lean toward steady starters in throw-heavy offenses, glance at the schedule for strong secondaries, and keep an eye on any nagging injuries.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-total-season-passing-touchdowns-over-under\">Total season passing touchdowns over\/under<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>This one\u2019s just about how many touchdown passes the quarterback throws over the whole year. The book puts up a number, and you\u2019ve got to guess if he\u2019ll throw more or less than that. They base it on how many he\u2019s thrown in the past, how the team usually plays when they get close to scoring, and whether he\u2019s got his leading receivers healthy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>People enjoy this one because you\u2019re rooting for the big plays! Every time the QB drops one in the end zone, you\u2019re closer to the over if he hands the ball off near the goal line or settles for field goals; that hurts you.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Example: <\/strong>Josh Allen might be set somewhere in the 30s, and if you take the under, you\u2019re hoping a few drives stall or get finished by the running backs instead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It\u2019s really just about how often his team lets him throw for the score and how reliable his targets are.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-total-season-passing-completions-over-under\">Total season passing completions over\/under<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Here you\u2019re counting completions, not yards or touchdowns. It doesn\u2019t matter if it\u2019s a dump-off or a deep shot; it only matters if the ball is caught.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sportsbooks set the line by looking at accuracy, how often the team calls pass plays, and how many close games they\u2019re likely to be in. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Example: <\/strong><em>Justin Herbert usually gets a high number because he throws a lot of short passes. If you take the over, you\u2019re rooting for plenty of those quick, easy completions every week. <\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>What matters most is accuracy, reliable receivers, and whether the team tends to throw often.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-total-season-interceptions-over-under\">Total season interceptions over\/under<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>I suppose you could say that this one\u2019s about the mistakes? You&#8217;re betting on how many interceptions a quarterback throws over the whole season. The sportsbook puts up a number, and you\u2019re guessing over or under.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>They look at what he\u2019s done before, who he\u2019s up against, and whether he likes to take chances or plays it safe. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Example:<\/strong> <em>Dak Prescott might be set around a dozen; if you take the under, you\u2019re hoping for cleaner games and fewer forced throws. If you take the over, you\u2019re betting he presses a bit or runs into a rough patch and coughs up a few. <\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Keep it simple: <\/strong>Does he try to squeeze throws that aren\u2019t really there? Is he getting hit a lot before he lets it go? And are his receivers healthy enough to help him out instead of tipping balls to defenders? That\u2019s basically the whole story when it comes to deciding which side to take with this bet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-other-less-popular-season-long-nfl-passing-props\">Other, less popular, season-long NFL passing props<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Every so often, you\u2019ll see sportsbooks offer less common NFL passing props, like how many rushing yards a quarterback will get, his longest completion of the year, or even something like \u201c<em>will he catch a touchdown<\/em>.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>These are mostly for fun and not the kind of thing you\u2019d lean on week after week. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Example:<\/strong> <em>You might see \u201cWill Lamar Jackson catch a touchdown this season?\u201d If you bet no, you\u2019re saying that trick play never shows up. <\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>These kinds of props usually depend on odd moments or creative play-calling, so most people only play them for entertainment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The quirky nature of these bets makes them highly appealing to casual bettors looking for unique or entertaining bets. However, they\u2019re less popular with experienced bettors who prefer consistency and predictability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-when-are-nfl-passing-prop-bets-released\">When are NFL passing prop bets released?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Sportsbooks release NFL passing props at various times, and when they do, these should be taken into account when deciding your betting strategy.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"icon-list icon-list--arrow\">\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>When lines come out<\/strong> \u2014 Season-long props typically appear before the season begins, while single-game props start emerging a few days before each matchup, often midweek. <strong>Getting in early can sometimes mean better odds before the numbers shift<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>How news changes things<\/strong> \u2014 Lines move around during the week when new info comes out, like injuries, who\u2019s practicing, or even the weather forecast. If you keep up with that stuff, you can spot chances before the odds settle.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Right before kickoff<\/strong> \u2014 Props don\u2019t freeze until the game starts. If there\u2019s a late scratch or a surprise lineup change, the numbers can swing, and quick bettors can take advantage in those last few minutes.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-tips-and-strategies-for-betting-on-nfl-passing-props\">Tips and strategies for betting on NFL passing props<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Enhance your betting success with these practical strategies:<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"icon-list icon-list--arrow\">\n\n\n\n<p>If you want to give yourself a better shot with these bets, a few little habits can make a big difference.