{"id":233861,"date":"2025-08-20T04:03:00","date_gmt":"2025-08-20T08:03:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/props.com\/?p=233861"},"modified":"2025-09-03T05:40:14","modified_gmt":"2025-09-03T09:40:14","slug":"pga-picks-this-week","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/props.com\/pga-picks-this-week\/","title":{"rendered":"PGA Picks This Week: TOUR Championship Model Predictions"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>There&#8217;s no time to rest in the golf world, and we&#8217;re here to bring you the best PGA picks this week. Justin Carlucci brings you his model projections for the TOUR Championship at East Lake Golf Club.<\/p>\n\n\n    <div class=\"au_outer_wrap column_count_3 has_title au_format_mobile_table au_table_state_GA a_unit au_template-2 mobile_table au_template-2c au_type_sportsbook,fantasy\">\n        <div class=\"au_table_wrap\">\n                            <h2 class=\"au_table_title\">Top DFS Apps in All States<\/h2>\n                        <div class=\"au_table\">\n                    <div class=\"two_c_row\">\n        <div class=\"au_row au_table_row_1 offer_id-1\" style=\"position:relative;\">\n            <a\n                href=\"\/go\/underdog-fantasy?src=wp-json%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fposts%2F233861\"\n                target=\"_blank\"\n                rel=\"noopener nofollow\"\n                aria-label=\"Underdog\"\n                                    class=\"card-cover-link offer_id-1 au_table_row_1\"\n                                data-offer-id=\"1\"\n                style=\"position:absolute; inset:0; z-index:1; display:block; text-decoration:none; color:inherit;\"><\/a>\n\n            <div class=\"au_col au_col_logo \">\n                                <img decoding=\"async\"\n                     width=\"100\" height=\"100\"\n                     src=\"https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Underdog-Fantasy-Icon-150x150-1.webp\"\n                     class=\"attachment-amaff-small size-amaff-small\"\n                     alt=\"Underdog\"\n                     srcset=\"https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Underdog-Fantasy-Icon-150x150-1.webp 150w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Underdog-Fantasy-Icon-150x150-1-90x90.webp 90w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Underdog-Fantasy-Icon-150x150-1-180x180.webp 180w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Underdog-Fantasy-Icon-150x150-1-330x330.webp 330w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Underdog-Fantasy-Icon-150x150-1-660x660.webp 660w\"\n                     sizes=\"(max-width: 100px) 100vw, 100px\" \/>\n            <\/div>\n\n            <div class=\"au_col au_col_title-bonus\">\n                <div class=\"au_subfield au_col_title\">\n                                            <a href=\"https:\/\/props.com\/review\/underdog-fantasy\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Underdog<\/a>\n                                    <\/div>\n                <div class=\"au_subfield au_col_bonus\">\n                    <div class=\"au_bonus\">\n                        <span class=\"tablet-landscape-up-only\">\n                            <div class=\"au_bonus_line au_bonus_line_1 a-class\">\n                                Play $5, Get $75 in Bonus Entries                            <\/div>\n                            <div class=\"au_bonus_line au_bonus_line_2 a-class\">\n                                Enter Promo Code: PROPS                            <\/div>\n                        <\/span>\n                        <span class=\"up-to-tablet-landscape-only\">\n                            <div class=\"au_bonus_line au_bonus_line_1 a-class\">\n                                Play $5, Get $75 in Bonus Entries                            <\/div>\n                            <div class=\"au_bonus_line au_bonus_line_2 a-class\">\n                                Enter Promo Code: PROPS                            <\/div>\n                        <\/span>\n                    <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n            <\/div>\n            <div class=\"au_col au_col_bonus_code-button\" style=\"position:relative; z-index:2;\">\n                                    <div class=\"au_subfield au_col_bonus_code\" data-url=\"\/go\/underdog-fantasy?src=wp-json%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fposts%2F233861\">\n                        <div class=\"text-container\">\n                            <a href=\"\/go\/underdog-fantasy?src=wp-json%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fposts%2F233861\"\n                               class=\"btn--white btn--copy btn btn--regular\"\n                               target=\"_blank\"\n                               