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Take a look at how a quarterback has played lately<\/strong>, not just last year. Some guys tear up certain defenses and look ordinary against others.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Don\u2019t just open one sportsbook&#8217;s app and place the bet.<\/strong> Different sportsbooks sometimes post slightly different odds, and those small gaps add up over time.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Pay attention to the news<\/strong>! If a starting wide receiver is scratched late or the weather suddenly looks rough, these factors matter and can have a dramatic effect.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Stick to a budget.<\/strong> It\u2019s easy to go chasing after a couple of bad beats, and that\u2019s when things can get messy.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Watch how the lines move during the week.<\/strong> If numbers shift significantly, it usually means that bigger bettors are leaning in one direction. You don\u2019t have to follow them, but it\u2019s worth knowing.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Watch how the lines move.<\/strong> If the odds suddenly shift, it usually means bigger bettors are piling in on one side. You don\u2019t have to copy them, but knowing where the money\u2019s going can give you a clue about what the overall market, and likely the more skilled bettors than you, currently thinks.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Pay attention to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/injuries\">injury news<\/a>.<\/strong> If a key receiver is ruled out or a quarterback shows up as questionable, the odds can change in a flash. Being quick to react can sometimes land you a much better number before the book adjusts.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-common-mistakes-to-avoid-when-betting-on-nfl-passing-props\">Common mistakes to avoid when betting on NFL passing props<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Successful passing prop betting means avoiding common mistakes just as much as it does finding an edge and maximizing value. But everyone slips up in some way from time to time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>So here are a few common traps you should be able to steer clear of.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-overreacting-to-in-game-injuries-or-isolated-news\">Overreacting to in-game injuries or isolated news<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Not every little knock is the end of the world. A quarterback might hobble off for a play or two and be fine. Jumping on every tiny update can lead you to make a rushed bet that you might end up regretting later.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-ignoring-line-movement-and-betting-trends\">Ignoring line movement and betting trends<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Odds don\u2019t move for no reason. When you see them shift, it usually means big money is coming in on one side. If you\u2019re not paying attention to these movements, you can miss out on crucial information! <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>You may not know WHY the odds moved, but you can at least always see it IS happening, and take it into account.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-misjudging-matchup-impacts-on-player-performance\">Misjudging matchup impacts on player performance<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Quarterbacks don\u2019t play in a bubble. Some defenses are just a bad fit for them, whether it\u2019s the pass rush, the coverage, or even history against that team. Forgetting that can make your read way off.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-live-betting-on-nfl-passing-props\">Live betting on NFL passing props<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Live betting keeps you glued to the game because things can flip, and you can win or lose your bet in seconds.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Big swings usually come after a touchdown, a turnover, or one of those long stoppages where the book has to reset the numbers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It\u2019s a rush because it\u2019s so quick, but that also makes it easy to fire off a bet without really thinking it through.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"icon-list icon-list--arrow\">\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>How to choose which live passing props to bet on<\/strong>: Look for situations where a quarterback is playing better or worse than expected. Exploit rapid odds movements based on short-term game events.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>When to place live bets<\/strong>: Immediately after scoring drives, turnovers, during injury timeouts, or longer game stoppages.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Risks and benefits of live betting<\/strong>: Fast-paced decisions can lead to impulsive bets, but real-time insights offer instant betting opportunities and constantly changing potential value.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-how-to-parlay-nfl-passing-props\">How to parlay NFL passing props<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Same-game parlays allow you to <strong>combine multiple passing prop bets in one NFL game<\/strong>, boosting odds and potential returns. The risks include increased difficulty since all bets must win, but the rewards are higher potential payouts compared to single wagers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Here are some strategies for successful parlays:<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"icon-list icon-list--arrow\">\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Combine bets with similar outcomes<\/strong> (e.g., quarterback yards and completions), and avoid placing props in the same parlay that conflict with each other. If one needs a heavy run game and the other needs a pass-heavy script, they\u2019ll never both cash.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Limit your parlays to 2\u20134 bets<\/strong> for a higher probability of success. Two or three is probably the sweetspot in a parlay and is tough enough, whereas stacking five or six is often too much of a long shot.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Consider matchup dynamics<\/strong> and avoid conflicting props in the same parlay.