rel=\"noopener nofollow\"\n                                                              data-copy-to-clipboard=\"PROPS\">\n                                <span class=\"btn__sub-txt\">Copy promo code<\/span>\n                                <span class=\"btn__txt promo-code\">PROPS<\/span>\n                                <span class=\"btn__icon\">\n                                    <svg class=\"svg-hover-effect\" data-name=\"Layer 2\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewBox=\"0 0 20 20\">\n                                        <defs>\n                                            <style>\n                                                .uuid-ceda50c3-3515-4203-b73a-a4289bfa8261,\n                                                .uuid-d98b91a2-dfab-40a6-8733-dfab90312468 { fill: none; 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19+ in CO for some games; 21+ in AZ, MA, and VA) and present in a state where Underdog Fantasy operates. Terms apply. See assets.underdogfantasy.com\/web\/PlayandGetTerms_DFS_.html for details. Offer not valid in MD, MI, OH, and PA. Concerned with your play? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit www.ncpgambling.org; NY: Call the 24\/7 HOPEline at 1-877-8-HOPENY or Text HOPENY (467369)                <\/span>\n                <button type=\"button\" class=\"read-more\"> See more\u2026<\/button>\n            <\/div>\n            <\/div>\n        <div class=\"two_c_row\">\n        <div class=\"au_row au_table_row_2 offer_id-0\" style=\"position:relative;\">\n            <a\n                href=\"\/go\/parlayplay?src=wp-json%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fposts%2F233861\"\n                target=\"_blank\"\n                rel=\"noopener nofollow\"\n                aria-label=\"Parlay Play\"\n                                    class=\"card-cover-link offer_id-0 au_table_row_2\"\n                                data-offer-id=\"2\"\n                style=\"position:absolute; inset:0; z-index:1; display:block; text-decoration:none; color:inherit;\"><\/a>\n\n            <div class=\"au_col au_col_logo \">\n                                <img decoding=\"async\"\n                     width=\"100\" height=\"100\"\n                     src=\"https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/parlayplaylogosquare.webp\"\n                     class=\"attachment-amaff-small size-amaff-small\"\n                     alt=\"Parlay Play\"\n                     srcset=\"https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/parlayplaylogosquare.webp 240w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/parlayplaylogosquare-150x150.webp 150w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/parlayplaylogosquare-90x90.webp 90w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/parlayplaylogosquare-180x180.webp 180w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/parlayplaylogosquare-330x330.webp 330w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/parlayplaylogosquare-660x660.webp 660w\"\n                     sizes=\"(max-width: 100px) 100vw, 100px\" \/>\n            <\/div>\n\n            <div class=\"au_col au_col_title-bonus\">\n                <div class=\"au_subfield au_col_title\">\n                                            <a href=\"https:\/\/props.com\/review\/parlayplay-fantasy\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Parlay Play<\/a>\n                                    <\/div>\n                <div class=\"au_subfield au_col_bonus\">\n                    <div class=\"au_bonus\">\n                        <span class=\"tablet-landscape-up-only\">\n                            <div class=\"au_bonus_line au_bonus_line_1 a-class\">\n                                100% Deposit Match Up To $100                            <\/div>\n                            <div class=\"au_bonus_line au_bonus_line_2 a-class\">\n                                NO PROMO CODE NEEDED                            <\/div>\n                        <\/span>\n                        <span class=\"up-to-tablet-landscape-only\">\n                            <div class=\"au_bonus_line au_bonus_line_1 a-class\">\n                                100% Deposit Match Up To $100                            <\/div>\n                            <div class=\"au_bonus_line au_bonus_line_2 a-class\">\n                                NO PROMO CODE NEEDED                            <\/div>\n                        <\/span>\n                    <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n            <\/div>\n            <div class=\"au_col au_col_bonus_code-button\" style=\"position:relative; z-index:2;\">\n                \n                <div class=\"au_subfield au_col_button\">\n                    <a href=\"\/go\/parlayplay?src=wp-json%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fposts%2F233861\"\n                       target=\"_blank\"\n                       rel=\"noopener nofollow\"\n                       class=\"button au_button play_now small\">\n                        <span class=\"up-to-tablet-landscape-only\">CLAIM OFFER<\/span>\n                        <span class=\"tablet-landscape-up-only\">CLAIM OFFER<\/span>\n                    <\/a>\n                <\/div>\n            <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n\n                    <div class=\"cau_disclaimer_text\">\n                <span class=\"clamped-text\">\n                  Must be 18+ and based in the USA.                <\/span>\n                <button type=\"button\" class=\"read-more\"> See more\u2026<\/button>\n            <\/div>\n            <\/div>\n        <div class=\"two_c_row\">\n        <div class=\"au_row au_table_row_3 offer_id-1\" style=\"position:relative;\">\n            <a\n                href=\"\/go\/sleeper?src=wp-json%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fposts%2F233861\"\n                target=\"_blank\"\n                rel=\"noopener nofollow\"\n                aria-label=\"Sleeper\"\n                                    class=\"card-cover-link offer_id-1 au_table_row_3\"\n                                data-offer-id=\"3\"\n                style=\"position:absolute; inset:0; z-index:1; display:block; text-decoration:none; color:inherit;\"><\/a>\n\n            <div class=\"au_col au_col_logo \">\n                                <img decoding=\"async\"\n                     width=\"100\" height=\"100\"\n                     src=\"https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/sleeper.png\"\n                     class=\"attachment-amaff-small size-amaff-small\"\n                     alt=\"Sleeper\"\n                     srcset=\"https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/sleeper.png 1200w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/sleeper-300x300.png 300w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/sleeper-1024x1024.png 1024w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/sleeper-150x150.png 150w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/sleeper-768x768.png 768w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/sleeper-90x90.png 90w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/sleeper-180x180.png 180w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/sleeper-270x270.png 270w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/sleeper-540x540.png 540w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/sleeper-330x330.png 330w, https:\/\/props.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/sleeper-660x660.png 660w\"\n                     sizes=\"(max-width: 100px) 100vw, 100px\" \/>\n            <\/div>\n\n            <div class=\"au_col au_col_title-bonus\">\n                <div class=\"au_subfield au_col_title\">\n                                            <a href=\"https:\/\/props.com\/review\/sleeper-fantasy\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Sleeper<\/a>\n                                    <\/div>\n                <div class=\"au_subfield au_col_bonus\">\n                    <div class=\"au_bonus\">\n                        <span class=\"tablet-landscape-up-only\">\n                            <div class=\"au_bonus_line au_bonus_line_1 a-class\">\n                                Free $20 &amp; $100 Deposit Match                            <\/div>\n                            <div class=\"au_bonus_line au_bonus_line_2 a-class\">\n                                Enter Promo Code: PROPS                            <\/div>\n                        <\/span>\n                        <span class=\"up-to-tablet-landscape-only\">\n                            <div class=\"au_bonus_line au_bonus_line_1 a-class\">\n                                Free $20 &amp; $100 Deposit Match                            <\/div>\n                            <div class=\"au_bonus_line au_bonus_line_2 a-class\">\n                                Enter Promo Code: PROPS                            <\/div>\n                        <\/span>\n                    <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n            <\/div>\n            <div class=\"au_col au_col_bonus_code-button\" style=\"position:relative; z-index:2;\">\n                                    <div class=\"au_subfield au_col_bonus_code\" data-url=\"\/go\/sleeper?src=wp-json%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fposts%2F233861\">\n                        <div class=\"text-container\">\n                            <a href=\"\/go\/sleeper?src=wp-json%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fposts%2F233861\"\n                               class=\"btn--white btn--copy btn btn--regular\"\n                               target=\"_blank\"\n                               rel=\"noopener nofollow\"\n                                                              data-copy-to-clipboard=\"PROPS\">\n                                <span class=\"btn__sub-txt\">Copy promo code<\/span>\n                                <span class=\"btn__txt promo-code\">PROPS<\/span>\n                                <span class=\"btn__icon\">\n                                    <svg class=\"svg-hover-effect\" data-name=\"Layer 2\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewBox=\"0 0 20 20\">\n                                        <defs>\n                                            <style>\n                                                .uuid-ceda50c3-3515-4203-b73a-a4289bfa8261,\n                                                .uuid-d98b91a2-dfab-40a6-8733-dfab90312468 { fill: none; }\n                                                .uuid-d98b91a2-dfab-40a6-8733-dfab90312468 { stroke: #f90303; stroke-linejoin: round; stroke-width: 2px; }\n                                                .uuid-87fb80a1-9082-4f0e-afed-629b6fe2e39b { clip-path: url(#uuid-a514d03d-81c1-479a-91f3-57bd4825c72c); }\n                                            <\/style>\n                                            <clippath id=\"uuid-a514d03d-81c1-479a-91f3-57bd4825c72c\">\n                                                <rect class=\"uuid-ceda50c3-3515-4203-b73a-a4289bfa8261\" width=\"20\" height=\"20\"><\/rect>\n                                            <\/clippath>\n                                        <\/defs>\n                                        <g data-name=\"Layer 1\">\n                                            <\/g><g data-name=\"Group 9468\" class=\"uuid-87fb80a1-9082-4f0e-afed-629b6fe2e39b\">\n                                                <rect data-name=\"Rectangle 5677\" class=\"uuid-d98b91a2-dfab-40a6-8733-dfab90312468\" x=\"1\" y=\"7\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\" rx=\"2\" ry=\"2\"><\/rect>\n                                                <path data-name=\"Path 3953\" class=\"uuid-d98b91a2-dfab-40a6-8733-dfab90312468\" d=\"M16,13h1c1.10457,0,2-.89543,2-2V3c0-1.10457-.89543-2-2-2h-8c-1.10457,0-2,.89543-2,2v1\"><\/path>\n                                            <\/g>\n                                        \n                                    <\/svg>\n                                <\/span>\n                            <\/a>\n                        <\/div>\n                    <\/div>\n                \n                <div class=\"au_subfield au_col_button\">\n                    <a href=\"\/go\/sleeper?src=wp-json%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fposts%2F233861\"\n                       target=\"_blank\"\n                       rel=\"noopener nofollow\"\n                       class=\"button au_button play_now small\">\n                        <span class=\"up-to-tablet-landscape-only\">CLAIM OFFER<\/span>\n                        <span class=\"tablet-landscape-up-only\">CLAIM OFFER<\/span>\n                    <\/a>\n                <\/div>\n            <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n\n                    <div class=\"cau_disclaimer_text\">\n                <span class=\"clamped-text\">\n                  Restrictions apply. See sleeper.com\/match for details. 18+ (19 in AL &amp; NE; 21 in MA &amp; VA). First-time depositors only. $25 minimum. 100% match up to $100. Play Responsibly. Call\/text 1-800-426-2537 for help.                <\/span>\n                <button type=\"button\" class=\"read-more\"> See more\u2026<\/button>\n            <\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n    \n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-top-pga-picks-this-week-model-predictions\">Top PGA Picks This Week: Model Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>In this section, we&#8217;ll break down the top PGA picks this week based on meta-model projections, taking countless variables into consideration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Included in the table: <\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Top 10 golfers based on tons of data: emphasis on market odds\/value, weekly criteria, course fit, history, dozens of important statistical categories, etc.