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-how-sportsbooks-set-and-adjust-nfl-passing-prop-odds\">How sportsbooks set and adjust NFL passing prop odds<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The numbers you see aren\u2019t just made up. Books look at how the quarterback has been playing, the style of the offense, and the defense he\u2019s about to face. Weather matters too because strong winds or freezing temperatures usually push totals down.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The lines don\u2019t sit still either. If there\u2019s breaking news, like a receiver being ruled out, or if sharp money pours in on one side, the books will move things quickly. That\u2019s why what you see on Monday doesn\u2019t always match what\u2019s on the board Sunday morning.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-resources-for-staying-updated-on-passing-props\">Resources for staying updated on passing props<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>You don\u2019t have to spend hours digging, but a few good sources of up-to-date information can go a long way.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"icon-list icon-list--arrow\">\n\n\n\n<p>Big sites like ESPN or NFL.com, plus sportsbook apps, are fine for injury updates and quick news.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Sports websites<\/strong> like <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/\">ESPN<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nfl.com\/\">NFL<\/a>, betting platforms, sportsbook apps, and NFL experts&#8217; social media accounts offer reliable updates and are fine for injury updates and quick news.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Resources<\/strong> like <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pro-football-reference.com\/\">Pro Football Reference<\/a> and specialized betting analysis platforms provide detailed player stats and predictive insights. i you want to dive deeper into all the stats you could ever want.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Always keep half an eye on the weather report and the injury wire<\/strong>! Those two things can swing a prop faster than anything else.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-how-do-you-find-and-compare-the-best-nfl-passing-prop-bets\">How do you find and compare the best NFL passing prop bets?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The simplest edge that most people skip? Just shopping around! The key is to compare odds across multiple sportsbooks and analyze short-term data like player trends and matchup stats. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Books adjust their lines throughout the week based on betting action and new information, causing no two sportsbooks to always post the exact same numbers, and even a tiny difference in odds can make a season\u2019s worth of bets look a lot better.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-comparing-nfl-passing-prop-odds\">Comparing NFL passing prop odds<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Some books are friendlier on yardage, others on touchdowns. Checking two or three only takes a couple of minutes and can save you or win you more money over time, so this is time well spent!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And you don&#8217;t have to open every book as you can use odds comparison tools to see all odds for a given event at multiple bookies, all on the same screen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-tracking-daily-and-weekly-betting-trends\">Tracking daily and weekly betting trends<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Lines move through the week. If you notice a quarterback\u2019s yardage creeping higher, it usually means bettors are hammering the over. Even if you don\u2019t follow them, knowing where the action is gives you context.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-impact-of-injuries-and-weather-on-passing-props\">Impact of injuries and weather on passing props<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>If a quarterback loses a key receiver or lineman, that can take a big bite out of his expected numbers. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And weather certainly can\u2019t be ignored! Heavy rain, high winds, or bitter cold usually lead to more running plays and fewer passes, whereas a clear day can open things up for throwing and for a big passing total.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-bet-on-nfl-passing-props-with-confidence\">Bet on NFL passing props with confidence<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Betting on passing props makes watching football feel more exciting. Instead of only caring who wins, you can be locked in and care about what one quarterback or wide receiver is doing all game long.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>You can play it over the whole season with yardage or touchdown totals, or just jump in on a Sunday and bet something live. However you go at it, the same basics apply: keep an eye on the news, notice when the odds move, and don\u2019t just stick with one book.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As long as you keep your bets sensible and don\u2019t chase losses, these props can keep things fun all season. And every now and then, with a bit of luck on your side, you might even make a little money along the way.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>NFL passing props let you bet on individual quarterback performance instead of just team results. Whether you\u2019re looking at how many yards a quarterback will throw, how many completions they\u2019ll rack up, or how many touchdowns they\u2019ll toss, passing props offer a wide range of betting options. From season-long wagers to live in-game bets, these&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":79,"featured_media":5683,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":true,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[15],"league":[117],"class_list":["post-226232","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-nfl","league-nfl"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.6 (Yoast SEO v26.6) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>NFL Passing Props \u2014 Our Expert Picks and Predictions<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore the best NFL passing props today. From single-game to season-long bets, get expert tips and picks, strategies, and sportsbook offers.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/props.com\/nfl-passing-props\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"NFL Passing Props \u2014 Our Expert Picks and Predictions\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Explore the best NFL passing props today. 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