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Top 10 actual chance to win this week&#8217;s tournament, regardless of market odds<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Top 10 first round leader darts to throw<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<style>\n  \/* Scope everything to the widget wrapper *\/\n  .tour-championship-widget {\n    font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, sans-serif;\n    background: #ffffff;\n    color: #1a202c;\n    line-height: 1.4;\n    max-width: 100%;\n    box-sizing: border-box;\n    isolation: isolate;\n    \/* prevents z-index\/stacking conflicts *\/\n  }\n\n  .tour-championship-widget *,\n  .tour-championship-widget *::before,\n  .tour-championship-widget *::after {\n    box-sizing: border-box;\n  }\n\n  \/* Layout *\/\n  .tour-championship-widget .container {\n    max-width: 1200px;\n    margin: 0 auto;\n    padding: 15px;\n  }\n\n  .tour-championship-widget .header {\n    text-align: center;\n    margin-bottom: 30px;\n    padding: 20px 15px;\n    background: #ffffff;\n    border: 2px solid #e2e8f0;\n    border-radius: 12px;\n  }\n\n  .tour-championship-widget .header h1 {\n    font-size: 1.8rem;\n    color: #000000;\n    margin-bottom: 0;\n    font-weight: 700;\n  }\n\n  .tour-championship-widget .section {\n    margin-bottom: 40px;\n  }\n\n  .tour-championship-widget .section-header {\n    background: linear-gradient(45deg, #2d3748, #4a5568);\n    color: #ffffff;\n    padding: 15px 20px;\n    border-radius: 10px 10px 0 0;\n    font-size: 1.3rem;\n    font-weight: 700;\n    text-align: center;\n    margin-bottom: 0;\n  }\n\n  .tour-championship-widget .ranking-table {\n    background: #f7fafc;\n    border: 2px solid #e2e8f0;\n    border-radius: 0 0 12px 12px;\n    overflow: hidden;\n    box-shadow: 0 4px 12px rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.1);\n  }\n\n  .tour-championship-widget .table-wrapper {\n    overflow-x: auto;\n    -webkit-overflow-scrolling: touch;\n  }\n\n  .tour-championship-widget table {\n    width: 100%;\n    border-collapse: collapse;\n  }\n\n  .tour-championship-widget th {\n    background: #2d3748;\n    color: #ffffff;\n    padding: 15px 8px;\n    text-align: left;\n    font-weight: 700;\n    font-size: 0.8rem;\n    text-transform: uppercase;\n    letter-spacing: 0.3px;\n    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1.2;\n    }\n\n    .tour-championship-widget .rank {\n      width: 20px;\n      font-size: 0.7rem;\n      color: #2d3748;\n    }\n\n    .tour-championship-widget .player {\n      min-width: 70px;\n      font-size: 0.65rem;\n      color: #1a202c;\n    }\n\n    .tour-championship-widget .odds {\n      min-width: 40px;\n      font-size: 0.6rem;\n      color: #e53e3e;\n    }\n\n    .tour-championship-widget .score-cell {\n      min-width: 30px;\n      font-size: 0.6rem;\n      padding: 2px 1px;\n    }\n  }\n<\/style>\n<div class=\"tour-championship-widget\">\n  <div class=\"container\">\n    <div class=\"header\">\n      <h1>Tour Championship 2025<\/h1>\n    <\/div>\n    <!-- META-MODEL RANKINGS -->\n    <div class=\"section\">\n      <div class=\"section-header\">Meta-Model Top 10 (Four-Pillar Balance)<\/div>\n      <div class=\"ranking-table\">\n        <div class=\"table-wrapper\">\n          <table>\n            <thead>\n              <tr>\n                <th>Rank<\/th>\n                <th>Player<\/th>\n                <th>Odds<\/th>\n                <th>Score<\/th>\n              <\/tr>\n            <\/thead>\n            <tbody>\n              <tr>\n                <td class=\"rank\">1<\/td>\n                <td class=\"player\">Viktor Hovland<\/td>\n                <td class=\"odds\">+3000<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-elite\">90.0<\/td>\n              <\/tr>\n              <tr>\n                <td class=\"rank\">2<\/td>\n                <td class=\"player\">Justin Thomas<\/td>\n                <td class=\"odds\">+2500<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-elite\">89.0<\/td>\n              <\/tr>\n              <tr>\n                <td class=\"rank\">3<\/td>\n                <td class=\"player\">Collin Morikawa<\/td>\n                <td class=\"odds\">+3000<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-elite\">87.1<\/td>\n              <\/tr>\n              <tr>\n                <td class=\"rank\">4<\/td>\n                <td class=\"player\">Russell Henley<\/td>\n                <td class=\"odds\">+2000<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-elite\">86.0<\/td>\n              <\/tr>\n              <tr>\n                <td class=\"rank\">5<\/td>\n                <td class=\"player\">Rory McIlroy<\/td>\n                <td class=\"odds\">+850<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-elite\">85.0<\/td>\n              <\/tr>\n              <tr>\n                <td class=\"rank\">6<\/td>\n                <td class=\"player\">Scottie Scheffler<\/td>\n                <td class=\"odds\">+150<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-strong\">82.3<\/td>\n              <\/tr>\n              <tr>\n                <td class=\"rank\">7<\/td>\n                <td class=\"player\">Tommy Fleetwood<\/td>\n                <td class=\"odds\">+1400<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-strong\">80.8<\/td>\n              <\/tr>\n              <tr>\n                <td class=\"rank\">8<\/td>\n                <td class=\"player\">Sam Burns<\/td>\n                <td class=\"odds\">+3000<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-strong\">79.9<\/td>\n              <\/tr>\n              <tr>\n                <td class=\"rank\">9<\/td>\n                <td class=\"player\">Patrick Cantlay<\/td>\n                <td class=\"odds\">+2500<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-strong\">79.6<\/td>\n              <\/tr>\n              <tr>\n                <td class=\"rank\">10<\/td>\n                <td class=\"player\">Sepp Straka<\/td>\n                <td class=\"odds\">+3500<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-strong\">79.4<\/td>\n              <\/tr>\n            <\/tbody>\n          <\/table>\n        <\/div>\n      <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n    <!-- PURE WINNERS RANKINGS -->\n    <div class=\"section\">\n      <div class=\"section-header\">Pure Winners Top 10 (Talent Only)<\/div>\n      <div class=\"ranking-table\">\n        <div class=\"table-wrapper\">\n          <table>\n            <thead>\n              <tr>\n                <th>Rank<\/th>\n                <th>Player<\/th>\n                <th>Score<\/th>\n                <th>Model<\/th>\n                <th>Fit<\/th>\n                <th>History<\/th>\n              <\/tr>\n            <\/thead>\n            <tbody>\n              <tr>\n                <td class=\"rank\">1<\/td>\n                <td class=\"player\">Rory McIlroy<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-strong\">77.0<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-strong\">24<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-strong\">23<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-elite\">30<\/td>\n              <\/tr>\n              <tr>\n                <td class=\"rank\">2<\/td>\n                <td class=\"player\">Scottie Scheffler<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-strong\">76.3<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-elite\">25<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-strong\">23<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-strong\">28<\/td>\n              <\/tr>\n              <tr>\n                <td class=\"rank\">3<\/td>\n                <td class=\"player\">Viktor Hovland<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-strong\">76.0<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-strong\">23<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-strong\">23<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-elite\">30<\/td>\n              <\/tr>\n              <tr>\n                <td class=\"rank\">4<\/td>\n                <td class=\"player\">Justin Thomas<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-strong\">75.0<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-solid\">22<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-strong\">23<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-elite\">30<\/td>\n              <\/tr>\n              <tr>\n                <td class=\"rank\">5<\/td>\n                <td class=\"player\">Russell Henley<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-strong\">74.0<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-solid\">21<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-strong\">23<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-elite\">30<\/td>\n              <\/tr>\n              <tr>\n                <td class=\"rank\">6<\/td>\n                <td class=\"player\">Collin Morikawa<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-solid\">73.1<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-solid\">22<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-strong\">23<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-strong\">28<\/td>\n              <\/tr>\n              <tr>\n                <td class=\"rank\">7<\/td>\n                <td class=\"player\">Tommy Fleetwood<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-solid\">68.8<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-solid\">21<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-solid\">21<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-strong\">27<\/td>\n              <\/tr>\n              <tr>\n                <td class=\"rank\">8<\/td>\n                <td class=\"player\">Sam Burns<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-solid\">65.9<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-speculative\">20<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-solid\">21<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-strong\">25<\/td>\n              <\/tr>\n              <tr>\n                <td class=\"rank\">9<\/td>\n                <td class=\"player\">Patrick Cantlay<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-solid\">65.6<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-speculative\">20<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-solid\">21<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-strong\">25<\/td>\n              <\/tr>\n              <tr>\n                <td class=\"rank\">10<\/td>\n                <td class=\"player\">Sepp Straka<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-solid\">65.4<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-fade\">19<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-solid\">21<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-strong\">25<\/td>\n              <\/tr>\n            <\/tbody>\n          <\/table>\n        <\/div>\n      <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n    <!-- FIRST ROUND LEADER RANKINGS -->\n    <div class=\"section\">\n      <div class=\"section-header\">First Round Leader Top 10<\/div>\n      <div class=\"ranking-table\">\n        <div class=\"table-wrapper\">\n          <table>\n            <thead>\n              <tr>\n                <th>Rank<\/th>\n                <th>Player<\/th>\n                <th>FRL Odds<\/th>\n                <th>Score<\/th>\n                <th>Fit<\/th>\n                <th>Value<\/th>\n              <\/tr>\n            <\/thead>\n            <tbody>\n              <tr>\n                <td class=\"rank\">1<\/td>\n                <td class=\"player\">Viktor Hovland<\/td>\n                <td class=\"odds\">+2000<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-elite\">94.4<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-strong\">23<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-solid\">14<\/td>\n              <\/tr>\n              <tr>\n                <td class=\"rank\">2<\/td>\n                <td class=\"player\">Justin Thomas<\/td>\n                <td class=\"odds\">+1800<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-elite\">93.5<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-strong\">23<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-solid\">12<\/td>\n              <\/tr>\n              <tr>\n                <td class=\"rank\">3<\/td>\n                <td class=\"player\">Collin Morikawa<\/td>\n                <td class=\"odds\">+2200<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-elite\">92.2<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-strong\">23<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-solid\">14<\/td>\n              <\/tr>\n              <tr>\n                <td class=\"rank\">4<\/td>\n                <td class=\"player\">Russell Henley<\/td>\n                <td class=\"odds\">+1800<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-elite\">90.0<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-strong\">23<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-speculative\">12<\/td>\n              <\/tr>\n              <tr>\n                <td class=\"rank\">5<\/td>\n                <td class=\"player\">Rory McIlroy<\/td>\n                <td class=\"odds\">+1100<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-elite\">87.5<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-strong\">23<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-speculative\">10<\/td>\n              <\/tr>\n              <tr>\n                <td class=\"rank\">6<\/td>\n                <td class=\"player\">Sam Burns<\/td>\n                <td class=\"odds\">+2000<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-elite\">85.1<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-solid\">21<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-solid\">14<\/td>\n              <\/tr>\n              <tr>\n                <td class=\"rank\">7<\/td>\n                <td class=\"player\">Patrick Cantlay<\/td>\n                <td class=\"odds\">+2000<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-elite\">84.9<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-solid\">21<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-solid\">14<\/td>\n              <\/tr>\n              <tr>\n                <td class=\"rank\">8<\/td>\n                <td class=\"player\">Tommy Fleetwood<\/td>\n                <td class=\"odds\">+1600<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-strong\">84.8<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-solid\">21<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-speculative\">12<\/td>\n              <\/tr>\n              <tr>\n                <td class=\"rank\">9<\/td>\n                <td class=\"player\">Scottie Scheffler<\/td>\n                <td class=\"odds\">+500<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-strong\">84.6<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-strong\">23<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-fade\">6<\/td>\n              <\/tr>\n              <tr>\n                <td class=\"rank\">10<\/td>\n                <td class=\"player\">Sepp Straka<\/td>\n                <td class=\"odds\">+2200<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-strong\">84.6<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-solid\">21<\/td>\n                <td class=\"score-cell tier-solid\">14<\/td>\n              <\/tr>\n            <\/tbody>\n          <\/table>\n        <\/div>\n      <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-pga-picks-this-week-top-golfers-analysis\">PGA Picks This Week &#8211; Top Golfers Analysis<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Here&#8217;s some more on our PGA picks this week from the model:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>META-MODEL TOP 3<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>1. Viktor Hovland (+3000) <\/strong>&#8211; Viktor checks every single systematic box for East Lake dominance. The guy has great history, current form, and his ball-striking profile is exactly what narrow fairways demand. But here&#8217;s the kicker &#8211; at +3000, you&#8217;re getting a former FedEx Cup champion at longshot odds. His iron play from 150-200 yards is tour-level elite, and that&#8217;s the money zone at East Lake. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>2. Justin Thomas (+2500) <\/strong>&#8211; JT is a proven East Lake assassin getting disrespected by the market. His course history is awesome,  and his ball-striking profile matches exactly what this venue rewards. He&#8217;s been inconsistent in 2025, but 25\/1 is great value.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>3. Collin Morikawa (+3000)<\/strong> &#8211; Here&#8217;s your classic East Lake archetype getting overlooked by the market. Morikawa is a pure iron player &#8211; exactly what wins on these narrow fairways with elevated greens. We know he&#8217;s a deadly striker, and at +3000, you&#8217;re getting a major champion who thrives on precision courses at serious value odds.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>PURE WINNERS TOP 3<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>1. Rory McIlroy<\/strong> &#8211; When you&#8217;re looking for pure winners &#8211; guys who literally have the best chance to win regardless of odds &#8211; you start with the most complete players in the field &#8211; and Rory has typically been 1B to Scottie at 1A. Rory&#8217;s Masters breakthrough this year shows he&#8217;s arguably playing the best golf of his career, and his East Lake resume is absolutely ridiculous. The course rewards controlled aggression &#8211; exactly Rory&#8217;s wheelhouse.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>2. Scottie Scheffler<\/strong> &#8211; From a pure talent perspective, Scottie is still the gold standard. His model metrics are perfect because he&#8217;s simply the most complete player in the world right now. Ball-striking, short game, putting, mental toughness &#8211; he&#8217;s elite in every category. The guy just doesn&#8217;t make mistakes, and that&#8217;s huge at a course where bogeys are costly. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>3. Viktor Hovland<\/strong> &#8211; Making another appearance on the list &#8211; Viktor&#8217;s pure talent is undeniable &#8211; the iron play is elite, the course management is sophisticated, and his mental game at big events is proven. The model really likes him this week, and the odds are great.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>FIRST ROUND LEADER HIGHLIGHTS<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out our weekly <a href=\"https:\/\/props.com\/pga-first-round-leader\/\">first round leader article<\/a> for more insight on Thursday golf betting!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>There&#8217;s no time to rest in the golf world, and we&#8217;re here to bring you the best PGA picks this week. Justin Carlucci brings you his model projections for the TOUR Championship at East Lake Golf Club. Top PGA Picks This Week: Model Predictions In this section, we&#8217;ll break down the top PGA picks this&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":79,"featured_media":27070,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[112],"league":[209,118],"class_list":["post-233861","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-pga","league-golf","league-pga"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.6 (Yoast SEO v26.6) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>PGA Picks This Week: Golf Model Predictions and Analysis<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Looking for the best PGA picks this week? 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